Comparic Rynki on Politics — predictions scored
45 tracked claims · Accuracy: 70%
Comparic Rynki
01.06.2026
"If the process of European unification is completed, then I am convinced that this mess will happen sooner or later, because the differences between various European nations are colossal. If we also add the sauce of migration. The fact that today many migrants do not even learn the local language and are subsidized by politicians. Today in France we have Mr. Mélenchon, who openly acts as a Frenchman on behalf of people of Islamic or migratory origin and so on. This is an invitation to civil war. "
translated
PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
Medium timeframe
Comparic Rynki
18.05.2026
"By '29 we will see at least one UK Prime Minister, and maybe even two. We will see more marches and we will probably see UK bond yields above 6%. "
translated
PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2029
Comparic Rynki
22.04.2026
"However, if we are looking for some factor that could shake the dollar, it is the image of the USA. The image of the USA getting involved in a war in Iran, which starts losing in relations with China on every front. Yes. The question of Taiwan, for example, in a year, right? Maybe sooner. So if the world sees that the United States is not that power, then the idea that the dollar is a reserve currency, because of this, because of this, because of this, because of this, will slowly begin to waver. This will not happen immediately, of course, but it's a matter of 5, 10 years. "
translated
PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Politics
Comparic Rynki
20.04.2026
"for impeachment to succeed, mind you, Democrats would have to have 2/3 of the votes in the Senate. They would have to have as many as 2/3 of the votes, which is 67 out of 100 possible. And at this moment, that is an extremely unlikely option. Therefore, talking about getting rid of Trump already in November is absolutely a practically impossible scenario to realize. "
translated
PL · original
💬 Opinion
Politics
Comparic Rynki
13.04.2026
"Firstly, the end of the Hungarian VETO on Ukraine. For the last 2 years, Orban was the main blocker of the 90 billion financial package for Kyiv and sanctions on Russia. Now the Hungarian, practically from the first day in office, will stand with the other 26 capitals. The European Council will again be able to vote unanimously. "
translated
PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
Short timeframe
Comparic Rynki
27.03.2026
"He will take over Cuba and that's it. Cuba is really in such a ruined state right now that, in my opinion, before November we will see Trump's triumphant entry into Havana. And the dream of socialist Cuba will end. "
translated
PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026
Comparic Rynki
01.06.2026
"If Germany, looking at what they are doing today, having these 92 billion for Ukraine, having safe-type loans, if Germany commits as they can to making the German army the strongest army in Europe within the next 11 years, then I am convinced that it will succeed. "
translated
PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2037
Comparic Rynki
01.06.2026
"I predict that they will eventually have to come to an agreement. The US will unblock Iranian ports, Iran will unblock the strait, and this will last until November. "
translated
PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026
Comparic Rynki
29.05.2026
"I predict that they will eventually have to agree. The States will unblock Iranian ports, Iran will unblock the strait, and it will be like that until November. What I said before, well, some agreement, I don't know if it's this agreement or the next one in a few days, because it also looks nice, right? There's an agreement, indices rise, no agreement, then we fall a bit. An agreement is announced again, then new records. And so we can play until the end of the world one day longer. yyy, but in the end something will be signed and I would be afraid of what will happen after the elections in the States, but we'll see. "
translated
PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026
Comparic Rynki
22.05.2026
"In my opinion, Trump is very keen on this. If there isn't some catastrophic loss for him in this deal, in this agreement, if it's not clearly visible that it's a loss for the States, then he will conclude this deal. Well, I think it's 60 to 40 that in May it will end for a certain period. That's my current bet. "
translated
PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026
Comparic Rynki
20.05.2026
"No hard agreement on the Power of Siberia 2 will come out of today's Beijing. "
translated
PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026
Comparic Rynki
20.05.2026
"Did he do anything to end either of the wars? No. and probably won't, because every day of both wars in Ukraine and Iran is a day in which the United States, Europe, Russia and the Middle East are tired and divided, and Beijing is accumulating strength, capital and influence. "
translated
PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
Medium timeframe
Comparic Rynki
16.05.2026
"In January 2024, they signed an agreement with Somaliland. Ethiopia gets 20 km of coastline for 50 years, and in return, the prospect of Somaliland's recognition by Addis Ababa. "
translated
PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Politics
Comparic Rynki
16.05.2026
