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Igor Janke on Armed conflicts — predictions scored

Igor Janke on Armed conflicts — predictions scored

76 tracked claims · Accuracy: 74%

Igor Janke Igor Janke 14.04.2026
True
"The United States, in accordance with Sunday's announcements, blocked the Strait of Hormuz. American President Donald Trump threatened Iran with the destruction of its ships if they approached US naval vessels. On Sunday, after the failure of American-Iranian peace talks in Pakistan, the leader of the United States announced the blocking of the Strait of Hormuz. On Monday at 4:00 PM Polish time, a total of 15 American units began it. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 25.03.2026
True
"On Monday, Israeli defense forces blew up a bridge on the Litani River, intended for Hezbollah to transport fighters to southern Lebanon. Israel's goal is to create a 30 km buffer zone between the Israeli-Lebanese border and the Litani River. Since March 2, Israelis have been bombing southern Lebanon, Beirut suburbs, and the Beqaa Valley, which are strongholds of the Shiite party of God. Over 1000 Lebanese have died in the airstrikes, and almost a million of them have had to leave their homes. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 25.03.2026
! Misleading
"Iran wants to hear peace proposals from the United States. Donald Trump praises Iranians for a gesture of goodwill. Due to the war in the Middle East, the European Commission is delaying the introduction of a ban on oil imports from Russia. France challenged Israel to withdraw from the plan to occupy southern Lebanon. The European Union signed a trade cooperation agreement with Australia. Russia resumes offensive in Ukraine after lack of progress in peace negotiations. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 23.03.2026
Pending
"In reality, despite the losses they are incurring, so far the United States has not achieved any goals. Yes. Neither has the regime been overthrown, nor have the places where uranium is produced and enriched been eliminated. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 23.03.2026
True
"Now what you're saying about Dimona has happened. And this attack on an island, which is located 4000 km away, shows that this state still has very significant strike capabilities. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 19.03.2026
Pending
"Iran's military responded to an Israeli attack on the world's largest natural gas fields. Iran's Supreme Leader Mztaba Hamenej announces revenge for the killing of Iran's security chief Ali Leridani. The armed forces of the Islamic Republic of Iran on Wednesday evening carried out a series of strikes targeting, among others, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 15.03.2026
True
"Americans and do not have sufficient good anti-drone defense, because they are able to shoot down these drones of course, but there is an improbable difference in costs. These drones that Iran sends are much, much cheaper than these interceptors that can neutralize them. And that difference is there between, I don't know, 10 and 20 times, when it comes to price, so the cost of defense against these Shaheds and other Iranian drones is extremely, extremely high. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 20.04.2026
Pending
"The war conducted since the end of February has led to the destruction of over 80 fossil fuel processing facilities across the Middle East. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 15.04.2026
Pending
"“The 2026 Israel–Lebanon ceasefire is a cessation of hostilities agreed between Israel and Lebanon on 16 April 2026.” "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 15.04.2026
True
"Ukraine concluded a comprehensive defense cooperation agreement with Germany. A new consultation center for Ukrainian refugees wishing to return to their country was opened in Berlin. The first German-Ukrainian intergovernmental consultations in 22 years took place in Berlin. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 14.04.2026
True
"The U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) announced in its statement that it would not allow any Iranian ships, nor ships belonging to other countries and using Iranian ports in the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman, to pass. According to Trump's declarations, the American military is to destroy Iranian warships as soon as they approach the blockade. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 10.04.2026
True
"and there is no evidence that nuclear installations are broken, and you speak ironically about this great victory of the Iranians. But there is no American victory either. It's hard to notice that. Perhaps it will turn out in the future, but that might turn out. For now, it was that the whole world pressured the Americans. Americans themselves protested and were also dissatisfied. Publicly, those who couldn't say it, were also not happy. American research clearly showed this. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 09.04.2026
Pending
