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Comparic Rynki on Politics — predictions scored

Comparic Rynki on Politics — predictions scored

45 tracked claims · Accuracy: 87%

Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 01.06.2026
Pending
"If the process of European unification is completed, then I am convinced that this mess will happen sooner or later, because the differences between various European nations are colossal. If we also add the sauce of migration. The fact that today many migrants do not even learn the local language and are subsidized by politicians. Today in France we have Mr. Mélenchon, who openly acts as a Frenchman on behalf of people of Islamic or migratory origin and so on. This is an invitation to civil war. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2031
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 18.05.2026
Pending
"By '29 we will see at least one UK Prime Minister, and maybe even two. We will see more marches and we will probably see UK bond yields above 6%. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2029
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 22.04.2026
Pending
"However, if we are looking for a factor that could shake the dollar, it is the image of the USA. The image of the USA, which gets involved in a war in Iran, which starts losing in relations with China on every front. Yes. The question of Taiwan, for example, in a year, right? Maybe sooner. So if the world sees that the United States is not that power, then the idea that the dollar is a reserve currency, because of this, because of this, because of this, because of this, will slowly begin to waver. This will not happen immediately, of course, but in 5-10 years. "
translated PL · original
🌐 Scenario Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 20.04.2026
Fulfilled
"for impeachment to succeed, Democrats would need 2/3 of the votes in the Senate. They would need as many as 2/3 of the votes, which is 67 out of 100 possible. And at this moment, this is an extremely unlikely option. Therefore, talking about getting rid of Trump already in November is an absolutely impossible scenario to realize. "
translated PL · original
💬 Opinion Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 13.04.2026
Fulfilled
"Firstly, the end of the Hungarian VETO on Ukraine. For the last 2 years, Orban was the main blocker of the 90 billion financial package for Kyiv and sanctions on Russia. Now Madziar practically from the first day of his tenure will stand on the side of the other 26 capitals. The European Council will again be able to vote unanimously. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2027
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 27.03.2026
Pending
"He will take over Cuba and that's it. Cuba is really in such a ruined state right now that, in my opinion, before November we will see Trump's triumphant entry into Havana. And the dream of socialist Cuba will end. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 01.06.2026
Pending
"If Germany, looking at what they are doing today, having these 92 billion for Ukraine, having safe-type loans, if Germany commits as they can to making the German army the strongest army in Europe within the next 11 years, then I am convinced that it will succeed. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2037
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 01.06.2026
Pending
"I predict that they will eventually have to come to an agreement. The US will unblock Iranian ports, Iran will unblock the strait, and this will last until November. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 29.05.2026
Pending
"I predict that they eventually have to agree. The States will unblock Iranian ports, Iran will unblock the strait, and it will be like that until November. What I said earlier, well, some agreement, I don't know if it's this one or the next one in a few days, because it also looks nice, right? There's an agreement, indices rise, no agreement, then we fall a bit. An agreement is announced again, then new records. And we can play like that until the end of the world one day longer. yyy, but eventually something will be signed, and I would be afraid of what will happen after the elections in the States, but we'll see. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 22.05.2026
~ Partially
"In my opinion, Trump is very keen on this. If there isn't some catastrophic loss for him in this deal, in this agreement, if it's not clearly visible that it's a loss for the States, then he will conclude this deal. Well, I think it's 60 to 40 that in May it will end for a certain period. That's my current bet. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 20.05.2026
Fulfilled
"No hard agreement on the Power of Siberia 2 will come out of today's Beijing. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2027
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 20.05.2026
Pending
"Has it done anything to end either of the wars? No. and probably won't, because every day of both wars in Ukraine and Iran is a day in which the United States, Europe, Russia and the Middle East are tired and divided, and Beijing is accumulating strength, capital and influence. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2031
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 16.05.2026
! Misleading
"Prime Minister Modi historically traveled to Addis Ababa on December 25. The Indian navy currently maintains 40 warships in the Red Sea region. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 16.05.2026
