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Igor Janke on Economy — predictions scored

Igor Janke on Economy — predictions scored

155 tracked claims · Accuracy: 81%

Igor Janke Igor Janke 22.05.2026
True
"The Community also expects Ukraine to meet its further requirements. The payment of 9 billion euros, part of a total 90 billion euro EU loan for Ukraine, is to be made conditional on its tax reform. This is to consist of improving tax collection and introducing mechanisms for more efficient spending of money. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 21.05.2026
True
"The estimated costs of implementing the SAFE defense program have increased. The loan offered by the European Union was originally supposed to be at an interest rate of 3.17%, but according to new calculations, it will be at least 3.32%. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 20.05.2026
True
"Because the main reason for this visit and the main goal of this visit was to sign an agreement on the construction of the Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline. This agreement was not signed, and this can be treated as a failure of Vladimir Putin and the Russian delegation. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 20.05.2026
True
"In January 2020, the ICT sector contributed 7.3% of GDP, but by January 2024 this had decreased to 3.7%. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 19.05.2026
True
"“Poultry exports from China to Europe increased from about 20,000 tons in 2020 to over 100,000 tons annually.” and “In 2025, ... Growth has been redirected towards ... the EU (10%).” "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 19.05.2026
True
"The United States, for the third time since the beginning of the war with Iran, has suspended sanctions on Russian oil exports. The decision was justified by the needs of countries vulnerable to the energy crisis. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 19.05.2026
Pending
"After the start of the Persian Gulf War, Russia significantly increased its revenues from fossil fuel exports. It is estimated that in the first month of the conflict, it recorded an additional 5 billion dollars in profit. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 19.05.2026
True
"The first thing that costs, uh, Germany, uh, an enormous amount of money, and it has been calculated that it might even cost over 2 trillion euros by the end of this process, is the energy transformation. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 15.05.2026
! Misleading
"They have the lowest nominal GDP growth in 50 years. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 14.05.2026
Pending
"The Ministry of Finance will continue to work on the digital tax project prepared by the Ministry of Digitalization. The idea is criticized by the United States. Minister of Finance Andrzej Domański declared that his ministry will now take over the work on the regulations proposed by the Ministry of Digitalization. Donald Tusk's government plans to adopt a digital tax in the third quarter of the current year. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 14.05.2026
True
"The Council of Ministers' legislative work register indicates that the government plans to adopt a draft bill on the introduction of a 3% digital tax in Q3 2026. [...] Minister of Finance and Economy, Andrzej Domański [...] said: 'Poland determines what taxes are in Poland.' 'This project is included in the government's list of works, it was submitted by the Ministry of Digitalization. The Ministry of Finance will also work on it. It is Poland that determines what taxes are in Poland. New technology sector companies must pay taxes in Poland, like everyone else,' said Andrzej Domański at a meeting with journalists. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 12.05.2026
True
"Regarding the development of RES in Texas, we see from the data that it accelerated after 2021, i.e., after the blackout in that state, which, taking advantage of the specifics of Texas as an electricity system that was disconnected from other American operators, and ERCOT was simply a bit of a lonely island there. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 12.05.2026
! Misleading
"His idea was a big gamble. A gamble that would pay off if the state suddenly started earning more money. The state did not suddenly start earning more money. Worse, it turned out that a war in Iran broke out, which completely buried energy security for every American who uses gasoline, energy, i.e., for basically everyone. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 11.05.2026
True
"All of this forced Russia, for example, to introduce restrictions on fuel exports, as well as drastic budget adjustments regarding the 2026 budget law, which at the beginning of this current year seemed impossible to meet, because expected profits from oil or gas sales were much, much lower. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 11.05.2026
True
"The difference between the market price of individual raw materials or fuels and the price at which the Russians sold them began to decrease, while at the same time the global, official price was going higher. Because until now, the Russians were de facto forced to sell their oil or gas at very low prices. This was due to few countries wanting to buy them, and on the other hand, the Russians had to maintain exports all the time so as not to be flooded with their own energy resources. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 11.05.2026
Pending
"Europeans, for example, will have applications on their phones just like I have banking applications, and there will be this digital euro, and for micro-payments without any costs, 24/7, it will be possible to transfer euros among themselves throughout the entire Eurozone. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 11.05.2026
True
"The Ukrainian route, meaning brotherhood. It also does not pump gas to the West, as the Ukrainian-Russian agreement, which allowed deliveries via this route, e.g., to Slovakia or Hungary, expired at the beginning of 2025. The Ukrainian route is a true transmission giant. It could deliver over 100 billion cubic meters, well over 100 billion cubic meters of Russian gas to Europe annually. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 11.05.2026
True
"before 2030 it will probably be possible to pay with a digital euro in the European Union, meaning that just like today we pay with a card, there will be a digital euro issued by the European Central Bank, work on this is ongoing. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 11.05.2026
! Misleading
"These restrictions forced Russians, among other things, to sell some of their oil assets operating on the international market. This refers to subsidiaries of Russian concerns operating, for example, in Europe. Moreover, thanks to these restrictions, from October 2025, we saw a clear downward trend in Russian oil supplies, e.g., to India. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 11.05.2026
! Misleading
"In 2025, and in fact in the second half of that year, global balance was re-established in terms of oil supply, gas supply, and above all, fuel supply. New refineries came into play, whose renovations or construction had been postponed during the coronavirus pandemic. And now these new units have begun to stabilize the still fragile situation regarding the global economy, which constantly needs energy carriers such as diesel and gasoline. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 11.05.2026
True
"Therefore, US allies in the region, such as Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, and other Persian Gulf countries, were hit. And they were hit in a very specific way. Namely, infrastructure related to oil extraction, gas extraction, and processing these raw materials into fuels was attacked, which brought the world another energy crisis in just four years. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 11.05.2026
True
"China buys Russian gas, but the volume sent to the Middle Kingdom is much, much smaller than its potential for delivery to Europe, and by the way, China is not at all a submissive partner to Russia and plays with the Russians, when it comes to gas, like the Russians have probably never played with anyone. For example, they impose their price on the Russians for blue fuel supplies, and also force Russia to bear the cost of implementing infrastructural connections such as the Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline. So the Russians are now paying to build a pipeline running to China, through which they will sell gas to the Chinese at a very low price set by Beijing. Well, that's not a comfortable situation for Gazprom. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 11.05.2026
True
"And all this forced Russia, for example, to introduce restrictions on fuel exports, as well as to make drastic budget adjustments. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 11.05.2026
True
"The Yamal pipeline running, among others, through Poland. It also does not work, does not pump gas, and Poles have taken control over the Polish section, because until recently it was managed by a joint Polish-Russian board, but since 2022, and fully since 2023, Poles have taken over the management of the Polish part of Yamal. This pipeline no longer pumps gas from Russia to the West, but is used by Poland to receive raw material from Germany. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 08.05.2026
Pending
"No one gives us a fixed-rate loan for over 40 years. Only the interest rate can change. If interest rates change in the European Union or generally in financial markets, it will absolutely affect the future interest rate of the SAFE loan. "
translated PL · original
⚠️ Warning Economy 2066
Igor Janke Igor Janke 08.05.2026
! Misleading
"causes certain effects which today make the European Union, not only for this reason, but clearly in third place in the world as a development area after the United States and China. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 08.05.2026
True
"And Europe, which imports 75% of the coal it consumes, 90% of gas, and 97% of oil and fuels, cannot be competitive. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 08.05.2026
True
"Recently, the head of the National Bank of Poland spoke about these funds waiting, and attention, how much money is waiting? Also around 190 billion zlotys. So these 190 billion zlotys, which we would borrow from the European Commission, we would borrow from European funds on preferential terms, we could have from the National Bank of Poland. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 08.05.2026
True
"We have an agreement signed between the Polish government and the European Commission, which allows these funds to go into our budget. They are to go into our budget on very preferential terms. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 08.05.2026
True
"Poland signed the SAFE agreement, becoming the largest beneficiary of the European security support instrument. Approximately 43.7 billion euros, or almost 190 billion PLN, is to go to the country. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 07.05.2026
Fulfilled
"Poland has a very specific, soft underbelly precisely in this matter. It is energy, and above all, the electricity sector. "
translated PL · original
💬 Opinion Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 07.05.2026
Pending
"But also an interesting thing that will happen is the cessation of any insurance. Unfortunately, our policies, whether property or life insurance, are such that they have protection excluded in the event of war. "
translated PL · original
⚠️ Warning Economy 2026
Igor Janke Igor Janke 07.05.2026
! Misleading
"Americans misjudged the theory of victory, they did not defeat the Atoll regime, and Iran perfectly assessed the ten points of gravity. There were two. The first is Hormuz and striking the petrodollar system, meaning the global economy, despite Trump saying that it hurts Europe and Asia more, and they should unblock it, not us in Ameropa, yet the entire system of margin relocation from the Persian Gulf and other client states of the United States in Europe, in Asia, depends on this, meaning, we give you protection, but the margin you earn, I give back in bonds, I give back in assets, in the American stock market, and we live off that. Beyond our means, let's add. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 06.05.2026
True
"As Wysokie Napięcie notes, the average cost of coal production in Poland already reaches 1,000 PLN per ton, making it... the most expensive in the world. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 05.05.2026
True
"this entire sector in the last two years generated 20 billion Polish zlotys in losses, losses covered by taxpayer money. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 05.05.2026
? Unverifiable
"It can be estimated, based on these historical experiences, that this sudden increase in inflation in the first phase immediately after the outbreak of war can range from 11 to 18%. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 05.05.2026
True
"For the overwhelming part of this loss, essentially two companies, PG and JTSW, are responsible. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 23.04.2026
True
"Technical limitations caused crude oil not to flow through the Druzhba pipeline to the German Schwedt refinery from May 1. "
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✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 23.04.2026
True
"Viktor Orban's government presented its plan to the European Commission in December last year. It assumes the expenditure of 16 billion 200 million euros on defense projects and dual-use technology. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Igor Janke Igor Janke 20.04.2026
True
"The U.S. Treasury Department on Friday extended its pause on sanctions on Russian oil shipments to ease shortages from the Iran war, days after Secretary Scott Bessent ruled out such a move. The so-called general license means U.S. sanctions will not apply for 30 days on deliveries of Russian oil that has been loaded on tankers as of Friday. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy