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Benjamin Cowen (Into the Cryptoverse)
Claim author · 📅 14.06.2026 · Bitcoin Dynamic DCA: How I Navigate Crypto
~ Partially

Bitcoin: Similarities to 2019 and 2025

"Bitcoin topped two months before quantitative tightening. In both cases, the Fed cut interest rates three times in 2019 just like they did in 2025. It's all very similar."

ℹ️ In shortBitcoin topped two months before quantitative tightening, and the Fed cut interest rates three times in 2019, just like in 2025, indicating strong similarities.

Partially. The claim is partially confirmed. The Federal Reserve indeed cut interest rates three times in 2019 (in July, September, and October) and three times in 2025 (in September, October, and December), which confirms the second part of...
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Verification ✦ Analysis generated with AI Pro
Methodology The claim is partially confirmed. The Federal Reserve indeed cut interest rates three times in 2019 (in July, September, and October) and three times in 2025 (in September, October, and December), which confirms the second part of the statement. However, the first part of the claim, that Bitcoin topped two months before quantitative tightening (QT), is not precise. For the first QT cycle (starting October 2017), Bitcoin topped in December 2017, which is approximately two months *after* QT began. For the second QT cycle (starting June 2022), Bitcoin topped in November 2021, which is significantly more than two months before.
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🔄 Last review: 20.06.2026 📥 Added: 20.06.2026
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AI-generated analysis: This result is an assessment by a language model, not an expert opinion or a legally binding verdict. Verify sources before making any decisions. Model: gemini-2.5-flash

For informational purposes only. Not investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Full disclaimer

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Source (proof) Plays from the quoted moment
Transcript excerpt English

… Six years ago, we actually had very similar market conditions to what we have today. I know that might sound crazy, but it is. I have compared this post apathetic top digestion phase to 2019 a number of times and I stand by that assessment because Bitcoin topped on apathy and not euphoria. There was no rotation into altcoins. Bitcoin topped two months before quantitative tightening. In both cases, the Fed cut interest rates three times in 2019 just like they did in 2025. It's all very similar. So, because of that, let's revisit what was a successful strategy back then, right? And it starts with this risk metric. This risk metric was developed five or six years ago. I think six years ago. the earliest video I could find on it without digging too hard. I mean there might be one slightly before this one. It was called Bitcoin risk analysis …

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