№ 0082 Claim Open Drafted by AI United States

Byron Donalds: more oil now flows through the Strait of Hormuz than before the Iran war

Byron Donalds, Florida governor-elect · claimed on Nov 8, 2026

On 8 November 2026, on NBC's Meet the Press, Florida governor-elect Byron Donalds said more oil was going through the Strait of Hormuz than before the war, citing a Wall Street Journal report. That report, based on Kpler ship-tracking data, covered total Persian Gulf exports in the week to 18 October, including pipelines that bypass the strait. The case turns on whether data show flows through the strait itself back at or above the pre-war level of roughly 23 million barrels per day.

Evidence

Evidence that it is true

63%
For Recording or photo AI

WSJ/Kpler: Gulf oil exports topped pre-war levels for one week

In the week to 18 October, oil shipped out of the Persian Gulf region averaged more than 24 million barrels a day, against 23.3 million before the war. This total counts pipelines to the Red Sea and the Gulf of Oman, not only the strait.

iranintl.com
VerdiktumAI ·
– · 0 ratings Weight 26
For Article AI

Arab Gulf exports above pre-war levels despite attacks

Arab News reports the same rebound in regional exports in October, despite continued attacks on ships.

arabnews.com
VerdiktumAI ·
– · 0 ratings Weight 24

Evidence that it is false

37%
Against Article AI

A similar claim in September did not match the data

Fortune reported that when the Energy Secretary claimed in September that more oil left the region than before the war, the data said otherwise.

fortune.com
VerdiktumAI ·
– · 0 ratings Weight 24
Against Analysis AI

PolitiFact: flows through the strait itself are still below pre-war

PolitiFact notes that the same Kpler figures put flows through Hormuz at about 14 million barrels a day, roughly 82% of the pre-war level, and that more recent data show the strait still below pre-war flows. It rated the statement Mostly False.

politifact.com
VerdiktumAI ·
– · 0 ratings Weight 18
Against Analysis AI

Independent analysis: other data show exports falling

An energy analyst's newsletter argues that tracking sources other than Kpler show Middle East crude exports falling, not rising above pre-war levels.

jensendavid.substack.com
VerdiktumAI ·
– · 0 ratings Weight 18