"In January 2026, their National Security Council formally announced that Somalia's unity is a strategic priority. They sent F16 fighter jets to Mogadishu. They deployed a Turkish Aselsan combat radar. "
translated
PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Politics
Comparic Rynki
16.05.2026
"Somalia cancelled all agreements with the Emirates on January 12, 2026. They were expelled from the base in Bosaso. "
translated
PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Politics
Comparic Rynki
16.05.2026
"Prime Minister Modi historically traveled to Addis Ababa on December 25. The Indian navy currently maintains 40 warships in the Red Sea region. "
translated
PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Politics
Comparic Rynki
16.05.2026
"On February 9, 2026, it signed a military agreement with Somalia for the security of the Red Sea, and behind the scenes, they are discussing a Saudi naval base. "
translated
PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Politics
Comparic Rynki
16.05.2026
"On 26 December 2025, the State of Israel became the first country and UN member state to officially recognise the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign and independent state. "
translated
PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Politics
Comparic Rynki
11.05.2026
"Wednesday, May 13, Trump will land in Beijing. In his suitcase will be three main goals. The first is Iran. Trump wants them to pressure the Ayatollahs. Specifically, for China to stop buying Iranian oil or threaten to stop. "
translated
PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026
Comparic Rynki
05.05.2026
"CISA, the American cybersecurity agency, received a proposed budget cut of 707 million dollars for fiscal year 2027. So, just when the defense of critical infrastructure becomes an extreme sport, its budget shrinks. "
translated
PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Politics
Comparic Rynki
26.04.2026
"October 2025 Trump introduces sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil. Strongest American strike on Russian energy sector since the invasion of Ukraine. The EU adds a 19th package. Turkey, which formally does not introduce sanctions, de facto begins to respect them. "
translated
PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2025
Comparic Rynki
26.04.2026
"MHP's condition for joining the ruling coalition in the 2028 elections is the adoption of a program of cooperation with Russia and China. Pay attention, because this is not a trifle. Without MHP, Erdogan does not have a majority. And MHP does not want ministerial portfolios for the party. It wants a change in the entire state's geopolitical doctrine. "
translated
PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Politics
Comparic Rynki
23.04.2026
"And this entry hung until today, meaning we can say that the exchange probably wouldn't have received the MIKA license by July 1, 2026, anyway, because it hasn't supplemented key documents with the Estonian regulator to this day. And without a complete set of documents, unfortunately, one won't get a license. That's why this is the lead Polish services should follow from the start if we're looking for culprits. Because we always look for culprits in such a situation. So, did the Estonians exercise all due diligence, did they correspond with the company, did they demand these documents, or maybe they just said 'okay, it's not there, we'll put it on the list'. And these are the questions that need to be asked now and to which we should systematically receive answers in the course of the ongoing investigation. "
translated
PL · original
💬 Opinion
Politics
Comparic Rynki
22.04.2026
"So WS is an aspiring, still quite young, intelligent man, so I think he will certainly handle communication with the markets very well. I also think Wars will play for himself, not for Trump, because Trump has already played his hand. Everyone sees that Trump, that Trump's power is wavering, that the war in Iran is something that is sinking him, like a stone around his neck, and he is falling. So these midterm elections will also show that. "
translated
PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026
Comparic Rynki
22.04.2026
"these midterm elections, of course, as the previous speaker said and you also said, will change the balance of power. Trump will be weaker, it will be harder for him to push his initiatives. I think the Democrats will take this opportunity and try to impeach him, although it is difficult to finalize it, but the very initiation of this procedure is ideal for the elections in another 2 years. especially presidential ones, and in fact, this internal turmoil in the USA will open the way for countries like China or Russia in terms of geopolitics, looking at the global situation, so the question is, for example, Taiwan in a year or two, we will see sooner. "
translated
PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026
Comparic Rynki
21.04.2026
"Germany is contracting a defense budget for 2029 of 162 billion euros. NATO has adopted a target of 5% of GDP by 2035. "
translated
PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Politics
Comparic Rynki
20.04.2026
"even those lost midterm elections, which it seems Donald Trump has already accepted, in the sense that he accepted the fact that it would not be possible to win the midterm elections, will essentially cause greater paralysis than we have observed so far. "
translated
PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026
Comparic Rynki
17.04.2026
"I would rather lose 10% of profit and enter on relatively solid ground. At the moment, this ground is extremely uncertain. Besides, I still, even if everything is fine right now [clears throat], I cannot imagine Trump not coming up with something before the elections. And because all his invented things are currently turning against him and against the world. What's worse, against him is very good, but against the world worries me. There are 7 months left until the elections in the United States. A lot of time to mess up the world and cause trouble again. Please note that in my opinion, but not only mine, I later read that many people say this, this war with Iran was supposed to cover up the Epstein affair. And the war prolonged, and not at all as Mr. Trump would have wanted. And on top of that, his wife came out and said things that brought that affair back up again. Consequently, he simply has incredible luck, so to speak, which causes whatever he does to currently turn against him. At least that's how I see it, and that's why I'm worried about what else he will come up with. He will definitely come up with something with Cuba. That's a certainty. That... "
translated
PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026
Comparic Rynki
14.04.2026
"I would put the probability at 90-something percent that something will happen before the November elections. Not that I'll stand on food in Cuba. No, no, that would be an exaggeration. But somehow Trump will announce that he is taking over supervision of Cuba and that there will be massive investments, that the system will change and so on, and I'm almost certain. Well, almost certain. I could bet that it will happen. "
translated
PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026
Comparic Rynki
10.04.2026
"I would put the probability at 9090-something percent that something will happen before the November elections. Not that the US will invade Cuba. No, no, that would be an exaggeration. But in some way, Trump will announce that he is taking supervision over Cuba and that there will be massive investments, that the system will change and so on, and I am almost certain. Well, almost certain. I could bet that it will happen. "
translated
PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026
Comparic Rynki
04.04.2026
"Iran rejected a 15-point US peace proposal. It demands war reparations and recognition of sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. These are conditions Washington will never accept. "
translated
PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Politics
Comparic Rynki
02.04.2026
"If we haven't expected the withdrawal of American troops from Europe until now, we should start. "
translated
PL · original
⚠️ Warning
Politics
Medium timeframe
Comparic Rynki
27.05.2026
"This won't be fixed by a single training. It requires a political earthquake. "
translated
PL · original
💬 Opinion
Politics
Comparic Rynki
27.05.2026
"PIT reform announced for January 2027. "
translated
PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Politics
Comparic Rynki
22.05.2026
"I have the impression, you know, Michał, I have the impression that this frantic activity of diplomats from both sides plus plus Pakistan, plus Qatar also probably want to achieve something by the end of May. Well, let's say maybe not this weekend, but I don't rule it out, but by the end of May. Of course, they want to achieve some more lasting ceasefire, an end to fighting at least until November, until the elections in the United States, until the congressional elections, because I don't count on it for longer. "
translated
PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026
Comparic Rynki
15.05.2026
"Xi is trying to establish a truce on terms favorable to Beijing, and then treat every American initiative as a violation of that framework. Translation: Xi built a diplomatic cage into which Trump voluntarily walked. "
translated
PL · original
💬 Opinion
Politics
Comparic Rynki
24.04.2026
"Well, it's, I would say, a very convenient excuse and a way out for President Trump. He can always say that he meant well, but the evil Congress doesn't allow him to fight further. Therefore, let Iran have nuclear weapons. It's your fault. I expect something like that. "
translated
PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Politics
Comparic Rynki
24.04.2026
"Well, I would say it's a very convenient excuse and an escape route for President Trump. He can always say that he meant well, but the bad Congress doesn't allow him to continue the fight. Therefore, let Iran have nuclear weapons. It's your fault. I expect something like that. "
translated
PL · original
💬 Opinion
Politics
Comparic Rynki
22.04.2026
"And as for the issue of the dollar as a safe currency, as long as Donald Trump conducts policy in such an unpredictable way, the American currency may be somewhat overlooked by investors precisely at the expense of other currencies considered safer at the moment. "
translated
PL · original
⚠️ Warning
Politics
Medium timeframe
Comparic Rynki
20.04.2026
"there will be a lot of turmoil before and up to the midterm elections, and after the midterm elections it won't change, because the way Donald Trump's family operates, focused on money and cash flow, will absolutely not change. Money matters, cash flows matter. "
translated
PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026