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Benjamin Cowen (Into the Cryptoverse)
Claim author · 📅 06.06.2026 · Bitcoin Sweeps The February 2026 Low
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"on average, Bitcoin goes down to about 45% below the yearly open by about mid-June."

Pending. The claim that Bitcoin, on average, goes down to about 45% below the yearly open by about mid-June is contradicted by available historical data. Historical analysis indicates that Bitcoin's average monthly return in June over the...
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Verification ✦ Analysis generated with AI Pro
Methodology The claim that Bitcoin, on average, goes down to about 45% below the yearly open by about mid-June is contradicted by available historical data. Historical analysis indicates that Bitcoin's average monthly return in June over the past 10 years has been only +0.7%. While some individual June months have seen significant drops, such as -37.28% in June 2022, the overall average does not support a 45% decline from the yearly open by mid-June. Additionally, in 2026, Bitcoin was trading approximately 16% below its year-to-date open at the beginning of June, which is significantly less than 45%.
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🔄 Last review: 20.06.2026 📥 Added: 20.06.2026
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AI-generated analysis: This result is an assessment by a language model, not an expert opinion or a legally binding verdict. Verify sources before making any decisions. Model: gemini-2.5-flash

For informational purposes only. Not investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Full disclaimer

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Transcript excerpt English

… So, not 40, but but 50. And and again, I I can't say for sure we're going to go there. If you if you look at the year-to-date ROI, it's not like we've perfectly tracked it. There's definitely been periods where we've outperformed it. And so, maybe we'll outperform it again, but you can see that on average, Bitcoin goes down to about 45% below the yearly open by about mid-June. Now, in 2014, you know, you can see we came down to these levels and then we rallied up out of it, but I would argue that Bitcoin already did that for this cycle, where it kind of rallied up out of it for a while and now it's falling back in. And even when it did that in 2014, you can see that still eventually fell back in to that October low. If …

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"And then once you get to the summer especially kind of after the drop going into the summer that's when you start to you know, start to get interested in Bitcoin. Um So, think about the July, August, September time frame. Knowing that if you buy then, there still could be one last drop, right? Like there was one last drop in 2022, the FTX collapse we had in Q4. There was one last drop in 2018 that we that started in November. There's also one last drop in 2014 that actually bled into the very beginning of 2015. "
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