Claims
242 claims · 01.01.1150 – 11.06.2026
Content language
"And then from November, in my baseline scenario, a return to strong growth. It will already be known who won. Most likely the Democrats, only the question is whether they will only take over the House of Representatives, which is almost certain and is fully priced in, because there is an 85% chance of that on Polymarket, or whether they will also take over the Senate. There is 52% right now on Polymarket, on such a forbidden betting platform in Poland, where you can place bets with real money. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Politics
"It seems to me that this will be a politically calmer period in the United States, and the American economy will primarily benefit from it. So, in short, this also fits into my thesis that the strength of the American economy will cause the dollar to slowly, slowly regain strength and continue to systematically gain against a basket of currencies, "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"And if Trump's position weakens, if Americans turn away from him, because gasoline prices and inflation turn out to be somewhat out of control, then the dollar may gain value with double strength, and then monetary policy and the direction we will go with interest rates, whether it will be stabilization or some minimal further cuts, will be less significant, because other risk factors, and Trump is a risk factor after all, will disappear. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"So WS is an aspiring, still quite young, intelligent man, so I think he will certainly handle communication with the markets very well. I also think Wars will play for himself, not for Trump, because Trump has already played his hand. Everyone sees that Trump, that Trump's power is wavering, that the war in Iran is something that is sinking him, like a stone around his neck, and he is falling. So these midterm elections will also show that. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026
"I believe there will be hype for Elon Musk's SpaceX debut planned for June. Well, maybe it could shift to July. But Elon Musk is aiming for June from what I've read. A record valuation of one trillion seven hundred fifty million billion dollars for an American entity on the American stock exchange, because I think Saudi Aramco was more expensive, only Saudi Aramco probably surpassed this still planned SpaceX debut. The emission is supposed to be 75 million. 75 billion, I still can't get used to talking about billions. Listen, 75 billion emission, as much as 30% is to go to the so-called street, i.e., individual investors, so there might be selling off at this debut, so I don't think it will be super successful. It might be similar to this Creotech Quantum, with some initial growth and then a fall, distribution. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"The management's forecast for 2026 assumes a sales increase of 40 to 45%. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
Ad
"Lockheed Martin, the American flagship, backlog, a record 194 billion dollars. Revenue forecast for 2026 is 77 to 80 billion. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"even those lost midterm elections, which it seems Donald Trump has already accepted, in the sense that he accepted the fact that it would not be possible to win the midterm elections, will essentially cause greater paralysis than we have observed so far. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026
"In 2026, German farms may employ only 80% of that number. Calculate it, that means 65,000 fewer people, 65,000 pairs of hands that simply won't appear. Plus another regulation, which is the icing on this bitter cake. At least 10% of each crew must be German citizens. "
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PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Economy
"I would rather lose 10% of profit and enter on relatively solid ground. At the moment, this ground is extremely uncertain. Besides, I still, even if everything is fine right now [clears throat], I cannot imagine Trump not coming up with something before the elections. And because all his invented things are currently turning against him and against the world. What's worse, against him is very good, but against the world worries me. There are 7 months left until the elections in the United States. A lot of time to mess up the world and cause trouble again. Please note that in my opinion, but not only mine, I later read that many people say this, this war with Iran was supposed to cover up the Epstein affair. And the war prolonged, and not at all as Mr. Trump would have wanted. And on top of that, his wife came out and said things that brought that affair back up again. Consequently, he simply has incredible luck, so to speak, which causes whatever he does to currently turn against him. At least that's how I see it, and that's why I'm worried about what else he will come up with. He will definitely come up with something with Cuba. That's a certainty. That... "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026
"I would put the probability at 90-something percent that something will happen before the November elections. Not that I'll stand on food in Cuba. No, no, that would be an exaggeration. But somehow Trump will announce that he is taking over supervision of Cuba and that there will be massive investments, that the system will change and so on, and I'm almost certain. Well, almost certain. I could bet that it will happen. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026
"But I repeat now for the second time, that only in this information did they consolidate Braugman for the first time for two months, for November and December, so this whole year will be surprisingly much better than the previous one, because there will be full consolidation starting from January. And here, well, I can't wait for the first quarter report, because the dynamics will be truly gigantic, right? Because if with only two months the dominant profit is up 50%, and EBITDA 53%, operationally 59, then it's clear that there's a lot organically, right? "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"2026 is a year of transition from demonstrations to generating real revenues. We also saw that there is a forecast of plus 18%, which is quite decent. Already above 20% is a truly respectable dynamic for a startup. The company achieved its first quarterly profit, meaning break-even has been reached. In my opinion, this is an ideal investment situation when a company reaches break-even, meaning it is profitable, and revenues are increasing, so theoretically, it could be even better. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"The current year 2026 is a key transitional year for the company from the development phase to the early commercialization phase. The biggest catalysts are FAA success, the start of flights in the United Arab Emirates and the USA, and potential full type certification in the second half of the year. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2026
"As for the forecasts for 2026, it will be rather flat. Nothing will change in 2026, but let's remember, the market game is for the next year, 2027. When new 'Noje class' models are introduced, if they are rewarded, they will be valued by consumers, then there should be a lasting improvement and the course may break this historical peak. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
Ad
"March 2026 Archer's partners in Texas, Florida, New York were selected for the White House Evitol Integration Pilot Program. this paves the way for the first passenger flights in the USA already in the second half of 2026. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2026
"Also, the company aims for first passenger flights in 2026, both in Abu Dhabi, where Abu Dhabi Aviation is a partner, and in the USA through a pilot program. Here, a test campaign has also started on Midnight. the fleet will be expanded very strongly within the year and also the first revenue estimates for 2026 will generate revenues of 32 million dollars mainly from deliveries to the Arab Emirates. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"Guidance, meaning such a forecast for the entire year 2026, is revenues in RMB 600 million plus 18% year-over-year. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"This means that gold will end the year higher than it is now. That's my assumption. But this assumption is based on Kevin Warsh or another Trump nominee, very keen on cutting rates, taking the Fed chair, and the dollar weakening. "
translated
PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"I would put the probability at 9090-something percent that something will happen before the November elections. Not that the US will invade Cuba. No, no, that would be an exaggeration. But in some way, Trump will announce that he is taking supervision over Cuba and that there will be massive investments, that the system will change and so on, and I am almost certain. Well, almost certain. I could bet that it will happen. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026