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Coin Bureau on Politics — predictions scored

Coin Bureau on Politics — predictions scored

12 tracked claims · Accuracy: 88%

Coin Bureau Coin Bureau 18.05.2026
~ Partially
"Democrats need ethics language to provide the seven crossover votes. Trump will veto any bill that contains ethics language. The bill cannot pass without it, and it likely cannot pass with it. "
🌐 Scenario Politics
Coin Bureau Coin Bureau 14.05.2026
Fulfilled
"So, put simply, the bill cannot pass with ethics language and it cannot pass without it. "
🌐 Scenario Politics
Coin Bureau Coin Bureau 06.05.2026
Pending
"If the Senate Banking Committee does not formally mark up the Clarity Act before the Memorial Day recess on May 21st, the entire framework collapses. Midterms swallow the calendar, and comprehensive crypto market structure legislation is reportedly pushed out as far back as 2030. "
🌐 Scenario Politics
Coin Bureau Coin Bureau 04.05.2026
Pending
"The practical markup window closes in mid-May. The recess begins on the 25th and after that, the midterm cycle starts swallowing every available legislative day. If the Clarity Act dies in this window, then comprehensive market structure legislation pushes deep into 2027 or beyond and the industry returns to regulation by enforcement. "
🌐 Scenario Politics
Coin Bureau Coin Bureau 26.03.2026
True
"Because buried inside section 1,01 is a sunset clause. The prohibition on the Federal Reserve issuing a CBDC is not permanent. It explicitly expires on the 31st of December, 2030. So let's be precise about what is actually happening here. This is not a ban, but a temporary 4-year moratorum. "
✅ Factual claim Politics
Coin Bureau Coin Bureau 18.05.2026
True
"Once a blockchain reaches a point where no single entity controls 20% or more of token supply or governance, the asset graduates from being an investment contract under the SEC to a digital commodity under the CFTC. Translation, tokens get a legal life cycle for the first time in American history. "
✅ Factual claim Politics
Coin Bureau Coin Bureau 14.05.2026
~ Partially
"But, the truly extraordinary part is that there are three specific traps inside this markup that could blow the entire bill up before the Senate ever takes a floor vote. And missing any one of them probably pushes US crypto regulation into 2027 and beyond. "
⚠️ Warning Politics 2027
Coin Bureau Coin Bureau 26.03.2026
Pending
"If a CBDCfriendly administration wins in November 2028, they will be fully installed and empowered by the time the ban expires in December 2030. "
🌐 Scenario Politics
Coin Bureau Coin Bureau 30.03.2026
Fulfilled
"And the Iranian Parliament is actively drafting formal legislation to permanently codify this fee structure into their national law. "
🔮 Forecast Politics 2027
Coin Bureau Coin Bureau 26.03.2026
Fulfilled
"Furthermore, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Pal's term expires in May 2026. So, a new potentially more CBDC friendly Fed leadership could be in place for the remainder of the decade. "
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Coin Bureau Coin Bureau 03.03.2026
Pending
"If the 2024 election is anything to go by, the 2026 midterms could be incredibly bullish. "
🌐 Scenario Politics
Coin Bureau Coin Bureau 05.01.2026
Fulfilled
"Also on Tuesday, we got the news that Powell's replacement will be coming soon. I would announce replacement probably in January, probably. "
🔮 Forecast Politics 2026

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