"Israel carried out its most intense bombardments of Lebanon on Wednesday since the start of its operation in early March. The main target of the Israeli air force is Beirut. According to the Lebanese Ministry of Health, at least 254 people died as a result of the actions of the Israeli defense forces. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 09.04.2026
True
"Iran again closed the Strait of Hormuz due to Israeli attacks on Lebanon. Israel can resume war at any moment. Donald Trump threatens to impose tariffs on countries supplying weapons to Iran. The American Vice President criticizes the President of Ukraine for attacks targeting the Hungarian government. The leader of the Taiwanese opposition called for reconciliation between Taiwan and the People's Republic of China. The President of the Czech Republic intends to participate in the NATO summit despite government opposition. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 08.04.2026
! Misleading
"neither changed the regime, nor ensured that Iran will certainly not produce nuclear weapons, and unblocking the Strait of Hormuz is just unblocking something that was also unblocked before. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 08.04.2026
! Misleading
"but even this greatest military power was not able to achieve its goals in a short time. Yes. It did not achieve any of these goals. Neither did it change the regime, nor did it ensure that Iran will certainly not produce nuclear weapons, and unblocking the Strait of Hormuz is just unblocking something that was also unblocked before. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 04.04.2026
Pending
"I think that this Ukrainian missile program, the entire ecosystem of unmanned systems, will be developed, because at this moment no one is credibly able to promise Ukraine long-term financial assistance and long-term assistance in the form of arms supplies. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 31.03.2026
· Unverified
"Amerykanie, Izrael próbują likwidować kolejnych dowódców, a pojawiają się nowi na ich miejscu. Więc te struktury jakby są wielopiętrowe, ale z i odpowiada atakiem na sąsiadów, ale też Iran atak, te ataki Iranu na sąsiadów nie odnoszą swojego efektu. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 31.03.2026
True
"we already know for sure that for the United States, Trump, his army, this invasion, meaning this attack, did not go as he wanted, right? it did not achieve its goal in as short a time as he wanted. This war is prolonged, costs a lot. Iran is defending itself much better than Americans expected. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 26.03.2026
Occurred
"Isn't it true that in the face of what we've been dealing with for the past three weeks, that is, the war in Iran, the American-Israeli attack on Iran, and such a sudden redirection of attention that probably no one expected? Anyway, it wasn't announced. President Trump announced a completely different policy. I mean, don't we also have to prepare for such a situation and accept such a black scenario that the United States won't be in it, that their interest will be much, or their presence will be much smaller than it is? "
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⚠️ Warning Armed Conflicts 2026
Igor Janke Igor Janke 26.03.2026
True
"And on the other hand, if you allow me, I will add, because I observed that part more with my own eyes. A large part of society there in Ukraine, yes, which did, performed various works for, for the army, or cooperated with the army and private companies that switched overnight to paramilitary companies cooperating with the military, or I don't know, women, grandmothers sewing some materials that were supposed to cover tanks, or a lot of other things producing for the needs of the army, society collecting huge amounts of money for the needs of the army. Yes, it was an unbelievable surge. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 26.03.2026
True
"On 25 March, two Ukrainian military drones entered the airspace of Latvia and Estonia from Russia. According to Reuters, the drones were believed by Latvian and Estonian authorities to have been part of a wider Ukrainian attack on Russia and landed around the same time that Russian officials reported a Ukrainian drone strike on oil facilities at Ust-Luga and Primorsk. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 26.03.2026
True
"Iran rejected a peace proposal presented by the United States. Tehran expects a series of concessions from Washington, threatening to expand the ongoing war to the strait connecting the Red Sea with the Persian Gulf. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 25.03.2026
! Misleading
"While we recognize Israel's right, like all other countries, to self-defense, nothing can justify the continuation of Israeli military actions in Lebanon and the increasingly deep occupation of Lebanese territory. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 25.03.2026
True
"Russia resumed its military offensive in Ukraine. Spring attacks are supposedly related to a stalemate in ongoing peace negotiations. The Russian military has intensified its actions on all front lines in recent days. Its air force also carried out further bombardments on Monday to Tuesday night. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 24.03.2026
Pending
