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Piotr Kosek on Technology — predictions scored

Piotr Kosek on Technology — predictions scored

609 tracked claims · Accuracy: 87%

Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 07.05.2026
Pending
"According to the current schedule, the MMX probe will reach the vicinity of Mars in '27 and begin detailed studies of its two moons, Phobos and Deimos. Landing on Phobos is planned for 2029. Scientists want to collect about 10g of material from it and transport it to Earth. The return of samples to our planet will then take place in 2031. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2031
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 06.05.2026
True
"They needed proof, identity confirmation, and this confirmation came with the detection of a second line, this time of ionized hydrogen, which came from exactly the same place as Helium. When both peaks overlapped, it became clear, we are looking at pure primordial gas heated by the first generation of stars. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 06.05.2026
True
"Instead, the James Webb telescope registered something very rare, the signature of ionized Helium. Ionization is a situation in which an atom receives such a large dose of energy, some photons, that it loses its electrons. If we provide enough energy, for example in the form of extremely strong ultraviolet radiation, we will tear these electrons from their orbits. Ionizing helium requires unimaginable energy, much greater than that produced by a regular mature star. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 06.05.2026
Pending
"This is a photo of light from just 400 million years after the Big Bang. And the galaxy you see astronomers have named Hebe. Everything indicates that it is filled with legendary Population III stars. These are the first stars that ever appeared in space and prepared the universe for our existence, although they themselves disappeared in the blink of an eye. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 05.05.2026
True
"Mark One will carry two NASA science and technology payloads this year as part of the CLPS, or Commercial Lunar Payload Services, initiative. [...] it will be sent to the Moon's south pole region. Stereoscopic cameras for lunar surface studies, a series of high-resolution cameras that will record interactions between the lander engine plume, the lunar surface during descent and landing, and a laser retroreflector array that helps orbiting spacecraft determine location more precisely using reflected laser light. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.05.2026
Pending
"If WIMPs indeed annihilate in our galaxy, then we should see similar signals in neighboring dwarf galaxies, especially. Data from this observatory could be the ultimate proof that would close the case once and for all. "
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🌐 Scenario Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.05.2026
True
"It was there in June 2025 that the new Vera Rubin Observatory began its work. It is a technological monster. Every night it will take hundreds of sky images, generating 20 TB of data. In a decade it will collect 60 petabytes of data, or 60 million GB of information about how stars and galaxies move. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.05.2026
! Misleading
"It was there in June 2025 that the new Vera Rubin Observatory began operations. It is a technological monster. Every night it will take hundreds of pictures of the sky, generating 20 TB of data. Over a decade it will collect 60 petabytes of data, which is 60 million GB of information about how stars and galaxies move. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 30.04.2026
True
"This correlation is the ultimate proof that virtual particles were actually there, existed in that energetic string, and then, under the influence of the collision, one could say they advanced to the level of real particles that we can register in detectors. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 30.04.2026
True
"What was observed in Brookhaven is a process in which a virtual quark-antiquark pair hidden inside a string transforms into a real quark-antiquark pair under the influence of injected energy. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 30.04.2026
True
"We have strong evidence that virtual particles are not just a mathematical abstraction, but something real, foundations of reality, which we can even force to reveal themselves in our laboratories. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 27.04.2026
True
"Here at the bottom it's greenish and at the top probably even more visible. Yes, these are constantly turning off. Auroras, auroras, meaning here the solar wind enters the Earth's ionosphere, interacts with atoms there and it starts to glow. Yes, but also interesting is what we see around here, because thanks to what do we actually see the edge of this atmosphere, one might say, well, the light is simply thicker there, at the edge, because we look through the atmosphere and it lights up. Well, not entirely. Because what would light it up here? There is no sun on this side, right? This, my dear, is caused by the existence of sodium in the Earth's atmosphere. At this altitude there is a high concentration of sodium, which probably comes, we don't know exactly where from, but it seems that through meteors that fall into the Earth's atmosphere, this sodium simply stays there and it is excited. Sodium doublet, right? This is a known known excited line. And at this moment, thanks to this, we actually see the edge of the Earth's atmosphere, right? And this is also the sodium that we use to make this artificial star, when we have telescopes that shoot a laser precisely at this place, not that... "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 27.04.2026
True
"It wasn't 100 million, it's 4 billion dollars for each launch. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 24.04.2026
Fulfilled
"In December 2028, NASA will launch Space Reactor-1 (SR-1) Freedom, the first spacecraft to use a nuclear fission reactor for propulsion beyond Earth orbit. SR-1 will be the first, and it will carry to Mars the Skyfall payload of three Ingenuity-class helicopters. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2028
