Claims
1,331 claims · 01.01.1150 – 11.06.2026
Content language
"If Ormus remains blocked for more than a month and Goldman's scenario materializes, then pressure on the Polish transport industry will return with full force. And when pressure returns to TSL, retail chain margins begin to fall, and then there's no need to explain it. We all see it on our receipts. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"If the OECD's projections prove accurate, well, the Federal Reserve is sitting dangerously behind the curve and will be forced into emergency policy reversals and the broader market is already pricing in this exact scenario. "
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"By April 19, the world is losing 4.5 to 5 million barrels per day. But if Hormuz doesn't open for good in mid-April, that number will double. This would be the largest loss of oil supply in history. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Furthermore, from low orbit, nuclear pulse engines are the most probable, relying on nuclear impulses simply pushing the ship, where small charges are ejected, they explode and push the ship. And then we will fly to Mars in, for example, 14 days. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Technology
"Goldman Sachs raised Brent forecasts to an average of $110/barrel in March and April with significant upside risk. If Ormus remains closed for 10 weeks, prices can beat the 2008 record of $147/barrel. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"The government lowered the GDP growth forecast for 2026 to 1%. The Bundesbank is even more pessimistic, seeing only 0.6%. The Ifo Institute puts it at 0.8. "
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PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Economy
Ad
"However, we are probably heading towards such a transitional period where there will be different blocs, different currencies, which is what was discussed, that China, Russia, Iran are creating a separate settlement system to bypass sanctions. China will soon introduce CBDC, i.e., central bank digital currency, and in this technology, they already provide partners with cheap, fast settlement options. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
Medium timeframe
"The federal deficit in 2026 is projected to be another 1.9 trillion and grow to 3.1 trillion in 2036. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"Leading to one conclusion that within the next, I think, 50 years we will be able to function in a computer simulation partially or completely. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2076
"The market prices in optimism, but every subsequent day of closed Ormus is a step closer to a crisis we haven't seen since the 1970s. "
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PL · original
⚠️ Warning
Economy
Medium timeframe
"At the peak right now we have AI agents, which are small programs running and doing various things. This is in a very early phase of technological advancement on one hand, and user adoption on the other, so we can expect a lot in terms of delivering various solutions in this area within the next five years. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2031
"We currently have several very advanced startups globally, one of which is European, of course German, right? which are engaged in this, which are currently practically on the verge of launching fully commercial thermonuclear reactors. "
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PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Technology
"The Federal Reserve faces a tragic choice. Either allow a great recession, or print its way out of debt and sacrifice the value of the dollar. In both scenarios, gold wins and that's why they are buying. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"If these retirement plans allocate just 1% of their capital to Bitcoin, well, that represents roughly $139 billion in brand new automated buying pressure. To put that number into perspective, $139 billion is more than three times the cumulative net inflows of every single spot Bitcoin ETF launched in 2024 combined. So a capital injection of that magnitude would fundamentally rewrite the assets market cap. "
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"The federal deficit in 2026 is projected to be another 1.9 trillion and grow to 3.1 trillion in 2036. In this context, the pressure on the Fed to cut rates and make long-term debt is neither a coincidence nor a whim. It's mathematics. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
Ad
"The stock market sooner or later discounts, as they say, or anticipates an improvement in economic conditions or better profits that will appear not even next year, but for example in 2028, since we are recording this at the beginning of 2026, I am talking here about a very long-term game where you can buy cheap companies that no one notices or most assume that they will still have time to buy, that before the improvement occurs, there will still be many months of such lethargy, and often one can be mistaken, because the price often rebounds a year or even a year and a half before the improvement in results, because the best informed, they are already observing it, they are closest to the management board or even people around the management board, right, or insiders can officially buy. One should also observe how the company presidents behave, whether they are buying more, whether key managers are buying shares, because this can be a valuable signal for us that an improvement is on the horizon. "
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PL · original
💬 Opinion
Economy
"According to BCA Research, the world is now losing 4.5 to 5 million barrels per day. This is about 5% of global supply. But beware, BCA analyst Mark Papik warns that by mid-April this number will double. Why? Because strategic reserves will run out, sanction-exempt Russian and Iranian oil will run out, and Gulf producers had to shut down wells because they have nowhere to store what they cannot ship. "
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PL · original
⚠️ Warning
Economy
2026
"Goldman Sachs raised forecasts. Prices averaged $110 in March and April with a risk of significantly higher. If Hormuz remains closed for 10 weeks, prices could beat the 2008 record of $147 per barrel. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Ultimately, I think he will turn out to be a conservative. It seems to me that one million points on the WIG is my base scenario. Of course, by 2044, so we still have a little time until the hundredth anniversary of the Warsaw Uprising. I think we will reach one million points. "
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PL · original
💰 Price target
Economy
2044
"Now, this isn't a problem today, but if quantum computers ever reach the point where private keys can be derived from public keys, then taproot coins wouldn't even need to be spent to be at risk. "
⚠️ Warning
Technology
Long timeframe