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Piotr Kosek on Technology — predictions scored

64 tracked claims · Accuracy: 88%

Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 08.04.2026
Fulfilled
"The landing will most likely take place in '28, '29. And here the Chinese are hot on the heels of the Americans. They don't really boast about every point of the program, like the Americans, but quietly pursue their goal and also want to get to the moon. Why? Because on the Moon there are few places where water is potentially located at the south pole. And these are great places because we have craters there, where some of these craters are practically always shielded from sunlight, so for billions of years there have actually been ice deposits. It may seem strange, what kind of raw material ice is, but ice in space is, one might say, the most valuable raw material. We have oxygen there, we have hydrogen there, because it is frozen water, so by extracting this ice we can have fuel, we can have oxygen for breathing, we can have water, which is also needed for everything, no matter how you look at it. So this is a very important place on the Moon, and in such places, where on one side we have this ice in the depths of the crater, and on the other side, on the top, on the edges of this crater, we have a place where for 90% of the time, sometimes even 100% of the time, we have sunlight. well, we can install a base and... "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2029
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 25.03.2026
Failed
"We will not wait another six decades for confirmation of which candidate is the correct one. In March 2026, the Indian orbiter Chandrayaan 2 will fly directly over the selected area. This flight is part of an ongoing lunar surface mapping project, so that in the future we know where everything is. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2026
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 13.02.2026
Pending
"We are entering the Vera Rubin Observatory, and it will be a true game changer, because we are launching a telescope with the largest digital camera in human history, 3.2 gigapixels. This monster will not look at a single point, but will scan the entire sky, constantly creating a time-lapse film of the universe's existence. The LSST program, or Legacy Survey of Space and Time, will generate 20 TB of data every night. Mike Brown said directly: "If someone gave him a suitcase full of money and told him to find Planet Nine, he would build something like the Vera Rubin telescope." This device is capable of detecting objects orders of magnitude dimmer than anything we have had so far. Scientists estimate that the number of known objects in the solar system will increase by as much as a hundredfold thanks to it. If Planet Nine is there, Vera Rubin will find it. If it's the Kuiper Belt disk, Vera Rubin will see its structure. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2026
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 10.06.2026
Pending
"In Rubin's first year alone, scientists expect the observatory to find 1 million undiscovered asteroids — as many as have been documented in the previous 200 years of human history — as well as thousands of comets and billions of stars and galaxies. “We've never had this kind of explosion of discovery within astronomy,” said Sarah Greenstreet, an astronomer at the National Optical-Infrared Astronomy Research Laboratory. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2031
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 10.06.2026
Fulfilled
"This tool will be used to map large-scale structures of the universe, studying the distribution and evolution of billions of galaxies. These gigantic datasets are to help us unravel two of the biggest mysteries of modern physics. [...] the nature of dark matter and the mechanism of dark energy. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2041
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 10.06.2026
Fulfilled
"It is estimated that within the next few years, this one device will detect millions of new unknown asteroids. It will surpass in this regard the combined achievement of all humanity from the last 200 years. Well, in any case, an excellent tool for mapping cosmic threats, which will allow us to identify in advance objects that may threaten Earth in the future, or simply strike like the Chelyabinsk meteorite and cause some damage. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2031
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 10.06.2026
Fulfilled
"The Vera Rubin Telescope turns the tables here and introduces high-frequency temporal sampling. It scans the same areas of the sky at hourly and minute intervals, so for the first time in history, we will be able to record ultra-short-duration cosmic phenomena, creating a smooth, uninterrupted record of changes occurring in the night sky. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2027
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 31.05.2026
Fulfilled
"If we turned off space at this second, your morning routine would turn into complete chaos. And it's not just about no TV signal or non-functional car navigation. We're talking about an immediate, deep paralysis of global logistics, a complete collapse of financial systems, the immobilization of public transport, and the blindness of emergency services. Within just a few seconds, our modern society would be set back decades. "
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🌐 Scenario Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.05.2026
Fulfilled
"Future gravitational wave detectors will be able to look directly through the plasma wall of recombination. They will bring us data from times when the universe was just an unimaginably tiny fraction of a second old. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2041
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.05.2026
Pending
"The Psyche spacecraft is scheduled to arrive at the asteroid in August 2029 and enter orbit. The mission will involve a series of orbits that gradually lower to collect data. The asteroid is considered a potential exposed core of a protoplanet. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2029
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.05.2026
Fulfilled
"Psyche mission. Upon arrival in August 2029, it will enter orbit around the asteroid Psyche, which is likely a partial core of a planetesimal, a building block of an early planet, through a series of circular orbits that will gradually lower and rise around Psyche. In essence, it means it will go once higher, once lower, and will gradually descend. The asteroid, which is about 280 km wide at its widest point, will be mapped and scientific data collected. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2029