True
"On February 9, 2026, it signed a military agreement with Somalia for the security of the Red Sea, and in the corridors they are talking about a Saudi naval base. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 16.05.2026
True
"On January 12, 2026, the Somali government announced the cancellation of all agreements with the UAE, including port agreements (such as those for Berbera, Bosaso, and Kismayo) and defense and security cooperation agreements. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 16.05.2026
True
"In January 2026, their National Security Council formally announced that Somalia's unity is a strategic priority. They sent F-16 fighter jets to Mogadishu. They installed a Turkish Aselsan combat radar. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 16.05.2026
True
"On December 26, 2025, during the holidays, when the world is looking the other way, Netanyahu announces that Israel officially recognizes Somaliland, a small secessionist region tucked into the corner of Africa. A state that no one had completely recognized for 35 years. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 16.05.2026
True
"In January 2024, they signed an agreement with Somaliland. Ethiopia gets 20 km of coastline for 50 years, and in return, the prospect of Somaliland's recognition by Addis Ababa. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 11.05.2026
Fulfilled
"Wednesday, May 13, Trump will land in Beijing. In his suitcase will be three main goals. The first is Iran. Trump wants them to pressure the Ayatollahs. Specifically, for China to stop buying Iranian oil or threaten to stop. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 05.05.2026
True
"CISA, the American cybersecurity agency, received a proposed budget cut of 707 million dollars for fiscal year 2027. So, just when the defense of critical infrastructure becomes an extreme sport, its budget shrinks. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 26.04.2026
Fulfilled
"According to Topsakal, the MHP seeks not ministerial positions within the ruling coalition but rather “the adoption of a program for cooperation with Russia and China” as its key political expectation heading toward 2028. "
translated PL · original
🌐 Scenario Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 26.04.2026
Fulfilled
"October 2025 Trump introduces sanctions on Rosniew and Ukoił. The strongest American hit on the Russian energy sector since the invasion of Ukraine. The Union adds a 19th package. Turkey, which formally does not impose sanctions, de facto begins to respect them. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2031
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 23.04.2026
Fulfilled
"And this entry hung until today, meaning we can say that the exchange probably wouldn't have received the MIKA license by July 1, 2026 anyway, because it hasn't completed key documents with the Estonian regulator to this day. And without a complete set of documents, unfortunately, you won't get a license. That's why this is the lead Polish services should follow at the start, if we're looking for culprits. Because we always look for culprits in such a situation. So, did the Estonians exercise all due diligence, did they correspond with the company, did they demand these documents, or maybe they just said 'okay, it's not there, we'll put it on the list'. And these are the questions that need to be asked now and to which we should systematically receive answers in the course of the ongoing investigation. "
translated PL · original
💬 Opinion Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 22.04.2026
Pending
"these midterm elections, of course, as the previous speaker said and you also said, will change the balance of power. Trump will be weaker, it will be harder for him to push his initiatives. I think the Democrats will take this opportunity and try to impeach him, although it is difficult to finalize it, but the very initiation of this procedure is ideal for the elections in another 2 years. especially presidential ones, and in fact, this internal turmoil in the USA will open the way for countries like China or Russia in terms of geopolitics, looking at the global situation, so the question is, for example, Taiwan in a year or two, we will see sooner. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2028
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 22.04.2026
~ Partially
"So WS is an aspiring, still quite young, intelligent person, so I think he will definitely handle communication with the markets very well. I also think Wars will play for himself, not for Trump, because Trump has already played himself out. Everyone sees that Trump, that Trump's power is wavering, that the war in Iran is something that is sinking him, like a stone around his neck and he is falling. So these mid-term elections will also show this. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 21.04.2026
True
"Germany is contracting a defense budget for 2029 of 162 billion euros. NATO has adopted a target of 5% of GDP by 2035. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 20.04.2026
~ Partially
"even those lost midterm elections, which it seems Donald Trump has already accepted, in the sense that he accepted the fact that it would not be possible to win the midterm elections, will essentially cause greater paralysis than we have observed so far. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2031
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 17.04.2026
Pending
