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Piotr Kosek on Technology — predictions scored

Piotr Kosek on Technology — predictions scored

609 tracked claims · Accuracy: 87%

Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 08.04.2026
Fulfilled
"The landing will most likely take place in '28, '29. And here the Chinese are hot on the heels of the Americans. They don't really boast about every point of the program, like the Americans, but quietly pursue their goal and also want to get to the moon. Why? Because on the Moon there are few places where water is potentially located at the south pole. And these are great places because we have craters there, where some of these craters are practically always shielded from sunlight, so for billions of years there have actually been ice deposits. It may seem strange, what kind of raw material ice is, but ice in space is, one might say, the most valuable raw material. We have oxygen there, we have hydrogen there, because it is frozen water, so by extracting this ice we can have fuel, we can have oxygen for breathing, we can have water, which is also needed for everything, no matter how you look at it. So this is a very important place on the Moon, and in such places, where on one side we have this ice in the depths of the crater, and on the other side, on the top, on the edges of this crater, we have a place where for 90% of the time, sometimes even 100% of the time, we have sunlight. well, we can install a base and... "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2029
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 25.03.2026
Failed
"We will not wait another six decades for confirmation of which candidate is the correct one. In March 2026, the Indian orbiter Chandrayaan 2 will fly directly over the selected area. This flight is part of an ongoing lunar surface mapping project, so that in the future we know where everything is. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2026
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.03.2026
True
"For the first time in the documented history of modern science, humanity has deliberately and with full premeditation permanently modified the natural movement of celestial bodies relative to the central star of our entire system. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 13.02.2026
Pending
"We are entering the Vera Rubin Observatory, and it will be a true game changer, because we are launching a telescope with the largest digital camera in human history, 3.2 gigapixels. This monster will not look at a single point, but will scan the entire sky, constantly creating a time-lapse film of the universe's existence. The LSST program, or Legacy Survey of Space and Time, will generate 20 TB of data every night. Mike Brown said directly: "If someone gave him a suitcase full of money and told him to find Planet Nine, he would build something like the Vera Rubin telescope." This device is capable of detecting objects orders of magnitude dimmer than anything we have had so far. Scientists estimate that the number of known objects in the solar system will increase by as much as a hundredfold thanks to it. If Planet Nine is there, Vera Rubin will find it. If it's the Kuiper Belt disk, Vera Rubin will see its structure. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2026
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 10.06.2026
Fulfilled
"It is estimated that within the next few years, this one device will detect millions of new unknown asteroids. It will surpass in this regard the combined achievement of all humanity from the last 200 years. Well, in any case, an excellent tool for mapping cosmic threats, which will allow us to identify in advance objects that may threaten Earth in the future, or simply strike like the Chelyabinsk meteorite and cause some damage. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2031
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 10.06.2026
Fulfilled
"This tool will be used to map large-scale structures of the universe, studying the distribution and evolution of billions of galaxies. These gigantic datasets are to help us unravel two of the biggest mysteries of modern physics. [...] the nature of dark matter and the mechanism of dark energy. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2041
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 10.06.2026
Pending
"In Rubin's first year alone, scientists expect the observatory to find 1 million undiscovered asteroids — as many as have been documented in the previous 200 years of human history — as well as thousands of comets and billions of stars and galaxies. “We've never had this kind of explosion of discovery within astronomy,” said Sarah Greenstreet, an astronomer at the National Optical-Infrared Astronomy Research Laboratory. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2031
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 10.06.2026
True
"In just the first 10 hours of operation in one selected sector of the sky, the Vera Rubin telescope discovered over 2000 new asteroids. To realize the scale of this achievement, we must look at global statistics. All Earth-based search programs collectively discover several tens of thousands of such objects annually, and the Rubin telescope achieved in 10 hours what takes the entire astronomical world a month. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 10.06.2026
Fulfilled
"The Vera Rubin Telescope turns the tables here and introduces high-frequency temporal sampling. It scans the same areas of the sky at hourly and minute intervals, so for the first time in history, we will be able to record ultra-short-duration cosmic phenomena, creating a smooth, uninterrupted record of changes occurring in the night sky. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2027
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 10.06.2026
True
"One shot from the Vera Rubin camera is able to register an area of the sky corresponding to 50 full moons. In comparison, the Hubble Space Telescope sees only a tiny fraction of the moon's disk. If we wanted to create an image of the sky the size of the moon's disk using Hubble, we would have to combine hundreds of individual exposures into such a mosaic. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 08.06.2026
