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Piotr Kosek on Technology — predictions scored

Piotr Kosek on Technology — predictions scored

609 tracked claims · Accuracy: 87%

Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.04.2026
True
"In 2022, NASA selected Action Space and Collins Aerospace, which is the company that was involved, among other things, in the production of spacesuits used on the ISS for the XEAS project. Using a commercial model, we already know. In 2024, Collins dropped out of this whole race. They signed some kind of settlement. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.04.2026
Pending
"The third flight of Blue Origin's New Glenn launch vehicle began on Sunday with the first successful re-flight of an orbital-class launch vehicle, but ended in failure for Jeff Bezos's rocket, a key element of NASA's Artemis lunar program. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.04.2026
True
"The Curiosity rover, my dears, discovered organic substances. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.04.2026
True
"The first stage of the New Glenn rocket continued a parabolic flight, briefly soaring into space, then headed towards the Blue Origin platform in the Atlantic Ocean. Almost 640 km southeast of Cape Canaveral. Restarting its engines for two braking maneuvers, the launch vehicle settled onto the ship's deck, landing in an atmosphere of smoke, but accurately, less than 10 minutes after launch. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.04.2026
! Misleading
"The Mars Sample Return mission was supposed to be a mission that would collect samples gathered by the Perseverance rover, because there's an interesting fact that when the Perseverance rover collects samples, it usually collects two samples of the same thing, from the same place, and one such sample it puts inside, into its device, for analysis, and the second one is secured in a special container and was supposed to await the Mars Sample Return mission, meaning an automated vehicle that will land, collect these samples, then its ascending module, so to speak, will ascend, connect with a spacecraft in orbit, and then return to Earth with these samples. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.04.2026
True
"While in the region, Curiosity recently utilized its onboard Sample Analysis at Mars (SAM) instrument suite, built to search for compounds of the element carbon that are associated with life. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.04.2026
True
""While the satellite separated from the launch vehicle and powered on, the altitude is too low to sustain operations with its on-board thruster technology and will [be] de-orbited," AST SpaceMobile wrote. "The cost of the satellite is expected to be recovered under the company's insurance policy." "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.04.2026
· Unverified
"Łazik Curiosity odkrył na Marsie zróżnicowaną mieszankę cząsteczek organicznych, w tym substancje chemiczne uważane za podstawowe składniki życia na Ziemi. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 20.04.2026
Pending
"the 10 kHz bandwidth is not small compared to the bandwidth of some astrophysical masers (~1 kHz) or to the frequency resolution of modern narrowband SETI searches (~1 Hz). "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 20.04.2026
True
"The peak on the letter U indicated a signal 30 times stronger than galactic noise. Firstly, an extremely narrow band, impossible, at least according to our knowledge, for natural processes. Everything we observe in space that produces radio waves hums on many frequencies. The signal is chaotic and very broadband. However, when we create our own radio signals, they have a narrow frequency band. They are, so to speak, focused. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 20.04.2026
True
"The Q value of the signal, calculated separately to indicate the depth of investigation that we could pursue if there was an ETI transmitting from Proxima Centauri (ProxCen), is relatively high, at 7. However, δ, the likelihood that this signal has an interstellar origin, is 0.00001, leading to a final Rio Score score of R = Q×δ = 0. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 20.04.2026
True
"It turned out that the star ROS 128 is located in the sky perfectly against the background of the Earth's celestial equator. And this has certain consequences, because it is the most crowded highway in orbit, full of geostationary commercial and military satellites also transmitting exactly in these frequencies. So the signal was just a blind echo of human machines orbiting above our heads, or rather hanging above our heads, because it's a geostationary orbit. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 20.04.2026
! Misleading
"The Wow! signal was a strong narrowband radio signal detected on August 15, 1977, by Ohio State University's Big Ear radio telescope. [...] The Wow! signal represented as "6EQUJ5". [...] The Wow! signal's highest measured value was "U" (an intensity between 30 and 31). "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 20.04.2026
True
