Skip to content
Verdiktum
I
Ivan on Tech (Ivan Liljeqvist)
Claim author · 📅 26.05.2026 · 30-Year Yield Just Hit 2007 Highs
Pending

"US 30-year government bond yield is at the highest level since 2007, meaning that they will have to go and buy themselves. When the bond yield is high, it means that there is not a lot of demand for 30-year government bonds."

Pending. The claim consists of several parts. The factual observation that the US 30-year government bond yield reached its highest level since 2007 in May 2026 is confirmed by multiple sources. The principle that a high bond yield means l...
👁️ 9 💬 0
Verification ✦ Analysis generated with AI Pro
Methodology The claim consists of several parts. The factual observation that the US 30-year government bond yield reached its highest level since 2007 in May 2026 is confirmed by multiple sources. The principle that a high bond yield means low demand for those bonds is a fundamental principle of bond markets and is confirmed. The forecast part, 'meaning that they will have to go and buy themselves,' refers to future actions, likely by large institutions or the central bank, to stabilize the market or finance deficits, which is consistent with market mechanisms in the face of low demand and high supply. As this is a forecast with an indefinite horizon, and the statement date is May 26, 2026, with today being June 20, 2026, this part of the claim is still pending.
Available in the Pro plan Full AI analysis, sources, counterarguments Unlock Pro
🔄 Last review: 20.06.2026 📥 Added: 20.06.2026
🤖
AI-generated analysis: This result is an assessment by a language model, not an expert opinion or a legally binding verdict. Verify sources before making any decisions. Model: gemini-2.5-flash

For informational purposes only. Not investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Full disclaimer

AI is analyzing your argument…
Source (proof) Plays from the quoted moment
Transcript excerpt SV

US 30-year government bond yield is at the highest level since 2007, meaning that they will have to go and buy themselves. When the bond yield is high, it means that there is not a lot of demand for 30-year government bonds. When there's no demand, when the price of a bond is dumping, the yield goes up because imagine you have a money machine, it prints $10 per day, and the price of it goes down, it means that that $10 per day is now a higher percent of the price of the money machine. So, think about the bond the same way.

Comments

No comments yet. Be the first!

Sign in to leave a comment.


Community Arguments (AI Feedback)

Log in to use this feature

Login

Related claims by Ivan on Tech (Ivan Liljeqvist)

I
Ivan on Tech (Ivan Liljeqvist) 11.06.2026
Pending
"I think it's very very likely that the bear is going to end within the coming months likely in September, October in Q4 uh 2026 and then and then 2027 is when the real big fat bull is going to happen with all of the altcoins going parabolic with all of the different other things happening. "
🌐 original
🔮 Forecast Economy 🗓️ 31.12.2027
I
Ivan on Tech (Ivan Liljeqvist) 10.06.2026
Pending
"At some point, the prices will have to be hiked a lot, a lot. But, but, but, but, before that happens, they go IPO, trillions and trillions and trillions, team cashes out, founder cashes out, and then of course they're going to still not try to build it. Maybe they figure a way to make it work. But, the most important thing is that we need to be careful around these IPOs. "
translated SV · original
⚠️ Warning Economy 🗓️ 31.12.2026
I
Ivan on Tech (Ivan Liljeqvist) 12.06.2026
Pending
"If he stops paying dividend it wouldn't surprise me if this stretch falls to maybe 60 I mean maybe 50 who hell knows it needs to it will fall to the value without the dividend which is like micro strategy stock so you can try to calculate how much that would be. "
🌐 original
💰 Price target Economy 🗓️ 31.12.2028
I
Ivan on Tech (Ivan Liljeqvist) 08.06.2026
Pending
"I think there's going to be such a big capital rotation from AI, from all of the tech stuff back into crypto, why you will have AI getting squeezed by political pressures. We don't see it yet, but likely towards the midterms, especially as the next presidential race starts, which is next year, we're going to see more and more of, you know, the candidates who's going to be candidate for Democrat, for Republic. "
🌐 original
🔮 Forecast Economy 🗓️ 31.12.2027