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Igor Janke on Politics — predictions scored

Igor Janke on Politics — predictions scored

367 tracked claims · Accuracy: 79%

Igor Janke Igor Janke 27.05.2026
· Unverified
"Wspólnota autonomiczna Walencji wprowadzi zasadę priorytetu narodowego faworyzującej Hiszpanów w dostępie do usług publicznych. To kolejny hiszpański region, który przyjął założenia polityki imigracyjnej postulowane przez prawicową partię Vox. Ugrupowanie porozumiało się z Centroprawicową Partią Ludową w sprawie tegorocznego budżetu wspólnoty Walencji. Oznacza to uwzględnienie postulatów VOKSU w programie władz regionu. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 27.05.2026
True
"Prime Minister Donald Tusk nominated Stanisław Kracik as interim commissioner of Krakow. In Rzeszów, two motions for a referendum to recall the city president were filed. The head of government made the decision after a recommendation from the Lesser Poland Voivode Krzysztof Klęczar. Prime Minister Tusk said that the current Vice-President of Krakow will serve his function for at least several weeks. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 26.05.2026
· Unverified
"Kryzys migracyjny, który został stworzony i to jest w sposób jasny i jednoznaczny potwierdzony został stworzony przez prezydenta Łukaszenka jego służby był odpowiedzią oczywiście w mniemaniu samego prezydenta Łukaszenki na to co kraje zachodnie w szczególności Polska Litwa Robiły w związku z protestami a później, funkcjonowaniem opozycji, białoruskiej właśnie w Polsce i na Litwie. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 26.05.2026
True
"Ukraine's problem, or the topic for Ukraine after this war, will not be oligarchy, but authoritarianism. That the executive power currently, under martial law, has accumulated superpowers and always giving them back later... I understand that the pretext is war, right? A legitimate pretext is war, of course. But then, relinquishing these privileges, these powers, will be very difficult, and that, in my opinion, is an interesting... "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 26.05.2026
True
"The penetration of these forums served not only to spread a narrative that was supposed to discourage these people from crossing the border, but also to obtain information, in particular information about what these smuggling channels looked like, how these people were organized, by whom they were organized, what were the rates they had to pay, where they were supposed to go later in Belarus, and then how they were supposed to cross the border and further through Poland to the west. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 26.05.2026
True
"This whole situation was organized and carried out from beginning to end precisely by Belarusian services; it was Belarusian services that acquired people who wanted to go to the West, specifically in the Middle East; these people came from Syria, these people came from Iraq, these people came from Jordan, these people came from Lebanon, and a few other places. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 26.05.2026
True
"The migration crisis was a response, primarily a response by the Belarusian authorities to what Poland, Lithuania and other European countries, but primarily Poland and Lithuania, were doing after the elections in August 2020, i.e., supporting the opposition, giving it shelter and also forcing further sanctions. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 26.05.2026
! Misleading
"The fact that this migration crisis in the twenty-first year was averted and managed quite well during its duration, a very good example of which were the events at Kuźnica, was the result of having really good reconnaissance of how this crisis was developing, we had advance information that showed where and when this crisis arose, how it functions, how it proceeds. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 18.05.2026
! Misleading
"Firstly, this is the largest army in the world, and these are not opinions, these are very hard facts, very hard data. There is no other such army in the world. American representatives, meaning American soldiers, are still stationed in Poland in several bases. There are about 10,000 soldiers there. We would like this rotational stationing to become permanent, a constant stationing. We would like there to be more of these soldiers. There are no soldiers from any other country in Poland. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 15.05.2026
! Misleading
"For now, it's so-so, meaning on the one hand, the left has relatively stable polls, but on the other hand, they are not thrilling, meaning it crosses the electoral threshold. Uhh, the average poll for the last month is around 6.6%, so less than 7%, so safely enough that we cross the threshold, but generally, for the left, a more satisfying result would probably be to exceed at least the 10% mark, and that's not happening for now. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 14.05.2026
Pending
"In Poland, there will no longer be PiS or Platforma in this current form, and who will govern, well, who will govern? And who do we teach leadership to in the leadership school? Two groups will emerge from the graduates of the Institute of Freedom's leadership school, in which both, both gentlemen lecture, I see concrete people there who have potential and that's great, and these people will lead to Poland becoming a leader of Europe and sitting at the table with the leaders of China and the United States as the leader of the European Union. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 13.05.2026
True
"If Morawiecki leaves PiS, if there is any formal split, then one can practically say goodbye to PiS returning to power in two thousand twenty-seven, because here the algorithm works, here the D'Hondt system works, which counts votes in such a way that a divided right is a much weaker right than a united right. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 11.05.2026
Pending
