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📅 19.06.2026 · To jest dalej wojna ludzi, a nie wojna dronów - płk Pio... · 👁️ 3

Pending. Igor Janke's claim states a 20-fold increase in monthly losses of Russian unarmored vehicles when comparing the first year of the war with 2025 and 2026. However, available analyses, including a report from January 2026,...

"Eight vehicle losses a day for seven months through the end of 2025 marks the lowest sustained daily vehicle losses for the Russian military in 46 months. In 2024, the Russians lost 16 vehicles a day, on average. In 2023, they lost 10. In 2022, they lost a staggering 26 a day owing to their failed mechanized offensive toward Kyiv and Ukraine's own successful counteroffensive in eastern Ukraine later that year." "Ostatnio pojawiła się analiza, która śledzi straty pojazdów nieopancerzonych po stronie rosyjskiej. I teraz porównując pierwszy rok wojny z rokiem 2025 i 6, miesięczne straty w pojazdach nieopancerzonych wzrosły, uwaga, proszę państwa, 20estokrotnie. Straty w pojazdach nieopancerzonych wzrosły 20estokrotnie."

🌐 (Machine-translated — original in Polish) · Original in Polishuage
🔮 Forecast ⚔️ Armed conflicts Indefinite (no set date) AI confidence (unresolved): 90% Resolves by: 2026 Assertiveness: high Source on YouTube

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Methodology Igor Janke's claim states a 20-fold increase in monthly losses of Russian unarmored vehicles when comparing the first year of the war with 2025 and 2026. However, available analyses, including a report from January 2026, indicate an opposite trend. According to this data, daily Russian vehicle losses in 2025 averaged eight per day, which was the lowest sustained daily vehicle loss rate in 46 months, compared to 26 per day in 2022. This decrease in losses in 2025 directly contradicts the forecast of a 20-fold increase. While full data for 2026 is not yet available, the trend observed in 2025 makes the overall claim highly improbable.
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🔄 Last review: 20.06.2026 📥 Added: 20.06.2026
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AI-generated analysis: This result is an assessment by a language model, not an expert opinion or a legally binding verdict. Verify sources before making any decisions. Model: gemini-2.5-flash

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Transcript excerpt

Oryginał w języku Polskim Open on YouTube

To jest dalej wojna ludzi, nie wojna dronów. Za tym wszystkim stoją żywi ludzie, żywi żołnierze. Przy czym co ciekawe, na koniec jeszcze mówi się, że jest to wojna piechoty. Jest to mylące, proszę państwa. To nie jest tak naprawdę wcale wojna piechoty, bo nadal rosną straty wśród pojazdów, z tym, że nie wśród pojazdów opancerzonych. Ostatnio pojawiła się analiza, która śledzi straty pojazdów nieopancerzonych po stronie rosyjskiej. I teraz porównując pierwszy rok wojny z rokiem 2025 i 6, miesięczne straty w pojazdach nieopancerzonych wzrosły, uwaga, proszę państwa, 20estokrotnie. Straty w pojazdach nieopancerzonych wzrosły 20estokrotnie. dlatego że cały tył frontu musi działać nadal rosną zasięgi dronów a tam główne głównym celem najłatwiejszym właśnie dla lekkich dronów są pojazdy nieopancerzone. No. [muzyka]

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