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 24.04.2026
Pending
"Skyfall helicopters are to serve as advanced front-line scouts. Traversing vast areas at high speed, they will systematically map and thoroughly characterize deep subsurface ice deposits. We will receive precise data on the scale of these phenomena. Because we know that this ice is located under the regolith, but we don't know in what quantities. We will be able to determine their precise depth, and also volume. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2028
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 24.04.2026
Fulfilled
"NASA, with the support of its partner, the Department of Energy, will prepare a ready supply chain and launch an industrial base for small, extremely efficient nuclear reactors. And the lunar night lasts, my friends, almost 14 days. No matter how you look at it, temperatures become deadly then. Solar energy ceases to exist in many places on the Moon, after all. And it is precisely these same reactors, on which we are working today in various laboratories, that will provide astronauts with access to electricity, for example, at the bottom of lunar craters, if we also decide to build some outposts there. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2031
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 24.04.2026
True
"NASA has officially confirmed an ambitious and accelerated plan to launch a spacecraft named Space Reactor 1 Freedom in December 2028. Let's be clear, my friends. This is not just another probe powered by a few solar panels, but the first ever fully functional, nuclear-powered interplanetary spacecraft, which will immediately set course for Mars. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.04.2026
Pending
"The Curiosity experiment detected over 20 organic molecules from sandstones and mudstones in the approximately 3.5 billion-year-old Knock Farel Hill section in Glenoridon. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 20.04.2026
! Misleading
"In 2019, the antennas of the Australian Parkes telescope selected a pristine narrow-band signal from the region of Proxima Centauri. Just over 4 light-years away. It was named BLC1. The signal remained stationary at a frequency of approximately 982 MHz for 5 long hours of observation. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 20.04.2026
True
"In 2022, a source named GPM J18 3910 was detected 18,000 light-years away from us. It emits a signal with astonishing punctuality every 21 minutes and 58 seconds. Surprised astronomers searched old records and discovered that this signal has been reaching Earth with the same absolutely unchanging rhythm for over 35 years, starting in 1988, when it was first registered. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 20.04.2026
True
"It turned out that BLC1 is an absolute masterpiece of intermodulation, i.e., an extremely complex superposition of waves from telecommunication infrastructure around the observatory on Earth itself. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.04.2026
Fulfilled
"NASA has very concrete plans here. it intends to land humans on the Moon again in 2028 for now as part of the Artemis 4 mission. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2028
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 08.04.2026
True
"The Artemis 3 mission, which was supposed to be a lunar surface landing mission, recently changed its profile and will not be a lunar landing mission, but rather a mission to test the lander and the Orion capsule in low Earth orbit. [...] This must be done before we actually head towards the Moon to land on it, and it is scheduled for next year, 2027. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 08.04.2026
Fulfilled
"NASA is officially sidelining the long-planned lunar Gateway space station to focus its efforts on establishing a base on the surface of the moon. ... Instead, NASA will concentrate on expanding its Artemis program surface architecture through crewed and uncrewed landers, rovers and habitats. In that light, existing Gateway hardware and international partner contributions will be repurposed wherever possible for surface systems or other program needs. ... NASA today outlined a range of new initiatives aimed at achieving the Trump administration's national space policy objectives, including plans to launch robotic landers on a monthly basis starting in 2027 and to establish a lunar outpost. ... President Donald Trump in December issued an executive order calling for NASA to return U.S. astronauts to the lunar surface by 2028 and establish the “initial elements” of a surface base by 2030, under the Artemis program created during his first term. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2030
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 05.04.2026
True
"if we were to convert all that mass into kinetic energy, these reactions would be 10 billion times more efficient than a regular chemical reaction. 3000 times more efficient than atomic fission reactions. roughly twice as efficient as nuclear fusion. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.04.2026
! Misleading
"Apollo 7 emission on the skin surface. I remind you, the maximum dose is 400 rads. They received 16, not thousands, not hundreds, my dear friends, 16 rad, 16 rad, I remind you 400 rads, and here they didn't even receive one rad on their skin. Apollo 8 mission was a mission that very strongly resembled the Artemis mission now, and it was also 16 rad, very little. I wonder how it will be with Artemis. Most of all, my dear friends, Apollo 11 landing on the moon, 18 rad. Apollo 14 here actually received a bit more. The geometry was a bit different too. And my dear friends, it was 1.14 rad on the skin surface. Still almost 400 times less than the dose that was designed, as it were, for this mission, which astronauts should not exceed. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 01.04.2026
Fulfilled
"Depending on the day the rocket launches, the Artemis 2 mission has a chance to break the current absolute distance record set in April 1970 by the legendary Apollo 13 crew, which is over 400,171 km from Earth. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2026
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 31.03.2026
