Benjamin Cowen (Into the Cryptoverse) on Other — predictions scored

"If you look at this cycle, you can see that Bitcoin's first drop corresponded to a drop in the S&P 500. So perhaps there will be another drop in the S&P 500 in the second half of the year which will then lead to Bitcoin putting in a low at the end of the midterm year which is when it always does. Sometime the fourth quarter of the midterm year. "

"If it plays out how it historically has, then it means there likely will be another drop by Bitcoin, um, as we go into the summer months, potentially finding a low sometime in the fourth quarter. My guess is October, but it doesn't have to be. "

"If later this year, you're looking at Bitcoin and it's below say Q1 and it's late midterm year, just consider that maybe this time's not different. Maybe Bitcoin's just bottoming at the end of the midterm year like it normally does. And perhaps that'll be a good accumulation target accumulation window as we go hopefully into the next Bitcoin bull market. "

"And again, the lows generally Q4 of 2014, though technically you could argue it was Q 1 of 2025, Q4 of 2018, Q4 of 2022, and what we're speculating is Q4 of 2026. "

"If this lines up, then the next low could be around the October time frame. Maybe a local low in June, and then another low in October. So, we'll just have to wait and see. "

"I think it'll be the 21st of November, I think. Don't book a plane ticket, but just maybe mark it on the calendar as 70% chance that's when it'll be. "