"I would rather lose 10% of profit and enter on relatively solid ground. At the moment, this ground is exceptionally uncertain. Besides, I still, even if everything is fine right now [clears throat], I can't imagine Trump not coming up with something before the elections. And because all his invented things are currently turning against him and against the world. What's worse, against him is very good, but against the world worries me. There are 7 months left until the elections in the United States. plenty of time to mess things up for the world and cause trouble again. Please note that in my opinion, but not only mine, I later read that many people say this, this war with Iran was supposed to cover up the Epstein affair. And the war dragged on, very much not as Mr. Trump would have wanted. And on top of that, his wife came out and told things that brought that affair back up. Consequently, he simply has incredible luck, in quotation marks, which causes whatever he does to currently turn against him. At least that's how I see it, and that's why I'm worried about what else he will come up with. He will definitely come up with something regarding Cuba. That's a certainty. That... "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 14.04.2026
Pending
"I would put the probability at 90-something percent that something will happen before the November elections. Not that I will stand on food in Cuba. No, no, that would be an exaggeration. But somehow Trump will announce that he is taking over supervision of Cuba and that there will be massive investments, that the system will change and so on, and I am almost certain. Well, almost certain. I could bet that it will happen. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 10.04.2026
Pending
"I would put the probability at 9090-something percent that something will happen before the November elections. Not that the US will invade Cuba. No, no, that would be an exaggeration. But in some way, Trump will announce that he is taking supervision over Cuba and that there will be massive investments, that the system will change and so on, and I am almost certain. Well, almost certain. I could bet that it will happen. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 04.04.2026
True
"Iran rejected a 15-point US peace proposal. It demands war reparations and recognition of sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. These are conditions Washington will never accept. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 02.04.2026
Occurred
"If we haven't expected the withdrawal of American troops from Europe until now, we should start. "
translated PL · original
⚠️ Warning Politics 2031
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 27.05.2026
Fulfilled
"This won't be fixed by a single training. It requires a political earthquake. "
translated PL · original
💬 Opinion Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 27.05.2026
True
"PIT reform announced for January 2027. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 22.05.2026
Pending
"I have the impression, you know, Michał, I have the impression that this frantic activity of diplomats from both sides plus plus Pakistan, plus Qatar also probably want to achieve something by the end of May. Well, let's say maybe not this weekend, but I don't rule it out, but by the end of May. Of course, they want to achieve some more lasting ceasefire, an end to fighting at least until November, until the elections in the United States, until the congressional elections, because I don't count on it for longer. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 15.05.2026
Fulfilled
"The summit's meaning is thus not that U.S.-China competition is ending, but rather that both sides are experimenting with a new way to conduct it. Washington wants managed trade. Beijing wants managed competition. Trump wants visible wins. Xi wants time to strengthen his position and recognition. "
translated PL · original
💬 Opinion Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 24.04.2026
? Unverifiable
"Well, I would say this is a very convenient excuse and a way out for President Trump. He can always say that he meant well, but the bad Congress does not allow him to continue the fight. Therefore, let Iran have nuclear weapons. It's your fault. I expect something like that. "
translated PL · original
💬 Opinion Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 24.04.2026
Fulfilled
"Well, I would say it's a very convenient excuse and an escape route for President Trump. He can always say that he meant well, but the bad Congress doesn't allow him to continue the fight. Therefore, let Iran have nuclear weapons. It's your fault. I expect something like that. "
translated PL · original
🌐 Scenario Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 22.04.2026
~ Partially
"And as for the issue of the dollar as a safe currency, as long as Donald Trump conducts policy in such an unpredictable way, the American currency may be somewhat overlooked by investors precisely at the expense of other currencies considered safer at the moment. "
translated PL · original
⚠️ Warning Politics 2031
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 20.04.2026
Pending
"there will be a lot of turmoil before and up to the midterm elections, and after the midterm elections it won't change, because the way Donald Trump's family operates, focused on money and cash flow, will absolutely not change. Money matters, cash flows matter. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2031

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