Pending
"already on April 1st, and in Poland on April 2nd unfortunately, because it will be half an hour after midnight, the launch window opens and this launch window is for a flight towards the Moon. It will not be a Moon landing yet, but we are flying towards the Moon. actually four astronauts, three male astronauts, one female astronaut are flying towards the Moon, they will orbit it and among other things, they will break the record for the distance of human presence in space, because they will be further than anyone who flew to the Moon or towards the Moon in the Apollo program. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 26.03.2026
True
"Later refinements showed that the probability of collision with Earth did not exist for at least 100 years. Nevertheless, on April 13, the asteroid will pass extremely close to Earth, only 32,000 km from it, closer than geostationary satellites and close enough to be visible to the naked eye. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 25.03.2026
Failed
"When the aforementioned Chandrayaan 2 orbiter lowers itself during the planned maneuver and aims its lenses, it will register a crystal clear view of the zone designated by the program. Researchers will therefore be able to easily physically compare the individual proposed landing sites with this completely new high-resolution data, where we will probably see our armored beach ball. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2026
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.03.2026
True
"The physical radius of this closed orbit noticeably decreased by tens of meters. And this directly means that as humanity, we deliberately and effectively pushed Dimorphos onto a much tighter, shorter, and faster path orbiting Didymos. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.03.2026
True
"Even before the collision, it was conservatively assumed that shortening Dimorphos's orbital period by just 73 seconds would be considered a spectacular technological triumph. Meanwhile, the latest meticulous and repeatedly verified, which is important, telescopic measurements showed something amazing. The precise impact of the artificial probe on the asteroid's surface reduced the orbit of this small moon not by a second, but by over 30 minutes. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.03.2026
True
"Humanity has for the first time in its history permanently changed the orbit of a celestial body orbiting the sun. We are not talking about a minor correction of an artificial satellite's flight, but about knocking a cosmic mountain off course. And so powerfully that it modified its trajectory relative to our parent star. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.03.2026
True
"In the case of Didymos and Dimorphos analyzed by us, the micro-nudge by a small probe consequently led to a noticeable shortening of their more than two-year orbital period around the solar disk by 15 seconds, and the trajectory itself gravitationally reduced its radius by nearly 360 m. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.03.2026
True
"The impact, which in perfect combination with a massive jet ejection of rocky debris, not only reshuffled the internal dynamics in this binary system but literally slowed down the movement of this entire system. We are talking about a research-proven slowdown of merely less than 12 micrometers per second of flight, which translates to a deviation of less than 5 cm per hour of flight through the abyss of space. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 12.03.2026
True
"However, even as the comet moves away from Earth at a speed of approximately 209,000 km/h, astronomers are still gaining new information from which Atlas in a recently published NASA research note describes a recent surprising turn of events from the comet's surface. A huge increase in brightness was recorded there. The observation took place approximately two months after the comet reached its closest distance to the sun. And this allowed scientists to better catalog various organic molecules of the comet, including cyanide, methane, and methanol. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 12.03.2026
True
"However, the amount detected in 3I Atlas seems unusually high compared to rates observed in solar system comets. And again, this fingerprint, discovered for the third time in July '25 by the Last Alert System, is only the third known object whose presence in space has been confirmed in the solar system. The first was Oumuamua in 2017. Then in 2019 Borisov, which had a more traditional comet-like appearance. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.03.2026
Fulfilled
"Artemis 2 still hasn't launched, and now most likely due to helium leak problems in the rocket's second stage, this launch will be delayed until April. Let's hope it happens then. But the Moon landing itself will also be delayed until 2028. And now I'm saying here that perhaps even later. It won't be good if it happens this decade. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2028
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.03.2026
Fulfilled
"According to the new plan, the Artemis III mission (launch scheduled for mid-2027, but with a high probability of being postponed) will be transformed into a complex test of orbital maneuvers in low Earth orbit (LEO). Instead of landing near the Moon's south pole, the Orion spacecraft crew will focus on rendezvous and docking operations with landers provided by SpaceX and Blue Origin. "
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🌐 Scenario Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.03.2026
! Misleading
"NASA's new plan assumes the launch of Artemis 3 in 2027, but keeps us in low Earth orbit. The mission will aim to demonstrate a range of technologies and capabilities, including rendezvous and docking procedures of the Orion crew capsule with one or both commercial landers. Officials informed. The company Blue Moon, founded by Jeff Bezos, is developing a crewed lander named Blue Moon. Blue Origin, I apologize, named Blue Moon. And this vehicle was supposed to first carry astronauts to lunar orbit as part of the Artemis 5 mission, which was planned for 2030. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology

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