Who made this prediction and when?

Author: EpiCRise98. Stated on: April 22, 2026.

EpiCRise98

Claim author · 22.04.2026

✓ Hit

Price target Stock Market 31.12.2026

TSM long, target $420

"$TSM $420 long and strong baby"

ℹ️ In shortAuthor is long TSM expecting it to reach $420.

4 0

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Key facts

+8,4%

Realized return vs benchmark: +5,3 pp

Realized return

How much you would have gained or lost by following this call. We take the price on the day it was said and on the day it resolved, and measure the change. If the author bet on a fall, the gain is counted in reverse — it profits when the price drops.

vs benchmark

How much it beat the market. We compare against simply buying and holding the market over the same period (BTC for crypto, the S&P 500 for stocks). “pp” means percentage points — e.g. +15 pp means 15 points better than the market.

Published — 22.04.2026
Resolves by — 31.12.2026
Hit — 25.06.2026

TSM · Price since the call

How we measure outcome and return

Outcome (accuracy): Whether the call came true: did the price reach the stated target by the deadline. Hit = 100%, partial = 50%, missed = 0%. The assessment is produced with AI assistance based on market data.
Return (profit/loss): The percentage change in the instrument's market price from the day of the statement (entry) to the resolution day — or to the day the target was reached, if earlier (exit). Prices come from real sources: CoinGecko (crypto), Yahoo Finance (stocks, indices, commodities, FX) and FRED (macro data).
Win / loss: In the return stats a win is a positive return, a loss a negative one. For bearish calls ("price will fall") the sign is flipped — a correct drop is a profit. Note: this is not the same as accuracy — a call can miss its target yet still post a positive return if the price moved the right way.
Alpha (vs benchmark): The return minus the benchmark's return over the same window (BTC for crypto, S&P 500 for stocks and indices). Positive alpha = beat the market.

We only show aggregate returns once there are several resolved calls, and we cap extreme results so a single moonshot doesn't distort the picture.

Type: Price target
Topic / category: stocks
Resolves by: 2026
Price target: TSM → 420
Position: Buy
Original language: English
Verified: 25.06.2026
Added: 25.06.2026

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Verified: 25.06.2026 Added: 25.06.2026

Details

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