Comparic Rynki on Armed conflicts — predictions scored
6 tracked claims · Accuracy: 40%
"In short, we have two, three days for agreements or we return to a hot phase of war. Wednesday will be the day that will probably decide how the whole quarter, and maybe even the whole year, will look. For the markets, and for us, it would be better if they reached an agreement. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Armed conflicts
2026
"This is a situation, this war, which will still last, ladies and gentlemen, even if they sign this MOU, even if they sign it, even if they sign some agreement, it will last more or less until November, until the elections in the States. Then, next year, I am convinced that Israel will act towards restarting this war. I don't believe in an end, unfortunately. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Armed conflicts
2026
"Really, here, apart from the main actors, namely Netanyahu, Trump, and the underestimated MBS, meaning Mohammed bin Salman, I think that's how he's pronounced, the head of Saudi Arabia, both he and Netanyahu want further war. And they will do everything to ensure the war continues. "
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PL · original
💬 Opinion
Armed conflicts
"And of course there are scenarios that say we will have a problem for three years, but we also have another factor that we haven't talked about yet, which could influence the lowering of oil prices, namely the war in Ukraine, where Putin has slowly started to hint that he might meet with Zelensky. Could this have any influence at all? This is a white swan that could emerge on the oil market. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Armed conflicts
"Then, if the Americans get involved in Iran, and then get involved for a long time, it will also work to their disadvantage. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Armed conflicts
Long timeframe
"My impression is that this conflict, if it is frozen at all, will be for some time, and therefore it will also be a factor that will muddy it long-term. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Armed conflicts
Long timeframe