Comparic Rynki 04.05.2026

◔ Pending

"Smartphones, laptops, consoles, TVs, home appliances will go up by 10-20, in some places 30%. Stock levels of Polish networks will be sufficient until the end of the first half of the year. Real increase: end of July, August, autumn. The cheapest models will suffer the most. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Krzysztof Jackowski 07.06.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"Between June 11 and June 16, things might get very heated in the Middle East. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Armed conflicts 2026

Krzysztof Jackowski 02.06.2026

✗ Failed

"These troops will emerge as I then associated it, troops will emerge not from the Russian side, in the sense of the Russian Federation, not from the Belarusian side, but these troops will emerge from Kaliningrad. it will be as if they will emerge and will occupy a road, some crossing, let's say, a crossing between Russia and Belarus, it will happen more on the Lithuanian side. In my vision, I saw Polish troops standing in this area before the Polish-Lithuanian border, but not conducting any armed actions. At least for a longer period, they will not conduct any armed actions. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Armed conflicts 2026

Comparic Rynki 01.06.2026

◔ Pending

"If China lifts the suspension of the ban in November 2026, RTX may have a serious problem fulfilling contracts worth over $20 billion that it has in its order book. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 29.05.2026

◔ Pending

"64.5%. This will be our public debt to GDP in 2026. The treaty threshold is 60%. And we are exceeding it this year for the first time. According to European Commission forecasts, in 2027 the debt will reach over 68%. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 29.05.2026

! Misleading

"Poland will spend nearly 200 billion zlotys on defense in 2026. This is over 4% of GDP. And it will be the second-highest indicator in all of NATO, right after the United States. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

✅ Factual claim Economy

Albert Rokicki 27.05.2026

~ Partially

"SpaceX will practically immediately and automatically enter these key indexes, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 as well, I believe. Also, ETFs will not so much want to, but will have to buy these shares. So, such passive demand will appear immediately. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 23.05.2026

◔ Pending

"Kaped wins in the second round. Continuation of Petro's policies, continuation of conflict with the central bank, continuation of sanctions. The PESO weakens towards 4200-4500 per dollar in a few months. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Krzysztof Jackowski 22.05.2026

~ Partially

"There is a plan to unexpectedly attack Iran and pacify it. The plan is for a sudden, precise attack to neutralize and eliminate the entire command, the entire government of Iran. But this may not succeed. Iran will retaliate, and then there will be a huge attack on Iran. Wars will ignite, and this will lead to a crisis, including a large food crisis. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Armed conflicts 2026

Comparic Rynki 17.05.2026

✓ True

"German economic growth in 2026 is half a percent, and Poland, according to forecasts, even 3.8%. This means that we are growing 6 to seven times faster than Europe's largest economy. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

✅ Factual claim Economy

Comparic Rynki 14.05.2026

◔ Pending

"The next key date is June 15 and 16, 2026. Bank of Japan meeting. If the BOJ raises the rate to a round 1% and markets price this with a probability of over 63%, a second wave will be triggered. Then we will see how much the Polish 10-year bond is really worth. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Krzysztof Jackowski 12.05.2026

✗ Failed

"An Italian city or Italian cities come to mind. Suddenly, very disturbing information will appear. Perhaps I am wrong about the country, but in some Italian city in Italy, disease outbreaks will suddenly appear that will spread very quickly. We will learn in a short time, one, in two days, that there are outbreaks of some infections among people somewhere, and within a short time, say a week or two, it will grow so much that the government will decide on some measures, a rapidly spreading virus. It seems to me that it will start in Italy. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Disasters 2026

Krzysztof Jackowski 12.05.2026

◔ Pending

"then this threat will subside and the narrative about it will somewhat subside in late summer, early autumn, and then we can expect a large-scale pandemic. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Disasters 2026

Albert Rokicki 06.05.2026

✓ True

"Top 5 2183% over 13 years, I repeat, as of the end of April this year 2026. For posterity, I will emphasize here that annually it is 27%. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

✅ Factual claim Economy

Comparic Rynki 04.05.2026

✗ Failed

"The global smartphone shipment forecast for 2026 will drop by 2%, and the average valuation will increase by almost 7%. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 04.05.2026

~ Partially

"ASUS announced price increases for new computers by 25 to 30%. McQuery, an Australian investment bank, forecasts consumer electronics price increases of 10 to 20% in 2026. Numura more conservatively forecasts 5%. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 04.05.2026

~ Partially

"Home appliances (washing machine, refrigerator, dryer), because it's not just a chip. It's also a kilo of plastic in the casing, a kilo of rubber in the seals, a kilo of aluminum in the drum. Everything three times more expensive. Itoro experts in Polish financial media are already saying directly: Smartphones, laptops, consoles, refrigerators, washing machines, everything will get more expensive in the coming months. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 01.05.2026

◔ Pending

"Food and meat processing companies from the Polish market are entering a long period of margin pressure. On the other hand, German car manufacturers and their Polish supply chain have new fuel. Who earns what will be visible after the reports for the second and third quarters of 2026. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 01.05.2026

◔ Pending

"Prawdopodobnie trzy rzeczy. Pierwsza, ceny skupu drobiu i wołowiny w Polsce. Jeśli spadają szybciej niż średnia unijna to znaczy, że importowy ścisk już działa. Druga. Statystyki celne za maj i czerwiec. jak szybko Brazylia i Argentyna wyklepią ten kontyngent. Jeśli w trzy miesiące, to znaczy, że przewidywania były ostrożne. A trzecia, czy rząd w końcu złoży tę skargę, to powie najwięcej o tym, jak poważnie traktujemy własne uchwały sejmowe. "

🌐 original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 29.04.2026

◔ Pending

"In short, no cuts this year. The Monetary Policy Council has its hands tied. Council members say this directly. In conditions of rising oil prices, we will not only not cut, but we may even raise. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026