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Graham Stephan
Claim author · 📅 17.06.2026 · BREAKING: The FED Cancels ALL Rate Cuts -...
Pending

"Historically, bursts of giant money-loosing IPOs have often clustered near market peaks, and SpaceX fits the profile. On top of that, the S&P 500's PE ratio now sits near 40, a level it's only touched once before during the dotcom bubble."

Pending. Graham Stephan's claim consists of several parts. The historical correlation between bursts of IPOs and market peaks is generally acknowledged in market analysis. However, SpaceX's status as a 'giant money-losing IPO' is difficult...
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Verification ✦ Analysis generated with AI Pro
Methodology Graham Stephan's claim consists of several parts. The historical correlation between bursts of IPOs and market peaks is generally acknowledged in market analysis. However, SpaceX's status as a 'giant money-losing IPO' is difficult to verify as SpaceX is not a public company, and its precise financial data is not widely available. There are also no confirmed SpaceX IPO plans for June 2026, making the 'fits the profile' part of the claim speculative. Regarding the S&P 500's PE ratio, data from June 2026 indicates that the S&P 500 PE ratio was significantly lower than 40, hovering around 20-25. The level of 40 was indeed reached during the dot-com bubble. Since the time horizon is short and the claim concerns a future market downturn, the verdict remains 'pending,' even though the PE ratio data does not support the claim at the time of utterance.
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🔄 Last review: 20.06.2026 📥 Added: 20.06.2026
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AI-generated analysis: This result is an assessment by a language model, not an expert opinion or a legally binding verdict. Verify sources before making any decisions. Model: gemini-2.5-flash

For informational purposes only. Not investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Full disclaimer

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Transcript excerpt English

ing to signal a market top in the middle of an AI bubble and that private investors are using this as a way to cash out before the entire stock market comes crumbling down. So, are they right? Well, Yahoo Finance actually laid out two really good arguments. If you believe the market's going down, well, the data says that you'd probably be correct. Historically, bursts of giant money-loosing IPOs have often clustered near market peaks, and SpaceX fits the profile. On top of that, the S&P 500's PE ratio now sits near 40, a level it's only touched once before during the dotcom bubble. Bank of America warns that the S&P 500 is overvalued on 17 of the 20 valuation metrics, with eight of those metrics exceeding the levels we saw during the peak of 2000. However, as pessimistic as all of this might sound, keep in mind that the exact same Bank of America checklist hit 70% back in February of 2025 when the S&P 500 was sitting around

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