True
"the discovery of volcanic activity on Jupiter's moon, the closest one, the closest big one, the closest Galilean one. Yes. Because actually until then, it was not known whether any geological activity at all occurred on other planets. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 05.06.2026
· Unverified
"Badacze stworzyli próbkę stopu żelaza z precyzyjnie dobraną ilością węgla. Następnie, żeby wygenerować te monstrualne fale uderzeniowe, olbrzymie ciśnienie i temperaturę, które mogą odblokować ten stan superionowy, uderzyli w próbkę specjalnym pociskiem, który poruszał się z zawrotną prędkością. I to kontrolowane zderzenie pozwoliło na ułamek sekundy powołać do życia materię o właściwościach identycznych stron, która spoczywać miałaby tysiące kilometrów pod naszymi stopami. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 05.06.2026
True
"Researchers created a sample of iron alloy with a precisely selected amount of carbon. Then, to generate these monstrous shock waves, immense pressure and temperature that can unlock this superionic state, they hit the sample with a special projectile moving at breakneck speed. And this controlled collision allowed for a fraction of a second to bring into existence matter with properties identical to the pages that would lie thousands of kilometers beneath our feet. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 31.05.2026
Fulfilled
"If we turned off space at this second, your morning routine would turn into complete chaos. And it's not just about no TV signal or non-functional car navigation. We're talking about an immediate, deep paralysis of global logistics, a complete collapse of financial systems, the immobilization of public transport, and the blindness of emergency services. Within just a few seconds, our modern society would be set back decades. "
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🌐 Scenario Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 31.05.2026
True
"Orbital data is also used to map so-called urban heat islands. What are these islands? Well, these are areas where concrete and asphalt retain huge amounts of solar energy, causing a drastic increase in temperatures on hot days. And thanks to this information, architects know exactly where to plant trees, create parks, to bring relief to residents, to lower air conditioning costs, because these are also huge costs and huge amounts of energy used to cool apartments, when we wouldn't necessarily have to do it. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 31.05.2026
True
"The farmer receives a precise satellite map of their farm, on which they see which exact parts of the field require urgent irrigation, and which are in excellent condition and cannot be overwatered. This allows for precise dosing of fertilizers or plant protection products. They are no longer simply spread evenly over entire hectares, but applied pointwise, only where absolutely necessary. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 31.05.2026
True
"Satellites regularly provide high-resolution images that allow us to monitor urbanization processes in real-time. We can immediately see how certain decisions affect the functioning of the city. Artificial intelligence algorithms then analyze these images and automatically detect, for example, illegal construction in protected zones or other problems that we can solve thanks to having this data. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 31.05.2026
True
"Light travels 30 cm in 1 billionth of a second, or 1 nanosecond. A clock error of just one millionth of a second would translate to several hundred meters of displacement on a map. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 31.05.2026
True
"Thanks to these technologies, a satellite flying over Poland can detect so-called plant water stress, an early phase of physiological drought, before any human standing in the field notices the first yellow spots on the leaves. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 31.05.2026
True
"Atmospheric monitoring satellites, such as the European Sentinel 5P, have spectrometers on board, and these spectrometers analyze sunlight that passes through layers of air, and every gas, from nitrogen dioxide emitted by, for example, cars, to sulfur dioxide, some aerosols, absorbs light at that specific unique wavelength. This allows for mapping pollution on a continental scale, in fact, and with an accuracy of a few kilometers. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 31.05.2026
True
"Detecting hidden water pipe failures under cities. The failure of old pipes and leaks of drinking water underground is actually a gigantic problem for cities, which generates millions of dollars and millions of zlotys in losses. And it also causes the risk of traffic jams. So before the water breaks through to the surface, such a leak can last for months and no one knows anything about it. And this is where satellite technology comes into play. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 31.05.2026
True
"Satellite technology, specifically oceanographic satellites equipped with radar altimeters, continuously measure the precise height of the ocean surface. Ocean currents and oceanic eddies cause minimal, but still measurable, bulges and depressions in the water level. And satellites create real-time maps of ocean topography, allowing us to choose routes that ultimately enable us to arrive safely and faster. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 31.05.2026
True
"For solving this problem, for example, satellites equipped with synthetic aperture radar, or SAR, which operates in the L-band, are used. These waves can penetrate layers of concrete, asphalt, and soil to a depth of several meters. The satellite registers the so-called dielectric constant of the substrate. And algorithms also show underground anomalies. Including these leaks. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 31.05.2026
True
"Specialized satellites equipped with so-called synthetic aperture radars orbit above our heads. They can show rescuers which roads are passable and which areas have been completely cut off from the world. In the case of, for example, gigantic forest fires, thermal imaging satellites will immediately locate hot spots, directions of fire spread, enabling firefighters to precisely plan water drops. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.05.2026