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 13.05.2026
Pending
"The Falcon 9 rocket launched in January 2025. It fulfilled its mission, but now gravity has finally taken its toll. On August 5, 2026, at 9:44 AM our time, this second stage journey will come to an end. Violently. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2026
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 07.05.2026
Pending
"Japan is preparing a groundbreaking Start mission in 2026. Also a very interesting thing, my dear friends, because the goal will be to collect samples from Mars' moon Phobos and deliver them to Earth. Visualization of the Martian Moons Exploration MMX mission. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2026
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 07.05.2026
Pending
"According to the current schedule, the MMX probe will reach the vicinity of Mars in '27 and begin detailed studies of its two moons, Phobos and Deimos. Landing on Phobos is planned for 2029. Scientists want to collect about 10g of material from it and transport it to Earth. The return of samples to our planet will then take place in 2031. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2031
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 07.05.2026
Pending
"Japan is preparing a groundbreaking Start mission in 2026. Also a very interesting thing, dear friends, because the goal will be to collect samples from Mars' moon Phobos and deliver them to Earth. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2026
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 07.05.2026
Pending
"The MMX probe will reach Mars in 2027 and begin detailed studies of its two moons, Phobos and Deimos. Landing on Phobos is planned for 2029. Scientists want to collect about 10g of material from it and transport it to Earth. The return of samples to our planet will then be in 2031. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2031
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.05.2026
Pending
"If WIMPs indeed annihilate in our galaxy, then we should see similar signals in neighboring dwarf galaxies, especially. Data from this observatory could be the ultimate proof that would close the case once and for all. "
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🌐 Scenario Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 24.04.2026
Pending
"Skyfall helicopters are to serve as advanced front-line scouts. Traversing vast areas at high speed, they will systematically map and thoroughly characterize deep subsurface ice deposits. We will receive precise data on the scale of these phenomena. Because we know that this ice is located under the regolith, but we don't know in what quantities. We will be able to determine their precise depth, and also volume. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2028
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 24.04.2026
Fulfilled
"NASA, with the support of its partner, the Department of Energy, will prepare a ready supply chain and launch an industrial base for small, extremely efficient nuclear reactors. And the lunar night lasts, my friends, almost 14 days. No matter how you look at it, temperatures become deadly then. Solar energy ceases to exist in many places on the Moon, after all. And it is precisely these same reactors, on which we are working today in various laboratories, that will provide astronauts with access to electricity, for example, at the bottom of lunar craters, if we also decide to build some outposts there. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2031
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 24.04.2026
Fulfilled
"In December 2028, NASA will launch Space Reactor-1 (SR-1) Freedom, the first spacecraft to use a nuclear fission reactor for propulsion beyond Earth orbit. SR-1 will be the first, and it will carry to Mars the Skyfall payload of three Ingenuity-class helicopters. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2028
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.04.2026
Fulfilled
"NASA has very concrete plans here. it intends to land humans on the Moon again in 2028 for now as part of the Artemis 4 mission. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2028
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 08.04.2026
Fulfilled
"NASA is officially sidelining the long-planned lunar Gateway space station to focus its efforts on establishing a base on the surface of the moon. ... Instead, NASA will concentrate on expanding its Artemis program surface architecture through crewed and uncrewed landers, rovers and habitats. In that light, existing Gateway hardware and international partner contributions will be repurposed wherever possible for surface systems or other program needs. ... NASA today outlined a range of new initiatives aimed at achieving the Trump administration's national space policy objectives, including plans to launch robotic landers on a monthly basis starting in 2027 and to establish a lunar outpost. ... President Donald Trump in December issued an executive order calling for NASA to return U.S. astronauts to the lunar surface by 2028 and establish the “initial elements” of a surface base by 2030, under the Artemis program created during his first term. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2030
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 01.04.2026
Fulfilled
"Depending on the day the rocket launches, the Artemis 2 mission has a chance to break the current absolute distance record set in April 1970 by the legendary Apollo 13 crew, which is over 400,171 km from Earth. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2026
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 25.03.2026
Failed
"When the aforementioned Chandrayaan 2 orbiter lowers itself during the planned maneuver and aims its lenses, it will register a crystal clear view of the zone designated by the program. Researchers will therefore be able to easily physically compare the individual proposed landing sites with this completely new high-resolution data, where we will probably see our armored beach ball. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2026
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.03.2026
Fulfilled
"According to the new plan, the Artemis III mission (launch scheduled for mid-2027, but with a high probability of being postponed) will be transformed into a complex test of orbital maneuvers in low Earth orbit (LEO). Instead of landing near the Moon's south pole, the Orion spacecraft crew will focus on rendezvous and docking operations with landers provided by SpaceX and Blue Origin. "
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🌐 Scenario Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.03.2026
Fulfilled
"Artemis 2 still hasn't launched, and now most likely due to helium leak problems in the rocket's second stage, this launch will be delayed until April. Let's hope it happens then. But the Moon landing itself will also be delayed until 2028. And now I'm saying here that perhaps even later. It won't be good if it happens this decade. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2028
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.02.2026
Pending
"The amount of information that, as of today, SKA will generate as input to the internet, is estimated to be about 10 times greater than all other information circulating on the internet. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2026
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 07.01.2026
· Unverified
"Autor proponuje on, aby wiązkę lasera w detektorze wprowadzić w stan kwantowy. (...) Jeśli teraz taki kwantowy laser napotka falę grawitacyjną, to powinno dojść do splątania. To znaczy, że stan fotonów i stan grawitonów stanie się nierozerwalnie połączony. I teraz uwaga, jest to kluczowy argument. Takie splątanie może powstać tylko wtedy, jeśli fala grawitacyjna sama w sobie ma własności kwantowe. "
🌐 original
🌐 Scenario Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 07.01.2026
Pending
"One of the most sought-after particles in modern physics is the graviton. The quantum of gravity. Why is searching for it so important? Because if we managed to measure it, we would have irrefutable proof that Einstein's general theory of relativity, the foundation of our understanding of the cosmos, is ultimately wrong, actually incomplete, and must give way to a theory that gives spacetime quantum properties. "
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🌐 Scenario Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 10.06.2026
Pending
"Dark energy is a working term for some mysterious force that acts like cosmic anti-gravitational repulsion, tearing apart cosmic space at an unprecedented rate. We don't know what it is, but the Vera Rubin Telescope, thanks to precise measurements of distant galaxies, can provide the most accurate measurement data in history, which will allow theoretical physicists to verify cosmological models that try to explain this phenomenon. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2041
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.06.2026
Pending
"SR-1 Freedom is the first step in a deliberate sequence. It will inform and enable Lunar Reactor-1 (LR-1), a fission surface-power system designed to keep the Moon Base operating through periods of darkness and in locations where solar power alone cannot reach. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2030
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 19.05.2026
Fulfilled
"NASA is trying to build and launch this spacecraft before the end of the next Mars launch window, which falls at the end of 2028. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2028
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 19.05.2026
Pending
"The ISS will end soon, as they say, the funeral dance will probably be played at the end of this decade. Maybe it will be extended a little bit, but future orbital stations, commercial orbital stations, all of this will need resupply. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2030
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 07.05.2026
· Unverified
"Szanghajska Akademia Technologii Lotów Kosmicznych zakłada stworzenie całej rodziny lądowników, które byłyby w stanie transportować ładunki o masie 120 do 5000 kg czy do 5 ton. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2031
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.05.2026
Pending
"If WIMPs indeed annihilate in our galaxy, then we should see similar signals in neighboring dwarf galaxies, especially. Data from this observatory could be the ultimate proof that would close the case once and for all. "
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🌐 Scenario Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 30.04.2026
Fulfilled
"If you try to pull it out of the embrace of its companions, using, for example, enormous energy, nature will do something amazing. Instead of allowing you to isolate a quark, the energy you put into stretching this string will become so great that the string will simply break, and at the point of breakage, the energy will transform into a new particle-antiparticle pair. "
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🌐 Scenario Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 24.04.2026
Pending
"The third phase is the culmination, the final transition from periodic research expeditions to a permanent, continuously inhabited lunar base, which will enable human presence there without any interruptions 365 days a year. We will then see the landing of multifunctional habitats and massive life support equipment. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2041
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 24.04.2026
Pending
"Phase two is the stage of establishing early supporting infrastructure. At that time, repetitive, cyclical astronaut operations will begin, including major international partners in the program framework. Then, for example, we will see in action the contribution of the Japanese agency JAXA, which will provide an advanced pressurized rover, and this will allow astronauts to undertake multi-day expeditions away from the lunar base. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2031
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 08.04.2026
Pending
"It is probable that we will skip certain steps that took place in the Apollo program, such as descending low to a low lunar orbit, in favor of Artemis 3, the next mission, having docking tests in low Earth orbit, and Artemis 4 being a direct landing on the Moon's surface. So, the Artemis program is moving quite quickly thanks to the data and knowledge we gathered in previous Apollo program missions. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2029
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 05.04.2026
Pending
"Pions are not very short-lived particles, mesons. These are pi mesons, also called pions. Systems of two quarks, antiquarks. That's the point. So it already has a 'nice' mass, so to speak. And because they will be produced in this specific situation of annihilation of appropriate substances, you can direct them through a nozzle outwards and thus simply provide yourself with such an almost ionic engine, but based directly on antimatter. "
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🌐 Scenario Technology

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