"Now the White House, in order to save primarily the American, but also of course the global economy from another energy crisis and wanting to equip it with appropriate amounts of raw materials and fuels, decided to suspend these sanctions on Russia. Initially, the Americans only exempted India from sanctions on the purchase of Russian oil, allowing them to buy this raw material. Then they extended this exemption to all Russian oil on tankers. And this is a large volume, because we are talking about about 100 million barrels of oil. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 11.05.2026
True
"The first such waiver for Russian raw materials was granted in March, but it lasted until early April and was supposed to end then. Moreover, the American administration itself, in the person of the Treasury Secretary, said that there would be no further waivers for Russian oil. Meanwhile, however, the US President's decision was different and the waiver was extended for another month. All this was a gigantic gift for Russia, which could again sell its raw materials at a high price to many recipients. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 08.05.2026
Did not occur
"If there is no strong reaction from the Polish authorities, if there is no strong reaction from the Polish Ministry of Foreign Affairs regarding what is already happening in Katyń, then in a few days we will read in the Russian media that the Katyń Museum has just been liquidated or closed. "
translated PL · original
⚠️ Warning Politics 2026
Igor Janke Igor Janke 08.05.2026
Pending
"Vladimir Putin has long pursued such an anti-Polish, Polonophobic policy, and in my opinion, this policy will soon lead to this – I hope it doesn't happen, but everything indicates that the Polish Museum in Katyn will simply be closed. "
translated PL · original
⚠️ Warning Politics 2026
Igor Janke Igor Janke 08.05.2026
True
"In 2016/17, the Russians introduced something called a tax maneuver. What did it mean? It meant that Belarusians, who until then paid exactly the same prices for hydrocarbons, i.e., for oil and gas, slowly began to pay increasingly higher rates. And this was the main reason that caused President Lukashenka to decide to try to open up to the West and build some alternative to the Russian Federation, which was increasingly aggressively acting against Belarusian sovereignty. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 08.05.2026
True
"Various Russian actions led to blood being shed. And unfortunately, this blood became the blood that fundamentally limited and hindered relations between Belarus and the West. De facto, the August 2020 elections were such a moment when this dialogue broke down. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 08.05.2026
Pending
"Since 2017/18, we have also managed to include the United States as a partner in this dialogue. This was, of course, President Trump's first administration. Importantly, the United States, which then, thanks to the persuasion of the Polish government and also Polish special services, engaged in this dialogue, has remained in this dialogue to this day, and today the second Trump administration continues to conduct dialogue with President Lukashenka and his regime. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 06.05.2026
Pending
"today we have a unique opportunity thanks to the efforts of President Andrzej Duda, and now recently thanks to the great efforts and huge successes of President Nawrocki. On September 3rd last year, there was a meeting with President Trump. There was talk of increasing the presence of American troops. In fact, there was talk of a permanent base for American troops in Poland. And today we have a great opportunity to strengthen the presence of American troops to a division level by moving American soldiers from the German base or American base in Germany, Ramstein, moving them from Spain and other countries. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 27.04.2026
True
"Today Allen will be questioned by the court. The District of Columbia District Attorney's Office has already brought two charges against him related to the use of a firearm during a violent crime and assault on a federal officer with a dangerous weapon. According to the White House, the suspect's direct targets were members of the Trump administration. USA Today reminds that the current President of the United States has already been threatened by several assassins. In July 2024, he was shot in the ear during an election rally, and two months later, an attempt was made to kill him on a golf course. A decade ago, he was taken from a meeting with voters because an armed person was reportedly in the crowd. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 27.04.2026
True
"During a gala with the participation of the President of the United States Donald Trump, a shooting occurred. The perpetrator of the attack is a teacher from California, also working in the computer games industry. From Saturday to Sunday, the American head of state took part in the White House Correspondents' Association ball, which was attended by a total of about 3000 people. At some point, shots were fired at the Hilton Hotel in Washington. The assailant, carrying a shotgun, a pistol, and several knives, tried to break through the event's security in the lobby of the said facility. During the exchange of fire, a Secret Service agent was lightly wounded and left the hospital on Sunday. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 24.04.2026
Pending
"The European Union, after Hungary withdrew its veto, approved the 20th package of sanctions against Russia. Contrary to earlier announcements, the restrictions will not apply to the maritime transport sector. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 24.04.2026
! Misleading
"The truce between Israel and Lebanon has been extended by three weeks. Donald Trump is not rushing to end the war with Iran. Tens of thousands of homes in Lebanon have been destroyed during Israel's attack. Israeli soldiers are suspected of spying for Iran. Negotiations between Ukraine and Moldova with the European Union will be unblocked. The European Union approves new sanctions against Russia, withdrawing restrictions on maritime transport. Annually, over 800,000 people die due to overwork. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 14.04.2026
