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Comparic Rynki on Politics — predictions scored

Comparic Rynki on Politics — predictions scored

20 tracked claims · Accuracy: 50%

Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 01.06.2026
Pending
"If the process of European unification is completed, then I am convinced that this mess will happen sooner or later, because the differences between various European nations are colossal. If we also add the sauce of migration. The fact that today many migrants do not even learn the local language and are subsidized by politicians. Today in France we have Mr. Mélenchon, who openly acts as a Frenchman on behalf of people of Islamic or migratory origin and so on. This is an invitation to civil war. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics Medium timeframe
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 18.05.2026
Pending
"By '29 we will see at least one UK Prime Minister, and maybe even two. We will see more marches and we will probably see UK bond yields above 6%. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2029
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 27.03.2026
Failed
"He will take over Cuba and that's it. Cuba is really in such a ruined state right now that, in my opinion, before November we will see Trump's triumphant entry into Havana. And the dream of socialist Cuba will end. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 01.06.2026
Pending
"If Germany, looking at what they are doing today, having these 92 billion for Ukraine, having safe-type loans, if Germany commits as they can to making the German army the strongest army in Europe within the next 11 years, then I am convinced that it will succeed. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2037
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 01.06.2026
Pending
"I predict that they will eventually have to come to an agreement. The US will unblock Iranian ports, Iran will unblock the strait, and this will last until November. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 22.05.2026
~ Partially
"In my opinion, Trump is very keen on this. If there isn't some catastrophic loss for him in this deal, in this agreement, if it's not clearly visible that it's a loss for the States, then he will conclude this deal. Well, I think it's 60 to 40 that in May it will end for a certain period. That's my current bet. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 20.05.2026
Fulfilled
"No hard agreement on the Power of Siberia 2 will come out of today's Beijing. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 16.05.2026
True
"In January 2024, they signed an agreement with Somaliland. Ethiopia gets 20 km of coastline for 50 years, and in return, the prospect of Somaliland's recognition by Addis Ababa. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 16.05.2026
! Misleading
"Prime Minister Modi historically traveled to Addis Ababa on December 25. The Indian navy currently maintains 40 warships in the Red Sea region. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 05.05.2026
True
"CISA, the American cybersecurity agency, received a proposed budget cut of 707 million dollars for fiscal year 2027. So, just when the defense of critical infrastructure becomes an extreme sport, its budget shrinks. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 22.04.2026
Pending
"these midterm elections, of course, as the previous speaker said and you also said, will change the balance of power. Trump will be weaker, it will be harder for him to push his initiatives. I think the Democrats will take this opportunity and try to impeach him, although it is difficult to finalize it, but the very initiation of this procedure is ideal for the elections in another 2 years. especially presidential ones, and in fact, this internal turmoil in the USA will open the way for countries like China or Russia in terms of geopolitics, looking at the global situation, so the question is, for example, Taiwan in a year or two, we will see sooner. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 20.04.2026
~ Partially
"even those lost midterm elections, which it seems Donald Trump has already accepted, in the sense that he accepted the fact that it would not be possible to win the midterm elections, will essentially cause greater paralysis than we have observed so far. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 10.04.2026
Pending
"I would put the probability at 9090-something percent that something will happen before the November elections. Not that the US will invade Cuba. No, no, that would be an exaggeration. But in some way, Trump will announce that he is taking supervision over Cuba and that there will be massive investments, that the system will change and so on, and I am almost certain. Well, almost certain. I could bet that it will happen. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 02.04.2026
Occurred
"If we haven't expected the withdrawal of American troops from Europe until now, we should start. "
translated PL · original
⚠️ Warning Politics Medium timeframe
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 22.05.2026
Failed
"I have the impression, you know, Michał, I have the impression that this frantic activity of diplomats from both sides plus plus Pakistan, plus Qatar also probably want to achieve something by the end of May. Well, let's say maybe not this weekend, but I don't rule it out, but by the end of May. Of course, they want to achieve some more lasting ceasefire, an end to fighting at least until November, until the elections in the United States, until the congressional elections, because I don't count on it for longer. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 22.04.2026
~ Partially
"And as for the issue of the dollar as a safe currency, as long as Donald Trump conducts policy in such an unpredictable way, the American currency may be somewhat overlooked by investors precisely at the expense of other currencies considered safer at the moment. "
translated PL · original
⚠️ Warning Politics Medium timeframe
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 20.04.2026
Pending
"there will be a lot of turmoil before and up to the midterm elections, and after the midterm elections it won't change, because the way Donald Trump's family operates, focused on money and cash flow, will absolutely not change. Money matters, cash flows matter. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 10.04.2026
~ Partially
"And we know that this CPN costs 1.6 billion a month. Therefore, the government would want to recover it, and I think such a law will appear. It will appear, which does not mean that the government will reach into the pockets of these various companies, because President Nowrocki is still in the way. I am not at all sure that he will sign such a law to help the government obtain funds for the budget, right? "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics Short timeframe
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 02.04.2026
Failed
"American troops will leave Iran in two, maybe three weeks. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 30.03.2026
Pending
"If Iran falls, Trump will taste victory and think he can do anything. And that means Venezuela, Cuba, then in a sense Russia, then China are currently playing for survival, not for victory. "
translated PL · original
🌐 Scenario Politics

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