Albert Rokicki on Technology — predictions scored
24 tracked claims · Accuracy: 75%
"Bioceltics has a chance to be the first Polish biotechnology company, listen, that will release its own innovative drug, a so-called first in the class, on the market. No one has succeeded so far. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
Short timeframe
"And imagine that soon, more or less almost at the same time as this company is spun off from Creotech Creotech Quantum, a quantum competitor in Finland will debut and will also have a dual listing in New York, in the United States, and note, at a valuation of 1.8 billion dollars. Although they have 35 million dollars in revenue. But Creotech Quantum has about 3 million in revenue, and plans to have 100 million zlotys in annual revenue, right? So 100 million zlotys annually, that would already be about 27 million dollars annually, not much less than this Finnish competitor. I wrote about this on Twitter, which is valued at 1.8 billion dollars, so even from such a proportion, this quantum company should be valued at 500, 600 million. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2026
"W ciągu najbliższej dekady sztuczna inteligencja zastąpi miliony etatów. Księgowi, prawnicy, analitycy, marketerzy. Nikt nie jest bezpieczny. "
🌐 original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2036
"Artificial intelligence will take away millions of jobs. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
Medium timeframe
"In the case of Amazon, I believe Anthropic will strongly boost its results when it goes public with a cosmic valuation close to a trillion, analogous more or less to OpenAI, in which Microsoft has invested. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2026
"I put forward a bold thesis here. maybe Nvidia will go down and they will meet halfway, but I would see it this way, that now Intel will take Nvidia's pie. Listen, that this is that unexpected, ridiculed competitor, but he will be here in cooperation with Elon Musk. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
Long timeframe
"Regarding these new BMWs within the Neue Klasse, the production of the i3 sedan is scheduled for August. It will be exclusively electric from 2027, with 40 plus miles for Americans, which is 640 km. BMW also plans up to 40 new refreshed models within this Neue Klasse by the end of 2027. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2027
"The current year 2026 is a key transitional year for the company from the development phase to the early commercialization phase. The biggest catalysts are FAA success, the start of flights in the United Arab Emirates and the USA, and potential full type certification in the second half of the year. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2026
"March 2026 Archer's partners in Texas, Florida, New York were selected for the White House Evitol Integration Pilot Program. this paves the way for the first passenger flights in the USA already in the second half of 2026. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2026
"A good company in my opinion, and the market will appreciate it when there is registration, when the factory starts. In mid-next year there will be a final audit of GIFU, the Chief Pharmaceutical Inspectorate, also pharmaceutical. Production should start late 2028/early 2029. Well, we will probably be in a different place. That's how I foresee it. The first innovative Polish drug, not biosimilar like Mabion tried. Or Polpharma succeeded, right? In the United States, Polpharma even sells a biosimilar, that the patent expired and they made a cheaper copy. No, this is an innovative drug. Most likely for the first time a Polish company. Even the management said it's certain, that they are sure of it. The only question is when, right, that there might be some delays, but that they will get it based on these studies, that's certain, right? And they are convinced of it. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2028
"there will be such a hype for these space companies and unfortunately, unfortunately I would prefer it to succeed, yes, but I'm afraid there will be huge disappointment after the debut, there will be distribution, there will be drops in SpaceX that will drag the entire industry down. So until June we can nicely play, for example, Kreotech Scanway, these Polish entities, but I think from July, somewhere from the holidays, there will be a dump in the space sector. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Technology
"Elon Musk's SpaceX IPO is already announced. A trillion, it seems like 1.7 trillion or 1.5 trillion dollars. The largest debut in history. Also, in my opinion, until June, this space sector will perform very well. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2026
"However, let's remember that this company, Kreotech Quantum, is already generating revenue, and quantum encryption solutions are to be implemented in the European Union already this year, by the end of this year. There will be a gigantic demand for this. After all, the biggest fears of crypto enthusiasts are that quantum computers will decrypt blockchain and completely dismantle it. So, I think this can also spark imagination. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2026
"No, you definitely touched on an interesting point regarding Kreotech, that in my opinion, the market completely undervalues the fact that there is this quantum company there, which will be spun off at the turn of the first, second quarter. Well, according to the plan, it's supposed to be by the second quarter at the latest, and we know that these quantum topics were most heated last year in the United States. Yes, it's known that there was a severe correction, as you warn here, especially that these corrections happen sooner or later, but I believe that this is such a hidden value, and I personally wouldn't be surprised if this quantum part, i.e., Kreotech Quantum, earned more in the coming years than the space part, which is already, to put it mildly, appreciated, right? "
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PL · original
💬 Opinion
Technology
"And earlier, before that is developed, meaning that computer, that is a big project, but earlier, such quantum encryption systems, and also communication, like connectivity of these quantum ciphers, are being developed and will most likely be implemented next year, which will not be able to be deciphered even by quantum computers in the future. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2027
"A bubble burst in the quantum and space sectors is still very far off, and their development will continue for years before saturation. "
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PL · original
💬 Opinion
Technology
"I would see Holstein as a dark horse in gaming this year, because most likely this premiere, let's be honest, it won't be in the second quarter. I don't think so. It will be autumn or even the beginning of next year, together with console versions, it will come out then, right? they have a new publisher and that should help them. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2026
"However, next year, listen, the premiere of Crop is planned, which is a game also unexpected by the market. I think it's from some Scandinavian studio, I don't know if it's not Finnish at all, which already has over 120,000 wishlists. It's also a shock that after a few days it had 120,000 wishlists and it's also performing well on Steam. This is a publishing segment, they will most likely split fifty-fifty with this studio. But it looks good. Well, let's say somewhere at the level of Alters, maybe a bit worse than Alters, something like Moonlighter 1 perhaps. So, it's nice, no one expected it, such a nice bonus. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2027
"Amazon. I don't like conglomerates, right? And I don't want to be a bad prophet, but it also seems to me that there is some end for this company on the horizon, at least a few years away, that it is already such a bloated entity that it probably shouldn't develop very strongly anymore, because it would already be too big to manage. It starts operating in many different fields, both film production and film distribution through Prime. We know that artificial intelligence has also joined this race, data centers and so on. So it's in a clinch, and competitors, when it comes to retail sales, when it comes to the distribution of goods and services, that competition is not sleeping either. We see that between the weekly averages, it's a continuation of a sideways trend. "
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PL · original
💬 Opinion
Technology
"I think also under the influence of these revelations about Project Gini. Because it might hit Playway in the sense that it mostly has studios that make simulators, so there will be even more of these simulators, because it will be easy to make such a simulator. I emphasize here, these are games without a story, without character development most often. "
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PL · original
💬 Opinion
Technology
"Speaking of add-ons, an add-on for The Witcher 3 is expected this year. For The Witcher 3. So this is very interesting what's happening. Because it would have to be made on Unreal. Also an interesting thing, that it would be on the same engine as The Witcher 4. So it would be a foretaste of The Witcher 4. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2026
"The first radar satellite, analogous to ISA, will be launched in the Kamila project next year. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2027
"And also an interesting fact, that Archer, I don't know if it will make it, but it has signed an exclusivity agreement for the transport of participants of the FIFA World Cup. Imagine that. But since we're talking about the second half of the year here, it might unfortunately not make it, right? Perhaps only some demonstration, test flights, but it won't be massive, right? "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Technology
"I remind you that Elon Musk's company SpaceX is entering the stock market in June, which may also ignite investors' imagination. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2026