Claims
167 claims · 01.01.1150 – 11.06.2026
Content language
"Food and meat processing companies from the Polish market are entering a long period of margin pressure. On the other hand, German car manufacturers and their Polish supply chain have new fuel. Who earns what will be visible after the reports for the second and third quarters of 2026. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"Prawdopodobnie trzy rzeczy. Pierwsza, ceny skupu drobiu i wołowiny w Polsce. Jeśli spadają szybciej niż średnia unijna to znaczy, że importowy ścisk już działa. Druga. Statystyki celne za maj i czerwiec. jak szybko Brazylia i Argentyna wyklepią ten kontyngent. Jeśli w trzy miesiące, to znaczy, że przewidywania były ostrożne. A trzecia, czy rząd w końcu złoży tę skargę, to powie najwięcej o tym, jak poważnie traktujemy własne uchwały sejmowe. "
🌐 original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"The first option is a put on the Invesco QQ Trust ETF with an exercise in January 2027 with a strike, i.e., a target of $550. The second. Further puts on QQQ this time from March 2027 with a strike of 525. The third puts on Nvidia from January 2027 Strike 115 and the fourth. Puts on the Isare Semiconductor SOX ETF. also January 2027 Strike 330, meaning it bets on declines in companies that produce or have a lot to do with semiconductors. "
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PL · original
💰 Price target
Economy
2027
"In short, no cuts this year. The Monetary Policy Council has its hands tied. Council members say this directly. In conditions of rising oil prices, we will not only not cut, but we may even raise. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"Standard Charters has estimated that if stable coin interest isn't restricted, it could potentially pull as much as half a trillion dollars out of the regulated banking system by 2028. "
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2028
"Analysts estimate that if Vero captures at least 20% of European transactions by 2030, it will push 1.5 trillion euro annually out of US payment pipelines. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
Ad
"I expect that in this quarter, which is the second quarter of 2026, at least one large contract will be announced. This is my base scenario, which I'm playing for. Yes. And it could even be a contract for 6 million dollars, which will make the company profitable, just like Creotech became profitable and there was a huge pump for it, right? for very good overall results for 2025, where there was a profit of 20 million from continuing operations, meaning it didn't even include Creotech Quantum. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"I expect that in this quarter, which is the second quarter of 2026, at least one large contract will be announced. This is my base scenario, which I am playing on. Yes. And it could even be a contract for "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"And the third BigTech is getting hit blow after blow in the European Union. Apple, Samsung, Google, battery regulations are just the beginning. The erosion of margins in the European market will be counted in billions, but it will not topple these companies. Rather, it will shift valuations down by a few percent over the next two quarters. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"Bioceltics has a chance to be the first Polish biotechnology company, listen, that will release its own innovative drug, a so-called first in the class, on the market. No one has succeeded so far. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
Short timeframe
"If the conflict ends now, inflation will not be higher. It will stay at that level. If, however, it continues and oil prices actually rise to $140, $150 or so, I'm not aiming for quotability so I won't mention levels, then of course inflation will rise and may reach 4%. This is completely realistic. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"If Ormus remains blocked for more than a month and Goldman's scenario materializes, then pressure on the Polish transport industry will return with full force. And when pressure returns to TSL, retail chain margins begin to fall, and then there's no need to explain it. We all see it on our receipts. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"There were various reasons. They disappeared because the war, I tell you again, the war helped, not harmed, for various reasons. If the war ends, these factors will return. Absolutely will return. Therefore, even if SNQ sets a new record, which I do not rule out, I am not optimistic, because what I said will undoubtedly return. There are no miracles. "
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PL · original
⚠️ Warning
Economy
Medium timeframe
"Leading to one conclusion that within the next, I think, 50 years we will be able to function in a computer simulation partially or completely. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2076
"Now, this isn't a problem today, but if quantum computers ever reach the point where private keys can be derived from public keys, then taproot coins wouldn't even need to be spent to be at risk. "
⚠️ Warning
Technology
Long timeframe
Ad
"Ultimately, I think he will turn out to be a conservative. It seems to me that one million points on the WIG is my base scenario. Of course, by 2044, so we still have a little time until the hundredth anniversary of the Warsaw Uprising. I think we will reach one million points. "
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PL · original
💰 Price target
Economy
2044
"In my opinion, they will be traded like high-tech companies, like technology companies, but the market has to mature to this, right? It has to get used to it, swallow it. It's true that these could be multipliers of 20 times, even 30 times, because they will be perceived as AI companies, as modern technology companies, and it's known that there is no bull market without banks, so if banks are healthy, if banks develop, they will drive the bull market, then I am calm about the continuation of this mega trend, this secular bull market, as Americans call it. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
Long timeframe
"Aluminum jumped to over $3500/ton, highest in four years. Analysts from CRU Group warn that with further conflict, the price could reach $4000. And restarting a closed aluminum smelter is not a matter of weeks, it's 3 to 12 months. Such installations operate at temperatures above 960 degrees Celsius. You don't just turn them on and off like a stereo. "
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PL · original
⚠️ Warning
Economy
2026
"The plan until 2029 assumes defense spending at 162 billion euros annually. This would mean reaching the threshold of 3.5% of GDP, significantly above the current NATO target of 2%, which Germany exceeded for the first time only in 2024. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2029
"If the war in Iran does not calm down, we must realize that from about July, the crisis will begin to enter a very acute stage. In Europe, there will start to be problems with many things we buy, from energy, from fuels to products and food. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026