Fulfilled
"Future gravitational wave detectors will be able to look directly through the plasma wall of recombination. They will bring us data from times when the universe was just an unimaginably tiny fraction of a second old. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2041
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.05.2026
Fulfilled
"Psyche mission. Upon arrival in August 2029, it will enter orbit around the asteroid Psyche, which is likely a partial core of a planetesimal, a building block of an early planet, through a series of circular orbits that will gradually lower and rise around Psyche. In essence, it means it will go once higher, once lower, and will gradually descend. The asteroid, which is about 280 km wide at its widest point, will be mapped and scientific data collected. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2029
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.05.2026
True
"The Moon is moving away from Earth. It used to be much closer. In the past, almost every transit of the Moon across the solar disk was a total eclipse. Today we have annular eclipses because the Moon has moved away from Earth. It moves away from our planet by an average of 3 cm each year, so total eclipses will eventually disappear. There will be no total eclipses at all. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.05.2026
True
"NASA's Psyche spacecraft completed its close approach of Mars on May 15, coming within 2,864 miles (4,609 kilometers) of the planet's surface. This flyby used a gravity assist from Mars to provide a critical boost in speed and to adjust the spacecraft's orbital plane without using any onboard propellant. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.05.2026
True
"This view of Mars' crescent was captured on May 15, 2026, around 5:03 PDT by the Psyche probe while approaching the planet for a gravity assist. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.05.2026
True
"And now the team has discovered that free gravitational propulsion is more common when choosing this hidden route, and the newly reported route uses 58.8 m/s less delta V than the previous cheapest known route. And with such, so to speak, uh, delta V, you can do quite interesting things. In fact, you can change the direction of such an orbit around the Moon multiple times, if it's something that is later supposed to fly around the Moon, it's a probe, right? We can reduce the mass of such an instrument, uh, such a probe or such, I don't know, a lander, and simply push in more, uh, kilograms, because we can easily convert that to kilograms, uh, of some scientific equipment, let's say, or supplies. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.05.2026
True
"We've confirmed that Mars gave the spacecraft a 1,000 mile-per-hour boost and shifted its orbital plane by about 1 degree relative to the Sun. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.05.2026
Pending
"The Psyche spacecraft is scheduled to arrive at the asteroid in August 2029 and enter orbit. The mission will involve a series of orbits that gradually lower to collect data. The asteroid is considered a potential exposed core of a protoplanet. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2029
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.05.2026
Pending
"The Psyche probe completed a close approach to Mars, coming within approximately 4609 km of its surface, and during the flyby, gravity assist was used to increase speed and correct the orbital plane without using fuel. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.05.2026
True
"The team discovered that free gravitational assist is more common when choosing this hidden route, and the newly reported route uses 58.8 m/s less delta V than the previous cheapest known route. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 13.05.2026
Pending
"The Falcon 9 rocket launched in January 2025. It fulfilled its mission, but now gravity has finally taken its toll. On August 5, 2026, at 9:44 our time, this second stage journey will come to a violent end. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 13.05.2026
Pending
"The Falcon 9 rocket launched in January 2025. It fulfilled its mission, but now gravity has finally taken its toll. On August 5, 2026, at 9:44 AM our time, this second stage journey will come to an end. Violently. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2026
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 13.05.2026
True
"Astronomer Bill Grey, creator of the Project Pluto software, which is used to track near-Earth objects, conducted extremely precise simulations. Based on over 1000 observations, he calculated that the Falcon 9 second stage will hit the Moon's surface at a speed of 2.43 km/s, which is over 8700 km/h. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 07.05.2026
Pending
"Japan is preparing a groundbreaking Start mission in 2026. Also a very interesting thing, dear friends, because the goal will be to collect samples from Mars' moon Phobos and deliver them to Earth. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2026
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 07.05.2026
Pending
"The MMX probe will reach Mars in 2027 and begin detailed studies of its two moons, Phobos and Deimos. Landing on Phobos is planned for 2029. Scientists want to collect about 10g of material from it and transport it to Earth. The return of samples to our planet will then be in 2031. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2031
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 07.05.2026
Pending
"According to the current schedule, the MMX probe will reach the vicinity of Mars in '27 and begin detailed studies of its two moons, Phobos and Deimos. Landing on Phobos is planned for 2029. Scientists want to collect about 10g of material from it and transport it to Earth. The return of samples to our planet will then take place in 2031. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2031

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