"Shouldn't we start talking about and preparing for this? I'm not saying we should announce right now that we want to produce it, right? But to slowly build capabilities that could result in us having those capabilities in case we are only 5 or 10 years away from it, but perhaps discuss this with Scandinavian countries, because it's always easier to swallow when it's not just one country, right? It's just step by step that this conversation begins, communication on this matter begins. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 22.03.2026
False
"Donald Trump issued an ultimatum to Iran. If within 48 hours, and today it's probably within 20, 30 hours from the moment we are speaking, Iran does not unblock the Strait of Hormuz. Then a powerful attack will be carried out, especially on Iranian power plants. There may also be a ground invasion in some places. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 19.03.2026
True
"Israel once again became the target of rockets launched from Iran. The 62nd wave of rocket attacks targeted military facilities in Acre, Beersheba, Haifa, and Tel Aviv. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 19.03.2026
True
""Every drop of blood has its due retribution" and that the "criminal murderers of these martyrs will soon have to pay". "The US and Israel have continued a joint offensive on Iran since Feb. 28, killing so far around 1,300 people, including then-Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Iran has retaliated with drone and missile strikes targeting Israel, Jordan, Iraq, and Gulf countries hosting US military assets, causing casualties and damage to infrastructure while disrupting global markets and aviation". "The war between the United States, Israel and Iran has been going on for over two weeks and there is no indication of its quick end". "Paradoxically, the initiative – at least temporarily – passed into the hands of Tehran, whose capitulation is unlikely. In the current circumstances, when all parties are rather interested in escalating the conflict, the chances of quickly restoring lasting stability in the region seem negligible". "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 19.03.2026
True
"Israel's attack on Lebanon is increasingly worrying the European Union and the United Nations. The Israeli army destroyed two bridges on the Litani River in southern Lebanon on Wednesday. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 14.03.2026
False
"In connection with this, I suspect that within the next few days we will see an attempt to reach some kind of exit ramp. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 13.03.2026
True
"The priority is to avenge the 175 victims of the attack on the girls' primary school in Minab. Additionally, the Iranian state will demand war reparations from countries that attack it in the future. The religious and political leader of Iran intends to continue the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 13.03.2026
· Unverified
"Unia Europejska zamierza wysłać swoją misję rozpoznawczą na Ukrainę, aby sprawdziła ona stan rurociągu przyjaźni. W środę swoich inspektorów na ukraińskie terytorium wysłały Słowacja i Węgry. Pod koniec stycznia infrastruktura służąca do przesyłania ropy naftowej z Rosji miała zostać zniszczona podczas jednego z rosyjskich ataków. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 13.03.2026
! Misleading
"We will continue to strike U.S. bases in the region while maintaining friendly relations with neighbouring countries. We have targeted only those bases. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 11.03.2026
! Misleading
"Iran is to launch increasingly better missiles towards its regional adversaries. The United States announces that, despite a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, an operation against Iran will lead to a decrease in oil and natural gas prices. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 11.03.2026
True
"The Iranian Revolutionary Guard was reported in recent days to have launched its modern missiles from Iranian territory, with warheads weighing over a ton. Hypersonic missiles allow for precise strikes on specific targets located in other Middle Eastern countries. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 11.03.2026
True
"On Tuesday evening, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps carried out another attack aimed at Israel. The Iranians fired their missiles towards Jerusalem, Tel Aviv, and military bases located in the central part of that country. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 11.03.2026
! Misleading
"So far, in the ongoing 11-day war, nine American soldiers have died, and about 140 have been wounded, including eight seriously. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announces the continuation of the war against Iran. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 06.03.2026
True
"Iran for the first time in the conflict struck Azerbaijani territory, and one of the drones fell on an airport in the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 06.03.2026
! Misleading
"HMS Dragon deployed March 10 after a two-week period of preparations for her voyage, and she arrived off Cyprus on March 27. "
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✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts