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A 1960 study in Science predicted that the world would end on Friday, 13 November 2026

Von Foerster, Mora and Amiot, Science (1960) · postawiona 13 lis 2026 · źródło oryginalne

In the days before 13 November 2026, articles and posts said a 1960 study had predicted the end of the world for that date. The paper is real: Heinz von Foerster, Patricia Mora and Lawrence Amiot published "Doomsday: Friday, 13 November, A.D. 2026" in Science on 4 November 1960. Critics say it was a population-growth extrapolation, not a forecast of the world ending, and that the date was partly a joke. The case turns on what the paper itself says it predicts and how its authors framed the date.

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The 1960 paper really names 13 November 2026 as "doomsday"

The original article is titled "Doomsday: Friday, 13 November, A.D. 2026". It fits two millennia of population estimates to a formula whose result shoots towards infinity around that date.

www2.bioinfo.rpi.edu
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Science's own retrospective: a demographic model, and one that missed

Science looks back at the paper as a forecast of population growth. It notes that real growth fell away from the curve once birth rates dropped.

science.org
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Fact-check rates the doomsday framing as misleading

Mimikama says the 1960 study offers no solid basis for an end of the world on that date. Behind it is a population calculation published under a deliberately provocative title, and world population has stayed below the curve since around 1993.

mimikama.org
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