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Benjamin Cowen (Into the Cryptoverse)
Claim author · 📅 27.05.2026 · S&P 500: Outlook for the Rest of 2026
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"If you look at 2018, you can see it started in September. The S&P M2 factor would actually correspond to September. And you know, if that is the case, we know that Bitcoin, well we don't know, but I think Bitcoin might bottom in October. And so if the stock market were to top in September, then maybe Bitcoin would bottom out pretty quickly just because it would react to whatever the stock market's reacting to a lot quicker because it's just further up the risk curve. It would get hit a lot quicker than the stock market and potentially Bitcoin then finds that low sometime in the fourth quarter. Maybe as early as as October."

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But until you start to see a distributive top, it's hard to fade, right? It's hard to fade. So what I'm looking for is a small drop kind of in the June-July time frame. Probably June if I had to guess. And then a rebound and then maybe a larger drop starting in September. Maybe August, but September seems to be an okay bet as well. If you look at 2018, you can see it started in September. The S&P M2 factor would actually correspond to September. And you know, if that is the case, we know that Bitcoin, well we don't know, but I think Bitcoin might bottom in October. And so if the stock market were to top in September, then maybe Bitcoin would bottom out pretty quickly just because it would react to whatever the stock market's reacting to a lot quicker because it's just further up the risk curve. It would get hit a lot quicker than the stock market and potentially Bitcoin then finds that low sometime in the fourth quarter. Maybe as early as as October. So those are my thoughts on on the stock market. And you know, if you if you want to look at other things like energy and manufacturing, I do spend a lot of time talking about that over in ITC premium. So I would encourage you guys to go check that out. There's a lot of mechanics and how these things work and if you're getting bored of the markets

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