Coin Bureau 09.04.2026

~ Partially

"If the OECD's projections prove accurate, well, the Federal Reserve is sitting dangerously behind the curve and will be forced into emergency policy reversals and the broader market is already pricing in this exact scenario. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 08.04.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"By April 19, the world is losing 4.5 to 5 million barrels per day. But if Hormuz doesn't open for good in mid-April, that number will double. This would be the largest loss of oil supply in history. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 06.04.2026

! Misleading

"The government lowered the GDP growth forecast for 2026 to 1%. The Bundesbank is even more pessimistic, seeing only 0.6%. The Ifo Institute puts it at 0.8. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

✅ Factual claim Economy

Comparic Rynki 05.04.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"The federal deficit in 2026 is projected to be another 1.9 trillion and grow to 3.1 trillion in 2036. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 03.04.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"The federal deficit in 2026 is projected to be another 1.9 trillion and grow to 3.1 trillion in 2036. In this context, the pressure on the Fed to cut rates and make long-term debt is neither a coincidence nor a whim. It's mathematics. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 02.04.2026

~ Partially

"Goldman Sachs raised forecasts. Prices averaged $110 in March and April with a risk of significantly higher. If Hormuz remains closed for 10 weeks, prices could beat the 2008 record of $147 per barrel. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 02.04.2026

✓ Occurred

"According to BCA Research, the world is now losing 4.5 to 5 million barrels per day. This is about 5% of global supply. But beware, BCA analyst Mark Papik warns that by mid-April this number will double. Why? Because strategic reserves will run out, sanction-exempt Russian and Iranian oil will run out, and Gulf producers had to shut down wells because they have nowhere to store what they cannot ship. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

⚠️ Warning Economy 2026

Albert Rokicki 31.03.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"And imagine that soon, more or less almost at the same time as this company is spun off from Creotech Creotech Quantum, a quantum competitor in Finland will debut and will also have a dual listing in New York, in the United States, and note, at a valuation of 1.8 billion dollars. Although they have 35 million dollars in revenue. But Creotech Quantum has about 3 million in revenue, and plans to have 100 million zlotys in annual revenue, right? So 100 million zlotys annually, that would already be about 27 million dollars annually, not much less than this Finnish competitor. I wrote about this on Twitter, which is valued at 1.8 billion dollars, so even from such a proportion, this quantum company should be valued at 500, 600 million. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Technology 2026

Comparic Rynki 31.03.2026

◔ Pending

"Aluminum jumped to over $3500/ton, highest in four years. Analysts from CRU Group warn that with further conflict, the price could reach $4000. And restarting a closed aluminum smelter is not a matter of weeks, it's 3 to 12 months. Such installations operate at temperatures above 960 degrees Celsius. You don't just turn them on and off like a stereo. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

⚠️ Warning Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 31.03.2026

~ Partially

"Bloomberg models a scenario in which oil reaches $170 per barrel, and then we have full stagflation in the Eurozone, which is the worst thing that can actually happen in the economy. Inflation up by 2 percentage points, GDP down by 1.2. And the Revolutionary Guard openly threatens that the price will reach $200. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 31.03.2026

✓ Occurred

"Analysts warn that if Ormus is not opened by mid-April, losses will double from 5 to 10 million barrels per day. This would be equivalent to a complete market shutdown during the COVID-19 pandemic. Only without lockdowns. A purely supply shock. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

⚠️ Warning Economy 2026

Krzysztof Jackowski 28.03.2026

◔ Pending

"If the war in Iran does not calm down, we must realize that from about July, the crisis will begin to enter a very acute stage. In Europe, there will start to be problems with many things we buy, from energy, from fuels to products and food. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 27.03.2026

✗ Failed

"He will take over Cuba and that's it. Cuba is really in such a ruined state right now that, in my opinion, before November we will see Trump's triumphant entry into Havana. And the dream of socialist Cuba will end. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Politics 2026

Albert Rokicki 24.03.2026

✗ Negated

"I think that if the war continues, if these negotiations do not end successfully this week, and the war continues until the end of April and there are some further escalations related to these military actions. We will witness further bombardments of critical infrastructure. Both in the Gulf countries, maybe in Israel, in Iran, above all, it is also said that there may be a problem with helium supplies from Qatar. This is one of the largest producers. It affects the production of optical fibers and semiconductors, so Iran knows where to attack strategically. Well, I think that if the war continues, I wouldn't even be surprised by levels of 50 PLN. 50, maybe even towards ATH in some panic, but this is a very, very good performance. This course is definitely on fire. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Armed conflicts

Coin Bureau 12.03.2026

◔ Pending

"Analitycy przewidują, że agresywne wejście Morgan Stanley w połączeniu z ich ogromną siecią dystrybucji detalicznej Erade może zwiększyć całkowitą wartość amerykańskich aktywów spot ETF do 220 miliardów dolarów do końca 2026 roku. "

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Albert Rokicki 11.03.2026

◔ Pending

"Of course, if this conflict, according to my baseline scenario, the war in the Middle East is ended, however, within a month, let's say, two at most, right? Then oil should collapse, because Iranian oil will return, there is oversupply, and there are still those reserves that the United States has, so I would be calm here, right? "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Armed conflicts

Albert Rokicki 03.03.2026

✗ Failed

"I believe this war will end soon. I am from such an optimist camp. Well, let's be honest, Iran does not have the ability to continue or will surrender, and this regime will want to cooperate, even tactically, diplomatically end the war, claiming it wants to get rid of its further nuclear program, continuation of the nuclear program. Something like that. Or it will be totally annihilated, right? And here these ballistic capabilities or Trump will simply withdraw. If he sees that oil has actually exceeded $80, he will withdraw under some pretext, stating that the goals have been achieved, and the old song, the so-called taco. Well, it is known that he promised cheap fuel in the United States. He might be afraid, right, that these rising commodity prices could break the consumer and lead America into recession, because oil shocks practically have 100% effectiveness. If oil rose well above $100, $110, $120, I would be convinced that America would enter some mild recession. Mild, but still, right? And the American stock market in a bear market, meaning a drop of at least 20%. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Armed conflicts 2026

Albert Rokicki 03.03.2026

~ Partially

"So if it reached 90 to 100, that would certainly mean no interest rate cuts this year. Perhaps we could forget about it until the end of the year, and discussions about rate hikes would even begin, and that would undoubtedly cause a further collapse on the stock market, a deepening of these declines, right? So from a regular pullback, we would enter a correction of over 10% up to 20%. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Krzysztof Jackowski 02.03.2026

✗ Failed

"The Third World War will happen in 2026. I have a feeling that in February, March 2026, other warlike things will happen in the world, but the world war will seriously begin in February, March 2026. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Armed conflicts 2026

Krzysztof Jackowski 02.03.2026

✗ Failed

"World War Three will happen in 2026. I have this feeling of February, February, March 2026. Other things will happen in the world, also warlike, but World War Three, seriously, will start in February, March 2026. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Armed conflicts 2026