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Benjamin Cowen (Into the Cryptoverse)
Claim author · 📅 05.06.2026 · Bitcoin Falls to the 200W Moving Average
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"My guess is what will happen is that we'll likely see Bitcoin settle low, probably as I've said before, um a late night in the middle of June, my guess, and and that what will happen after that is you'll see Bitcoin kind of drift back up into July, maybe going into August."

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Uh the 200-week moving average is currently around 61.8k. What's interesting is just how cyclical Bitcoin is being right now because it was actually the week of June 13th in 2022, about mid-June, where Bitcoin went through the 200-week moving average. So, literally 4 years later to the T, we tagged the 200-week moving average. My guess is what will happen is that we'll likely see Bitcoin settle low, probably as I've said before, um a late night in the middle of June, my guess, and and that what will happen after that is you'll see Bitcoin kind of drift back up into July, maybe going into August. If you look back at the last two cycles, you'll see that lows occur in June, and then you get these smaller countertrend rallies in like the July-August timeframe, oftentimes before the market then sort of falls off and then sets the final market cycle bottom. Now, I know I have mentioned October as the time for the low, and that is still my base

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Benjamin Cowen (Into the Cryptoverse) 29.05.2026
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"I have to think right now that the next low likely forms in June. And there probably will be a rally kind of like early Q3, July August which would then set up the final drop into sort of the September, October timeframe. And if that plays out, and we're sitting here in Q4, and Bitcoin is is is trading at a low price, I have a feeling there's going to be a lot of people that are bullish now that are going to be bearish then. But, that'll probably be the time to pivot. "
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"So, we have now seen them cross. And you know, usually when they cross, the low's not immediately in like that's never happened before. I'm not saying it can't, but it's never happened before. Usually the month though, usually the low occurs within about one to three to like one to four months. Okay. So that could be anywhere between say like now and July, August, September, October, who knew, right? "
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"If you look at 2018, you can see it started in September. The S&P M2 factor would actually correspond to September. And you know, if that is the case, we know that Bitcoin, well we don't know, but I think Bitcoin might bottom in October. And so if the stock market were to top in September, then maybe Bitcoin would bottom out pretty quickly just because it would react to whatever the stock market's reacting to a lot quicker because it's just further up the risk curve. It would get hit a lot quicker than the stock market and potentially Bitcoin then finds that low sometime in the fourth quarter. Maybe as early as as October. "
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