Claims
1,067 claims · 01.01.1150 – 11.06.2026
Content language
"Analysts estimate that if Vero captures at least 20% of European transactions by 2030, it will push 1.5 trillion euro annually out of US payment pipelines. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Optimistic scenario. Trump makes a deal with Iran. Ormus returns to normal. Jet fuel drops to $120 per barrel in summer. Bydgoszcz regains Frankfurt in the fourth quarter, and the pessimistic scenario: war escalates, Russia continues to scheme. European reserves fall below 23 days. physical shortages at airports, rationing, ban on short-haul flights, and with this scenario, a full recession in the aviation industry. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"I expect that in this quarter, which is the second quarter of 2026, at least one large contract will be announced. This is my base scenario, which I'm playing for. Yes. And it could even be a contract for 6 million dollars, which will make the company profitable, just like Creotech became profitable and there was a huge pump for it, right? for very good overall results for 2025, where there was a profit of 20 million from continuing operations, meaning it didn't even include Creotech Quantum. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"I expect that in this quarter, which is the second quarter of 2026, at least one large contract will be announced. This is my base scenario, which I am playing on. Yes. And it could even be a contract for "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"And the third BigTech is getting hit blow after blow in the European Union. Apple, Samsung, Google, battery regulations are just the beginning. The erosion of margins in the European market will be counted in billions, but it will not topple these companies. Rather, it will shift valuations down by a few percent over the next two quarters. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"In short, we have two, three days for agreements or we return to a hot phase of war. Wednesday will be the day that will probably decide how the whole quarter, and maybe even the whole year, will look. For the markets, and for us, it would be better if they reached an agreement. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Armed conflicts
2026
Ad
"The direction of the flow of people, work, and capital between Poland and Germany is slowly starting to reverse, point-by-point. First in asparagus fields, then in care, then in construction, and in a few years perhaps in office jobs, in IT in medical specializations, because once a trend starts, it rarely stops at one industry. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
Long timeframe
"Bioceltics has a chance to be the first Polish biotechnology company, listen, that will release its own innovative drug, a so-called first in the class, on the market. No one has succeeded so far. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
Short timeframe
"And now everything depends on two things. On the outcome of these talks. If some agreement is signed. Well, then it will probably last until the elections, because then the circus will start again. I am deeply convinced that after November, it will all come back again. Uh, that, uh, first of all, that's the first condition for the bull market to last, and the second condition is the results that will be reported, I'm looking at the calendar, between April 22nd and 29th, by the Magnificent Seven companies and not only them. There's also IBM. I think IBM and Tesla are on the 22nd. Intel on the 23rd. Well, various ones. I think three Magnificent Seven companies report on the 29th. Nvidia only sometime at the end of May. Therefore, we are waiting, and depending on what we see there, actually what the management forecasts will be after the reports are published, then in conjunction with this de-escalation, we can see a bull market, a continuation of the bull market. If something slips, or there is no de-escalation, or worse, the forecasts are unsatisfactory, they will certainly be good, but maybe unsatisfactory, then we will return to a correctional arrangement. How it will be, I cannot decide at the moment, because I don't know what the companies will say and I definitely don't know what Mr. Trump will come up with in the meantime. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"If the conflict ends now, inflation will not be higher. It will stay at that level. If, however, it continues and oil prices actually rise to $140, $150 or so, I'm not aiming for quotability so I won't mention levels, then of course inflation will rise and may reach 4%. This is completely realistic. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"If Ormus remains blocked for more than a month and Goldman's scenario materializes, then pressure on the Polish transport industry will return with full force. And when pressure returns to TSL, retail chain margins begin to fall, and then there's no need to explain it. We all see it on our receipts. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"There were various reasons. They disappeared because the war, I tell you again, the war helped, not harmed, for various reasons. If the war ends, these factors will return. Absolutely will return. Therefore, even if SNQ sets a new record, which I do not rule out, I am not optimistic, because what I said will undoubtedly return. There are no miracles. "
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PL · original
⚠️ Warning
Economy
Medium timeframe
"Furthermore, from low orbit, nuclear pulse engines are the most probable, relying on nuclear impulses simply pushing the ship, where small charges are ejected, they explode and push the ship. And then we will fly to Mars in, for example, 14 days. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Technology
"The government lowered the GDP growth forecast for 2026 to 1%. The Bundesbank is even more pessimistic, seeing only 0.6%. The Ifo Institute puts it at 0.8. "
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PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Economy
"The market prices in optimism, but every subsequent day of closed Ormus is a step closer to a crisis we haven't seen since the 1970s. "
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PL · original
⚠️ Warning
Economy
Medium timeframe
Ad
"The Federal Reserve faces a tragic choice. Either allow a great recession, or print its way out of debt and sacrifice the value of the dollar. In both scenarios, gold wins and that's why they are buying. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"We currently have several very advanced startups globally, one of which is European, of course German, right? which are engaged in this, which are currently practically on the verge of launching fully commercial thermonuclear reactors. "
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PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Technology
"Leading to one conclusion that within the next, I think, 50 years we will be able to function in a computer simulation partially or completely. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2076
"The federal deficit in 2026 is projected to be another 1.9 trillion and grow to 3.1 trillion in 2036. In this context, the pressure on the Fed to cut rates and make long-term debt is neither a coincidence nor a whim. It's mathematics. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"Goldman Sachs raised forecasts. Prices averaged $110 in March and April with a risk of significantly higher. If Hormuz remains closed for 10 weeks, prices could beat the 2008 record of $147 per barrel. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy