Lark Davis on Economy — predictions scored

"I might even put in a long here on ETH just contrarianly with a stop loss down here around two grand because if you get a weekly close under two under this trend line, it's probably over for a while for ETH and it probably has to have even more pain suffered. "

"Watch for a reclaim of the 50-day EMA around $77,000 approximately. And ideally to get back over the 20-day EMA, which is about say 78 A a daily close of $78,000 gets back over the 20-day EMA and restarts a potential uptrend here for BTC. "

"We can see a resolution to the Iran situation. That brings inflation back down super quick. Within 3 to 4 months, you'll see inflation back to pre-Iran war levels. It'll take a little while for tankers to get back in, get them back to where they're going, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. But, eventually, that evens out, and the risks around the war and the global oil disruption, the energy crisis that's currently happening, subside very quickly. "

"If the inflation problems will subside very quickly once the Strait of Hormuz properly reopens back up and things return to some kind of normal here in Middle East, well, once we get that going on, copper can break out, gold chills out, the US PMI for manufacturing keeps raging higher. "

"prices are going to go up significantly in the next few weeks if this situation does not resolve itself. So, whether or not Trump can get the Israelis to stop blowing stuff up or not, well, we're going to find out over the weekend. "

"I still think we go up to that 69k mark. The only question is whether I get stopped out first or not. "

"If this breaks to the downside, okay, there is about a $4,000 downward price target. So, you'd expect it to break from about 63, 64k, well down approximately to 59k again. That would be the downside target. Has not broken to the downside. It has not confirmed below the channel yet. "

"Still targeting 78 bucks. Came close the other day, didn't quite hit it. Keeping the long open. "

"I think Bitcoin starts to rally late in the fourth quarter of '26 and early into early 2027. "

"Solana, so salami coin here losing the 20-day EMA. Let's see how it plays out over the next few days. I'd like to see it reclaim the 20-day EMA. Still targeting that uh 50-day EMA move. $78 price target for the trade. "

"The smartest venture capitalists are aggressively shifting capital right now to physical energy infrastructure because they realize that this aggressive timeline is terrifying the real traditional tech timelines are officially obsolete. "

"The ultrasound money narrative, the idea the ETH burns more than it creates and becomes deflationary, it's not just weak, it's dead. "

"I would not be shocked to see it come down to 635 which would make everybody believe that the world is literally ending but would only actually be a 15% correction. Technical correction but not bare market territory for the index. "

"The 20-day EMA probably becomes a more reasonable target if you do get a break up in the price. "

"The double top target here from 280 down to 220 is 60 cents lower. We had the initial breakdown bounce off the 50-day, but we came back up and have basically perfectly retested the neckline on this. So that would then mean a 60cent move lower from 220, which is about a buck 60. Okay, that's where the uh short target is on this. "

"Bitcoin is consistently traded not only at but below its realized price during every past bare market. Currently, that level sits near $54,000 and $40,000 would be on par the course of any ordinary bare market, which of course is the standard draw down target for a 4year cycle. That's the number that's been bantered about for a long time. "

"The target on this is $420 uh to the down. Sorry, $400 down to the downside. That lines up with the um 200 day. So, let's see if that happens or not. But, we're shorting AMD currently. Stop loss set up around the 20-day EMA. "

"When you see this crossover, every single time it has ever happened in in the history of Bitcoin has been the major turning point in the tide and the switching from bare market to bull market. "

"The Iran situation is just adding more fuel to the fire as global energy markets are facing their biggest crisis basically ever. The Fed's preferred inflation gauge has been above 2% for 18 in of the last 24 months. The narrative right now is saying that inflation was tamed, but the data is saying otherwise, and the new Fed chair is going to have a hard time trying to convince everybody that anything's actually different than that. "

"This creates absolute supply shock that could trigger a massive parabolic price squeeze. "

"The Clarity Act is coming and it matters enormously for stable coin infrastructure in the USA. "

"The Clarity Act is designed to fix all of that comprehensively. It establishes clear definitions for digital assets, it draws the line between commodities and securities, it creates a proper framework for exchanges, for DeFi protocols, and self-custodial wallets. It gives stablecoins a legal home and it tells every institution in America, "Here are the rules, you can now participate." "

"Now, we do have the Clarity Act coming. Could be a month away. Could be the big catalyst that turns the crypto market around and sees money starting to flow back in. If it doesn't, just enjoy the bare market. "

"The company is on pace to lose four times more of that in 2026. "

"Each time the copper-gold ratio reclaims its prior low, Bitcoin rallies bottom-to-top for an average of 20 months, setting a projected peak at the end of 2027. "

"I'll take the 500k BTC by 2030, though. Thank you very much. "

"The second these ETF flows flip positive again. Bitcoin starts pumping again. "

"Psychedelic says Ethereum is going to break out for years. It's not dead. Once it's ready, it won't break out for 3 months. It'll be a very strong sustained rally that will most likely last up to 2 years. "

"If it's going to bounce, it's going to bounce right here. And that would invalidate the double top thesis here. But, it needs to bounce here conclusively. Okay, it needs to be decisive and and bounce decently. If it just kind of meanders around here, well, it increases the risk that we could see a bit of a further drawdown in the price. "

"Zcash continues to do well. However, we have that potential for a double top playing out here on the daily, which could send the price back down to this sort of 480 level, which is where price support was here, where the 50-day EMA was here. "

"RSI bearish divergence on the daily still has not been invalidated. Price needs to really break out and get above like $68, $69 to really break that potential bearish RSI divergence, which it very well could do cuz the ETFs are still piling cash in. The daily buybacks are still grinding through supply. "

"Every time the US PMI for manufacturing has breakout, it signals a period of major economic expansion and markets tend to do very well during that period. "

"When copper starts to overtake gold, it always coincides with a major period of economic expansion. "

"The data shows a massive shift in liquidity and retail investors are trapped in the crossfire. "

"This is a nice rally here, but I'd like for you to keep in mind that there will be no integration of DTCC stocks into Stellar until a year from now. Oh, maybe it comes in January 1st, 2027, 6 months from now. "