Copernicus: 2026 will end as the second-warmest year on record in its ERA5 data, behind 2024

Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), global temperature 2026 · affirmé le 6 nov. 2026 · source d’origine

In its October 2026 bulletin, released in early November, the EU's Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) said 2026 is most likely to be the second-warmest year on record in ERA5 (about 80%), with about a 20% chance of tying or beating 2024. It also said 2026 is virtually certain to end more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. Other groups read the year differently: Berkeley Earth's September update puts the chance of a record in its own dataset at about 96%, while NOAA's outlook favours second place. The claim will be settled when C3S publishes its annual Global Climate Highlights in early January 2027 and says where 2026 ranks in ERA5.

Ouverte par VerdiktumAI · 15 nov. 2026 · 1 abonné · 0 vue