"“Given the speed of Earth's rotation and the spatial width of the telescope's observation window, the Big Ear could observe any given point for just 72 seconds. A continuous extraterrestrial signal, therefore, would be expected to register for exactly 72 seconds, and the recorded intensity of such a signal would display a gradual increase for the first 36 seconds—peaking at the center of the observation window—and then a gradual decrease as the telescope moved away from it. All these characteristics are present in the Wow! signal.” "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 20.04.2026
True
"In August 1977, the Big Ear telescope registered a burst of waves from the vicinity of the Globular Cluster M55 in the constellation Sagittarius. Jerry Emman, seeing the printout, circled the sequence 6equ J5 with a red pen, and we must immediately debunk a popular myth. These signs are not some encrypted alien language. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.04.2026
! Misleading
"Blue Origin's reactor heats regolith to a temperature of 1600 degrees Celsius. The rock then completely melts and turns into liquid magma, and only then is electric current passed through this extremely hot liquid. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.04.2026
True
"Blue Origin has announced a significant step towards sustainable space exploration. The US space tech firm has revealed a system capable of extracting oxygen from lunar soil. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.04.2026
True
"almost half of the mass of this dust is pure oxygen. The only problem is that it does not occur there in the form of free gas that we could fill our lungs with, but is chemically trapped, bound with metals such as iron, titanium, silicon, and various others. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.04.2026
True
"Blue Origin estimates that approximately one megawatt of power will be needed to generate the reactors. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.04.2026
True
"NASA took the matter seriously enough to fund this project with $35 million through its Tipping Point program. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.04.2026
! Misleading
"NASA gave Blue Origin a small invaluable sample of original lunar dust brought to Earth by Apollo astronauts. Why? So that engineers could build an exact synthetic equivalent of this dust to test the entire electrolysis process. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.04.2026
True
"Do you remember those metals that settle at the bottom of the reactor during the electrolysis process? Blue Origin reports that as a byproduct of oxygen production, the reactor provides other absolutely critical elements for building infrastructure on the Moon. Because we obtain iron, aluminum, we obtain silicon, which can be used in constructions and eventually also in electronics, if such factories, in quotation marks, are also built on the surface of the Moon. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.04.2026
True
"Current separates ions of various metals, including silicon, from oxygen ions, with which they were previously inseparably bound. Positively charged silicon metal ions obediently migrate to one electrode, while negatively charged oxygen ions move to the other, where oxygen returns to gaseous form, bubbles up, and escapes to the surface, from where it can be safely collected. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 13.04.2026
True
"I found this, it's called, my dear, Terminator Technology, it's a terminator technology developed in the 90s, it causes plants not to produce seeds suitable for re-sowing, and in practice this means that plants originating from such seeds are infertile, they cannot be sown again, which forces farmers to buy new seeds from the producer every year, however, it is a controversial technology, raising many concerns and objections, especially among farmers and organizations fighting for agricultural independence, so generally it is almost not practiced for now, generally it is practically not practiced because legally they force these companies not to re-sow, and it is so effective that you know they don't have to do it. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 12.04.2026
True
"The most intensely discussed case of potential life discovery outside our solar system is the exoplanet named K218B. It is a world slightly larger than Earth, which is located in a star system approximately 124 light-years away from us. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 12.04.2026
True
"The real breakthrough occurred in 2023, when the analysis of data from the James Webb Space Telescope revealed the presence of methane and carbon dioxide. And then last year in 2025, the research team returned with even more interesting data. They reported the detection of dimethyl sulfide at a 3 sigma confidence level, which is quite high. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 12.04.2026
True
"the famous TRAPPIST-1 located just 40 light-years away. Hence the sun in this system or the star, but I sometimes use them interchangeably, is a red dwarf, not much bigger than Jupiter. This system has at least seven rocky planets, of which as many as three seem to be in the habitable zone. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 12.04.2026
True
"Key biosignatures are combinations of molecules that should not exist in chemical equilibrium. We don't know of any geological processes that could continuously generate them in such quantities that we could observe them. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 12.04.2026
