Who predicted: Economy
Who to trust on "Economy"? Oracles ranked by verified accuracy.
🏅 Most accurate oracles
"In the Dutch system after 2028, the same start, the same 7%, but every year the tax office cuts 36% of the profit. This cuts real growth from 7% to about 4.5%. Sounds innocent, right? After a decade you lose over 17% of your final capital. After 20 years almost 30%. After 40 almost 57. Instead of 1.5 million you have about 646,000. Euro. The state erases over 850,000 EUR of potential wealth from your account."
"if there were no war, God grant it, then a total, multi-year, probably the worst in modern history crisis awaits us, a crisis of Western countries, an American crisis, but also a European crisis, actually a crisis of all countries that were somehow related to the dollar"
🔮 Open — predict it yourself
"Smartphones, laptops, consoles, TVs, home appliances will go up by 10-20, in some places 30%. Stock levels of Polish networks will be sufficient until the end of the first half of the year. Real increase: end of July, August, autumn. The cheapest models will suffer the most. "
"If you heat with coal, the amounts are higher. 10311 PLN in the period 2028-2030. And pay attention, 3974 PLN until 2035. I repeat, because it's a brutal number. A family heating with coal will have almost 40,000 PLN taken from their wallet in 7 years. "
"This great generational bull market will last somewhere until the mid-2040s, meaning we still have about 20 years of very strong growth in the Polish market. We will catch up to Western countries, we will catch up to France, Germany, Great Britain, and later also the United States in the development of the capital market in particular. "
"Prawdopodobnie trzy rzeczy. Pierwsza, ceny skupu drobiu i wołowiny w Polsce. Jeśli spadają szybciej niż średnia unijna to znaczy, że importowy ścisk już działa. Druga. Statystyki celne za maj i czerwiec. jak szybko Brazylia i Argentyna wyklepią ten kontyngent. Jeśli w trzy miesiące, to znaczy, że przewidywania były ostrożne. A trzecia, czy rząd w końcu złoży tę skargę, to powie najwięcej o tym, jak poważnie traktujemy własne uchwały sejmowe. "
"If an agreement between Iran and the United States is already concluded, the price of oil will drop from nearly $100 to $70-$80, because I think it won't go much below $70, as it will take time before production capacities in the Persian Gulf are reactivated and everything settles down again. And if oil cheapens, in other words, if oil significantly cheapens, say by 20%, what will happen to yields? They will undoubtedly fall. But how much will they fall? Will they not start rising again afterwards? Will the fear currently caused by debt, oil, and inflation not persist? I don't know, because I see many texts that say that not only oil matters here, because that's the truth, not only oil matters here, that generally elevated inflation may stay with us for a longer time. I'm not sure that will be the case. I simply don't know. And I'm waiting for the moment when we have a test. A test, meaning an oil price 20% lower, yields sharply falling, and what will happen then? Because the first move will be what Americans call a knee-jerk reaction, right, that the first move will be such a sharp drop in oil price, a sharp... "
"I realize that the market consensus right now is probably levels of 1.15, some 1.20 in a 12-month perspective. However, I put forward such a thesis, if something can be accounted for. You wanted to account for Łukasz? Now I want to account for everyone a little bit, I'm setting it up, and I would rather bet that in 12 months the dollar pair, euro, dollar will be closer to 1.06, 1.05, 1.08 at those levels, and not 1.15, 1.20. "