True
"Viktor Orban lost power after 16 years. This is no longer in doubt. he will certainly not be prime minister, Fidesz will certainly not govern in the near future in any case, and it is certainly a spectacular success for Tisza and Péter Magyar. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 13.04.2026
True
"Viktor Orbán lost power after 16 years. There is no doubt about it. He will certainly not be prime minister. Fidesz will certainly not govern in the near future in any case, and it is certainly a spectacular success for Tisza and Péter Magyar. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 12.04.2026
True
"As of now, at 22:11 Polish time, with 81% of votes counted, TISA obtains 137 seats in parliament, Fidesz 55, which is more than twice less. And according to these results, TISA has 2/3 of the votes in parliament, which allows for changing practically every law. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 12.04.2026
Pending
"I will just remind you that we already have results from 77% of districts or electoral commissions and according to these results TISA will take 138 seats in parliament, which is well over 2/3 of the seats, and Fidesz only 54. Mihazang 7%, that radical right-wing party. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 18.03.2026
Pending
"Chile is starting the construction of a wall. The implementation of the investment was one of the most important pre-election promises of the new president José Antonio Casta. The politician announced on the Chile-Peru border that he is starting the construction of a border shield. The plan assumes the creation of a barrier consisting of trenches and fences. It is to be regularly patrolled by Border Guard units, which will also use drones for this purpose. The border fence will be 30 km long, and the number of checkpoints in this area will be increased from 50 to 75. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 02.06.2026
True
"He will replace Lieutenant General Maciej Klisz as operational commander, who held the position since October 2023. In the near future, the military officer will be appointed Chief of Staff of the NATO Joint Force Command in Brunssum, Netherlands. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 02.06.2026
Pending
"President Karol Nawrocki appointed Major General Ireneusz Nowak as the operational commander of the branches of the armed forces. His predecessor, Lieutenant General Maciej Klisz, will become the chief of staff of the North Atlantic Alliance in the Netherlands. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 02.06.2026
True
"Hungarian Prime Minister Péter Magyar announced an amendment to the constitution to remove the current president, Tamás Sulyok, who consistently refuses. Tisza party leader Peter Magyar commented on the election results. At a rally in Budapest, he thanked Hungarians for all their votes and announced work from the very first day after the elections. –... Magyar calls on the President of Hungary to resign. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 01.06.2026
True
"Well, but that doesn't change the fact that the end in such a form, or the suspension, as this war is currently ended, that practically Azerbaijan regained Nagorno-Karabakh, led to Prime Minister Pashinyan stopping showing up, stopping participating in those organizations that somehow link him with Russia. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 01.06.2026
! Misleading
"The fact that Armenia is not economically dependent on Russia is, as it were, a fact, it's hard to argue and discuss with that. However. And on the other hand, there is another aspect, there is a military aspect, there are bases, in the sense that there is a base in Gyumri, there is an air base in Erebuni, there are various FSB units, there are some advisors, so there are still many such institutions of the Russian state there. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 01.06.2026
True
"I followed this story about the dispute over the downing of a plane, which the Russians did. To which they did not admit for a very long time. They tried to pressure the Azeris to just move on from it. And Aliyev didn't do that. Aliyev practically forced Putin to apologize for it. And he normally acknowledged that it was Russia's fault. With all its consequences later. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 01.06.2026
! Misleading
"So, for example, it does not demonstratively participate in CSTO meetings, Armenia does not participate at a high governmental level in meetings of the Commonwealth of Independent States, Armenia does not take part in the organization of this Eurasian Union. This is a consequence of the conviction that the Russians simply betrayed them, that the Russians made a deal with Azerbaijan, made a deal with Aliyev. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 29.05.2026
True
"Volodymyr Zelenskyy appointed, or one could say, bestowed the title of UPA heroes to a military unit, a specialized one. This unit has recently been named the UPA heroes unit. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 29.05.2026
True
"This government is ultra unpopular, barely thirty-something percent of Poles are its supporters, which is about ten percentage points less than Mateusz Morawiecki's government had. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 29.05.2026
True
"The draft law on social security for people who perform artistic professions is to concern only those individuals, those artists, who achieve low, irregular incomes, and then the state budget would subsidize their ZUS contributions, this is to cover about 1 third of all artists, concerns about 20 thousand people, as estimated by the Ministry of Culture. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Igor Janke Igor Janke 29.05.2026
Pending
"If the head of the Ukrainian IPN announces that they will successively bring back the remains of all members or founders of the OUN, meaning Yevhen Konovalets is to be reburied again in Kyiv. Now Andriy Melnyk was buried this Sunday with honors, with the participation of the president, with the participation of elite representatives. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics