📅 05.06.2026 · Everyone Is Quietly Selling Bitcoin… What Went Wrong? · 👁️ 1
"Scenario one, 10% CAGR. This is the gold scenario. Gold's got a 10% CAGR. So, Bitcoin matures into some kind of store value asset with slow steady appreciation. By 2040, you were looking at roughly a $265,000 per coin Bitcoin."
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Login…I'll break down exactly what each scenario means for your money. We're going to do that now. So, let's run the numbers. Out 2040. It's 14 years from now. It's a long-term asset, right? Bitcoin. We're not trying to get rich overnight. We're investing long-term. Bitcoin at the time of recording the video today was around $70,000. Scenario one, 10% CAGR. This is the gold scenario. Gold's got a 10% CAGR. So, Bitcoin matures into some kind of store value asset with slow steady appreciation. By 2040, you were looking at roughly a $265,000 per coin Bitcoin. That's great. It's a 3.8 X over 14 years. Sounds okay until you remember that the NASDAQ has historically done dramatically better than that by 50 to 60% better with a fraction of the volatility. Now, if this is where Bitcoin ends up, the risk-reward case collapses entirely for Bitcoin. You can still believe in Bitcoin. You can still own some Bitc…