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Benjamin Cowen (Into the Cryptoverse)
Claim author · 📅 04.06.2026 · Bitcoin Cliff Dwellers
Fulfilled

"And one thing to remember, and I I just want to kind of remind people of this, is that it it it often can take about 20 weeks, plus or minus a few weeks, in bear markets to set new lows."

Fulfilled. Benjamin Cowen's claim that bear markets often take about 20 weeks (plus or minus a few weeks) to set new lows is supported by his own analyses and general historical data on cryptocurrency markets. Cowen himself indicated that re...
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Verification ✦ Analysis generated with AI Pro
Methodology Benjamin Cowen's claim that bear markets often take about 20 weeks (plus or minus a few weeks) to set new lows is supported by his own analyses and general historical data on cryptocurrency markets. Cowen himself indicated that recent cycles took approximately 140 to 174 days (20-25 weeks) to print a new low. Other sources suggest that the average time to bottom in Bitcoin bear markets is 101 days (~14.4 weeks) for all bear markets, and 215 days (~30.7 weeks) for deeper bear markets. General estimates for the duration of crypto bear markets often fall within the range of 8-12 months (32-48 weeks) or 9-18 months (36-72 weeks) from peak to trough.
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🔄 Last review: 20.06.2026 📥 Added: 20.06.2026
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AI-generated analysis: This result is an assessment by a language model, not an expert opinion or a legally binding verdict. Verify sources before making any decisions. Model: gemini-2.5-flash

For informational purposes only. Not investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Full disclaimer

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Transcript excerpt English

ow, the the the natural time to dunk on the bears is in these countertrend rallies. And um and then those people finally get the memo when the market drops, they panic sell, and then the market has another countertrend rally, and then they get mad at the people that told them it was a countertrend rally before the drop. So it it is a brutal cycle. And one thing to remember, and I I just want to kind of remind people of this, is that it it it often can take about 20 weeks, plus or minus a few weeks, in bear markets to set new lows. And so while one of the prevailing narratives for Bitcoin this year has been that these countertrend rallies are different, and that, you know, it it we shouldn't rely on the past, uh because the narratives are different this time. But if you look at at prior bear market rallies, like if you look at the one in 2022 before a new low, it took about

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Benjamin Cowen (Into the Cryptoverse) 28.05.2026
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"And then once you get to the summer especially kind of after the drop going into the summer that's when you start to you know, start to get interested in Bitcoin. Um So, think about the July, August, September time frame. Knowing that if you buy then, there still could be one last drop, right? Like there was one last drop in 2022, the FTX collapse we had in Q4. There was one last drop in 2018 that we that started in November. There's also one last drop in 2014 that actually bled into the very beginning of 2015. "
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Benjamin Cowen (Into the Cryptoverse) 29.05.2026
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"I have to think right now that the next low likely forms in June. And there probably will be a rally kind of like early Q3, July August which would then set up the final drop into sort of the September, October timeframe. And if that plays out, and we're sitting here in Q4, and Bitcoin is is is trading at a low price, I have a feeling there's going to be a lot of people that are bullish now that are going to be bearish then. But, that'll probably be the time to pivot. "
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"If you look at 2018, you can see it started in September. The S&P M2 factor would actually correspond to September. And you know, if that is the case, we know that Bitcoin, well we don't know, but I think Bitcoin might bottom in October. And so if the stock market were to top in September, then maybe Bitcoin would bottom out pretty quickly just because it would react to whatever the stock market's reacting to a lot quicker because it's just further up the risk curve. It would get hit a lot quicker than the stock market and potentially Bitcoin then finds that low sometime in the fourth quarter. Maybe as early as as October. "
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