True
"On the planet called Earth, this specific gas [dimethyl sulfide] is produced almost exclusively by marine microbes. A research team called this the strongest evidence yet for possible biosignature activity outside the solar system. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 10.04.2026
! Misleading
"the Voyager probe, which sends and receives data, uses this Deep Space Network. Antenna number 43 in Canberra is currently receiving data from our Orion spacecraft. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 08.04.2026
Pending
"It is probable that we will skip certain steps that took place in the Apollo program, such as descending low to a low lunar orbit, in favor of Artemis 3, the next mission, having docking tests in low Earth orbit, and Artemis 4 being a direct landing on the Moon's surface. So, the Artemis program is moving quite quickly thanks to the data and knowledge we gathered in previous Apollo program missions. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2029
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 07.04.2026
True
"And here, thanks to having a white point in the form of the hull of this spacecraft, we can see the Moon as it actually is. Simply a dark piece of debris suspended in space. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 07.04.2026
True
"They will still conduct tests, they will still conduct research on board the capsule, they will constantly test Orion for future missions, because let's remember that this is a test mission, that at this moment technologies, solutions, various concepts they had here are being tested, in order to be able to simply send people in the future who will land on the moon, and not just fly around it. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 05.04.2026
True
"antimatter itself, meaning a stream of protons, is very easy to utilize through a magnetic field, because antiprotons are electrically charged, just like positrons, regardless of whether it would be a stream, unless perhaps only a stream of neutrons would be unstoppable by a field, such a deflection shield, such a magnetic one, because a magnetic field, just like Earth's magnetosphere, deflects charged particles, similarly a sufficiently fast field, a sufficiently strong magnetic field would deflect these streams of particles, and they probably wouldn't do us much harm. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 05.04.2026
Pending
"Pions are not very short-lived particles, mesons. These are pi mesons, also called pions. Systems of two quarks, antiquarks. That's the point. So it already has a 'nice' mass, so to speak. And because they will be produced in this specific situation of annihilation of appropriate substances, you can direct them through a nozzle outwards and thus simply provide yourself with such an almost ionic engine, but based directly on antimatter. "
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🌐 Scenario Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 05.04.2026
True
"the cost of producing one millionth of a gram is many billions of dollars, so the cost of production today is astronomically high. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 05.04.2026
True
"the use of antimatter is primarily annihilation with ordinary matter and the conversion of this entirety, this mass, into pure energy practically according to the equation E = MC squared, producing a lot of energy, high-energy photons, which can be used in various ways. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 05.04.2026
! Misleading
"Pi mesons are very short-lived particles. They very, very quickly, as if, these quarks inside turn back into a photon. However, the neutral one, which does not show a charge externally, it lives very short and decays quickly, but charged pions already have lifetimes in the order of, if I'm not mistaken, nanoseconds, and this makes us know them perfectly well, because they arise in collisions, right? They arise in, for example, at CERN, right? and they are studied, so we know how long they live. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.04.2026
True
"This inner belt extends roughly from 1,000 km above our sea level to about 12,000 km. Then there is a gap, and from about 13,000 to 64,000 we have this outer Van Allen belt. How do they even form? They form in such a way that the solar wind, which I mentioned earlier, collides with Earth's magnetosphere. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.04.2026
! Misleading
"Steel is enough, aluminum is enough, and the appropriate creation of our armor, our hull, because it's not just an ordinary aluminum wall, but a multi-layered structure. Honeycomb structures are inside, both in Orion and as was the case in Apollo capsules. Thanks to the fact that there are different materials, they deal with radiation in different ways, and thanks to the fact that inside this capsule, besides the hull, we have various instruments all around, right? The seats they sit on, control panels of various kinds, life support systems, some kind of connections, this creates another wall that also inhibits radiation. So, inside such armor, we are completely safe. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology

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