Skip to content
Verdiktum

Insider trading on bets about whether we will overthrow a dictator. Until now, n...

Comparic Rynki: "Insider trading on bets about whether we will overthrow a dictator. Until now, no one knew if it was punishable at all. Now Vanije will test..." — Fulfilled

C

📅 27.04.2026 · Zamach na Trumpa, POLSKI REKORD ŚWIATA i Rosyjski ślad... · 👁️ 29

Fulfilled. The claim is confirmed. Insider trading on prediction markets, such as Polymarket, was previously considered a 'legal grey area'. The case of Gannon Ken Van Dyke, a soldier charged on April 23, 2026, with using classifie...

"Insider trading on bets about whether we will overthrow a dictator. Until now, no one knew if it was punishable at all. Now Vanije will test it for everyone." "Insider trading na zakładach o to, czy obalimy dyktatora. Dotąd nikt nie wiedział czy w ogóle jest karalny. Teraz Vanije przetestuje to za wszystkich."
🌐 (Machine-translated — original in Polish) · Original in Polishuage
🔮 Forecast 💰 Economy Short timeframe (under 1 year) AI assessment confidence: 90% Resolves by: 2027 Assertiveness: high Source on YouTube

Predictions closed

Source (proof)

Plays from the quoted moment

Verification

Analysis generated with AI Pro
Available in the Pro plan Full AI analysis, sources, counterarguments Unlock Pro
🤖
AI-generated analysis: This result is an assessment by a language model, not an expert opinion or a legally binding verdict. Verify sources before making any decisions. Model: gemini-2.5-flash

For informational purposes only. Not investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Full disclaimer

AI is analyzing your argument…

Community Arguments (AI Feedback)

Log in to use this feature

Login

Transcript excerpt

Oryginał w języku Polskim Open on YouTube

Chłopakowi z dyplomem zielonego beretu grozi ponad 20 lat więzienia. No niestety troszkę kiepski deal. A co to znaczy w praktyce? że rynki predykcyjne, polmarket, calsi, cała ta nowa kategoria działają w prawnej szarej strefie. Insider trading na akcjach to przestępstwo federalne wyczelowane przez 90 lat orzecznictwa. Insider trading na zakładach o to, czy obalimy dyktatora. Dotąd nikt nie wiedział czy w ogóle jest karalny. Teraz Vanije przetestuje to za wszystkich. A skoro już o szarych strefach, 5,6 miliona Polaków posiada jakiekolwiek kryptowaluty. Dla porównania rachunków maklerskich na warszawskiej giełdzie wszystkich na akcje, ETFY, obligacje jest 2 miliony. Ten dysonans jest źródłem wszystkiego, co teraz powiem. Ale najpierw trzy pojęcia, które trzeba znać, żeby zrozumieć dlaczego Polska traci miliardy

Comments

No comments yet. Be the first!

Sign in to leave a comment.

Related claims by Comparic Rynki

Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 04.05.2026
Pending
"Smartphones, laptops, consoles, TVs, home appliances will go up by 10-20, in some places 30%. Stock levels of Polish networks will be sufficient until the end of the first half of the year. Real increase: end of July, August, autumn. The cheapest models will suffer the most. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Economy 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 31.05.2026
Pending
"If you heat with coal, the amounts are higher. 10311 PLN in the period 2028-2030. And pay attention, 3974 PLN until 2035. I repeat, because it's a brutal number. A family heating with coal will have almost 40,000 PLN taken from their wallet in 7 years. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Economy 2035
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 06.06.2026
Fulfilled
"In the Dutch system after 2028, the same start, the same 7%, but every year the tax office cuts 36% of the profit. This cuts real growth from 7% to about 4.5%. Sounds innocent, right? After a decade you lose over 17% of your final capital. After 20 years almost 30%. After 40 almost 57. Instead of 1.5 million you have about 646,000. Euro. The state erases over 850,000 EUR of potential wealth from your account. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Economy 2028
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 23.04.2026
~ Partially
"Optimistic scenario. Trump makes a deal with Iran. Ormus returns to normal. Jet fuel drops to $120 per barrel in summer. Bydgoszcz regains Frankfurt in the fourth quarter, and the pessimistic scenario: war escalates, Russia continues to scheme. European reserves fall below 23 days. physical shortages at airports, rationing, ban on short-haul flights, and with this scenario, a full recession in the aviation industry. "
translated PL · original
🌐 Scenario Economy