Claims
1,331 claims · 01.01.1150 – 11.06.2026
Content language
"The only question is how we treat them. If you treat, let's say, Paraguay today as a place to fly there for half a year, just like many Poles fly to Turkey or Thailand, then I ask, what if there are no flights? What if you can't transfer in Madrid from a low-cost airline to a plane that will take you across the Atlantic? However, as a place where you move with your family, because you are 60, 50-something, or 40-something, work online, and have small children, then yes, absolutely. These are good directions. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"I predict that they will eventually have to come to an agreement. The US will unblock Iranian ports, Iran will unblock the strait, and this will last until November. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026
"Some Czech models estimate an impact of up to 1.5 PLN per liter. A megawatt-hour of gas 90 PLN more, that's nearly 400 PLN more for coal. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"This is a situation, this war, which will still last, ladies and gentlemen, even if they sign this MOU, even if they sign it, even if they sign some agreement, it will last more or less until November, until the elections in the States. Then, next year, I am convinced that Israel will act towards restarting this war. I don't believe in an end, unfortunately. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Armed conflicts
2026
"I think that if Minister Domański keeps the promise that these personal investment accounts (OKI) will start on January 1st, then it should start helping the stock market, and next year help a lot, if the bull market continues, because if there is no bull market, then it is known that OKI will be somewhat battered, but if there is, then people will flock to it because it attracts them with the lack of exemption, lack of Belka tax, lack of capital gains tax up to 100,000 of invested capital. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Banks will, of course, pass on the cost to customers in the form of higher fees, higher margins on currency exchange, and more expensive loans. This means that in practice, your mortgage loan, your credit card, and your transfer fee will become a bit more expensive. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
Ad
"Excise tax on ethyl alcohol, beer, wine, and intermediate products plus 15%, and another 10% next year. "
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PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Economy
"The German crisis is our budget revenue crisis, delayed by a few quarters, but unfortunately absolutely certain. "
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PL · original
⚠️ Warning
Economy
Medium timeframe
"In '26, we will give more to banks and bondholders in interest than to all pensioners, families, and caregivers combined. The year-on-year increase is over 19%. This is not a single jump, it's a trend that will strengthen. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"I predict that they will eventually have to agree. The States will unblock Iranian ports, Iran will unblock the strait, and it will be like that until November. What I said before, well, some agreement, I don't know if it's this agreement or the next one in a few days, because it also looks nice, right? There's an agreement, indices rise, no agreement, then we fall a bit. An agreement is announced again, then new records. And so we can play until the end of the world one day longer. yyy, but in the end something will be signed and I would be afraid of what will happen after the elections in the States, but we'll see. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026
"When this wave passes, probably after 2027, the TFR will start falling towards zero again. This is, to put it bluntly and in stock market terms, a dead cat bounce. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Society
2027
"I also have a feeling that a powerful front, a cyclone, will pass over Europe, causing enormous damage. It's more to the south. South, meaning from Poland towards Southern Europe, so if anything, maybe southern Poland, and also further south, meaning Slovakia, Czech Republic, right? Maybe Hungary or the Balkan countries. But it will be a powerful front, some total squall that will cause great, enormous damage at the beginning of summer, which will be talked about. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Disasters
2026
"a concept or a decision of the European Union states will be made or to create a unified tax for the entire Union, that let's say countries will have their own tax policy, but the European Union will start to require a tax from all member states, including Poland. The European Union will want citizens of all member countries to be burdened with some additional tax. An infrastructural tax, which every citizen generating income will be burdened with. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
Medium timeframe
"The value of the Polish Petcare market in 2025 is approximately 10 billion PLN. The growth is approximately 14% year-on-year. Analysts' forecast: by 2028, the market will reach nearly 13 billion PLN. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2028
"The 2027 budget has a 30 billion euro hole. "
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PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Economy
Ad
"until SpaceX's debut, by June 12, no harm should befall the market, or Wall Street will not allow any harm to happen. And I believe that for some time after the debut, this market will be defended, even artificially pumped by the fat cats of Wall Street. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"until the elections, the stock market will be held, pumped, and also very nice valuations will result for our Creotech Instruments, Scanway, and quantum companies in particular. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"until September, let's say I assume, right, until September 1st the market should be strong and SpaceX's stock price should be kept high, even attacking the level of 30% above IPO, because that will also be good marketing for Wall Street, for the stock exchange, right? "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"The Chinese economic model, which for the last 20 years has been based on three pillars: exports, infrastructure investment, and domestic consumption. In 2026, it will have only one functioning pillar, namely exports. "
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PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Economy
"The GDP growth forecast for 2026 is approximately 2.4%. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026