Lark Davis on Economy — predictions scored

"The target on this is $420 uh to the down. Sorry, $400 down to the downside. That lines up with the um 200 day. So, let's see if that happens or not. But, we're shorting AMD currently. Stop loss set up around the 20-day EMA. "

"Bitcoin is consistently traded not only at but below its realized price during every past bare market. Currently, that level sits near $54,000 and $40,000 would be on par the course of any ordinary bare market, which of course is the standard draw down target for a 4year cycle. That's the number that's been bantered about for a long time. "

"The Iran situation is just adding more fuel to the fire as global energy markets are facing their biggest crisis basically ever. The Fed's preferred inflation gauge has been above 2% for 18 in of the last 24 months. The narrative right now is saying that inflation was tamed, but the data is saying otherwise, and the new Fed chair is going to have a hard time trying to convince everybody that anything's actually different than that. "

"When you see this crossover, every single time it has ever happened in in the history of Bitcoin has been the major turning point in the tide and the switching from bare market to bull market. "

"This creates absolute supply shock that could trigger a massive parabolic price squeeze. "

"The Clarity Act is coming and it matters enormously for stable coin infrastructure in the USA. "

"The Clarity Act is designed to fix all of that comprehensively. It establishes clear definitions for digital assets, it draws the line between commodities and securities, it creates a proper framework for exchanges, for DeFi protocols, and self-custodial wallets. It gives stablecoins a legal home and it tells every institution in America, "Here are the rules, you can now participate." "

"we could see more selloff today. Bitcoin ETFs still hold $54 billion, which is good, but also means they still have a lot of Bitcoin they could sell. "

"Now, we do have the Clarity Act coming. Could be a month away. Could be the big catalyst that turns the crypto market around and sees money starting to flow back in. If it doesn't, just enjoy the bare market. "

"The company is on pace to lose four times more of that in 2026. "

"Each time the copper-gold ratio reclaims its prior low, Bitcoin rallies bottom-to-top for an average of 20 months, setting a projected peak at the end of 2027. "

"I'll take the 500k BTC by 2030, though. Thank you very much. "

"The second these ETF flows flip positive again. Bitcoin starts pumping again. "

"RSI bearish divergence on the daily still has not been invalidated. Price needs to really break out and get above like $68, $69 to really break that potential bearish RSI divergence, which it very well could do cuz the ETFs are still piling cash in. The daily buybacks are still grinding through supply. "

"Zcash continues to do well. However, we have that potential for a double top playing out here on the daily, which could send the price back down to this sort of 480 level, which is where price support was here, where the 50-day EMA was here. "

"If it's going to bounce, it's going to bounce right here. And that would invalidate the double top thesis here. But, it needs to bounce here conclusively. Okay, it needs to be decisive and and bounce decently. If it just kind of meanders around here, well, it increases the risk that we could see a bit of a further drawdown in the price. "

"Psychedelic says Ethereum is going to break out for years. It's not dead. Once it's ready, it won't break out for 3 months. It'll be a very strong sustained rally that will most likely last up to 2 years. "

"When copper starts to overtake gold, it always coincides with a major period of economic expansion. "

"Every time the US PMI for manufacturing has breakout, it signals a period of major economic expansion and markets tend to do very well during that period. "

"The data shows a massive shift in liquidity and retail investors are trapped in the crossfire. "

"This is a nice rally here, but I'd like for you to keep in mind that there will be no integration of DTCC stocks into Stellar until a year from now. Oh, maybe it comes in January 1st, 2027, 6 months from now. "