Comparic Rynki 17.05.2026

✓ True

"German economic growth in 2026 is half a percent, and Poland, according to forecasts, even 3.8%. This means that we are growing 6 to seven times faster than Europe's largest economy. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

✅ Factual claim Economy

Albert Rokicki 16.05.2026

~ Partially

"And perfectly, perfectly on point here, this is happening, because this fourth quarter was already declining and the first quarter of 2026 confirms this trend. We have the second consecutive quarter of apartment price drops in these largest cities, and the bottom is predicted here by Tomek Narkun at the turn of 2029-2030. So now buying an apartment for rent is a very risky decision, because one must expect declines in these properties, and if I had to advise someone, I would tell them to wait a few years for possibly better apartment prices, to get a better return on investment, so that it wouldn't be at most 4% or 3% as it is currently in Warsaw, but for it to increase to 6-7% as it once was from renting. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

⚠️ Warning Economy 2029

Comparic Rynki 14.05.2026

◔ Pending

"The next key date is June 15 and 16, 2026. Bank of Japan meeting. If the BOJ raises the rate to a round 1% and markets price this with a probability of over 63%, a second wave will be triggered. Then we will see how much the Polish 10-year bond is really worth. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Krzysztof Jackowski 12.05.2026

◔ Pending

"then this threat will subside and the narrative about it will somewhat subside in late summer, early autumn, and then we can expect a large-scale pandemic. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Disasters 2026

Krzysztof Jackowski 12.05.2026

✗ Failed

"An Italian city or Italian cities come to mind. Suddenly, very disturbing information will appear. Perhaps I am wrong about the country, but in some Italian city in Italy, disease outbreaks will suddenly appear that will spread very quickly. We will learn in a short time, one, in two days, that there are outbreaks of some infections among people somewhere, and within a short time, say a week or two, it will grow so much that the government will decide on some measures, a rapidly spreading virus. It seems to me that it will start in Italy. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Disasters 2026

Comparic Rynki 11.05.2026

✗ Negated

"First short-term scenario. Trump and Xi agree on Iran. Beijing pressures Tehran. Iran yields on Hormuz. Tankers move. Brent falls to around $80, maybe lower. What does this mean in practice for Poland? Inflation loses momentum. Fuel at stations gets cheaper by several dozen groszy. Electricity bills stop being so scary, at least a bit. The National Bank of Poland gets an argument to maintain interest rates or even to cut them slightly. The zloty strengthens, WIG 20 catches its breath. General relief. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 09.05.2026

~ Partially

"Demography plus misery equals export of people. 220 million Nigerians is not an abstract African problem. It's a question of what the migration map of Europe will look like in 5-10 years. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Society 2036

Comparic Rynki 07.05.2026

✗ Failed

"It is not a question of whether Poland will enter the same scenario as Germany. Unfortunately, it is a question of when it will enter, whether in 2027 or 2028. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2027

Albert Rokicki 06.05.2026

✓ True

"Top 5 2183% over 13 years, I repeat, as of the end of April this year 2026. For posterity, I will emphasize here that annually it is 27%. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

✅ Factual claim Economy

Comparic Rynki 04.05.2026

✗ Failed

"The global smartphone shipment forecast for 2026 will drop by 2%, and the average valuation will increase by almost 7%. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 04.05.2026

~ Partially

"Home appliances (washing machine, refrigerator, dryer), because it's not just a chip. It's also a kilo of plastic in the casing, a kilo of rubber in the seals, a kilo of aluminum in the drum. Everything three times more expensive. Itoro experts in Polish financial media are already saying directly: Smartphones, laptops, consoles, refrigerators, washing machines, everything will get more expensive in the coming months. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 04.05.2026

~ Partially

"ASUS announced price increases for new computers by 25 to 30%. McQuery, an Australian investment bank, forecasts consumer electronics price increases of 10 to 20% in 2026. Numura more conservatively forecasts 5%. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 02.05.2026

◔ Pending

"If we stop delivering this, in a decade we will have 44% of our STEM specialists packing their bags for Prague, Barcelona, Lisbon, Dubai or Singapore. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

⚠️ Warning Society 2036

Comparic Rynki 01.05.2026

◔ Pending

"Food and meat processing companies from the Polish market are entering a long period of margin pressure. On the other hand, German car manufacturers and their Polish supply chain have new fuel. Who earns what will be visible after the reports for the second and third quarters of 2026. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 01.05.2026

◔ Pending

"Prawdopodobnie trzy rzeczy. Pierwsza, ceny skupu drobiu i wołowiny w Polsce. Jeśli spadają szybciej niż średnia unijna to znaczy, że importowy ścisk już działa. Druga. Statystyki celne za maj i czerwiec. jak szybko Brazylia i Argentyna wyklepią ten kontyngent. Jeśli w trzy miesiące, to znaczy, że przewidywania były ostrożne. A trzecia, czy rząd w końcu złoży tę skargę, to powie najwięcej o tym, jak poważnie traktujemy własne uchwały sejmowe. "

🌐 original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 30.04.2026

◔ Pending

"The first option is a put on the Invesco QQ Trust ETF with an exercise in January 2027 with a strike, i.e., a target of $550. The second. Further puts on QQQ this time from March 2027 with a strike of 525. The third puts on Nvidia from January 2027 Strike 115 and the fourth. Puts on the Isare Semiconductor SOX ETF. also January 2027 Strike 330, meaning it bets on declines in companies that produce or have a lot to do with semiconductors. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

💰 Price target Economy 2027

Comparic Rynki 29.04.2026

◔ Pending

"In short, no cuts this year. The Monetary Policy Council has its hands tied. Council members say this directly. In conditions of rising oil prices, we will not only not cut, but we may even raise. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 26.04.2026

~ Partially

"Annually, Japan could become insolvent at 2% rates. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 26.04.2026

~ Partially

"The third option, which markets are already pricing in, is a controlled devaluation with half-open eyes. That is, the loss of money value, pretending everything is under control, verbal interventions, selling foreign exchange reserves. Exactly as Great Britain did in 1992 before George Soros' famous attack on the pound. Billionaire investor Ray Dalio in January 2026 called Japan exactly such a demonstrative case of what happens to every country that allows debt to grow above its service capacity. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy Short timeframe

Comparic Rynki 26.04.2026

✗ Negated

"And the second option is to return to bond buying and continue printing yen. It saves bonds but kills the currency. The yen is already at 160, and at 200 we have a scenario where imported inflation devours the remnants of real wages. Senior poverty increases geometrically. Another Akio in rice shops. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy