Claims
1,067 claims · 01.01.1150 – 11.06.2026
Content language
"And above all, there is also a very interesting topic ahead of us, because from April 2026, it will be permissible to secure loans and credits with silver in India. Until now, it was only possible to secure them with gold. However, it is possible that because silver will also be allowed as such a loan collateral, there is a chance that more of this precious metal will be trapped, figuratively speaking, in the banking system in India, which will also affect the global supply of this metal. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"The question is not whether there will be a devaluation. The question is: at what pace? "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
Medium timeframe
"However, these are, of course, three scenarios that I have presented, but most likely this scenario will be an intermediate scenario, the most realistic one, which is the one where those who have the best ecosystem, infrastructure, but also good agents, will win. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
Long timeframe
"Regarding market trends in the current year or in the coming years, we will most likely be transitioning from chatbots to agents. While AI is certainly not an invention of the last few years, in fact, concepts related to artificial intelligence appeared much earlier, one could even say that concrete concepts regarding artificial intelligence already existed in the mid-20th century. However, ChatGPT, for example, made us simply familiar with something like artificial intelligence, with something like large language models. And precisely due to the emergence of ChatGPT, the development of the entire industry, all sorts of chatbots appeared, and these chatbots, of course, aimed to replace a human who chats with a client, began to answer various questions. questions, of course, in accordance with the knowledge that is contained, which they simply know, to which they refer. However, we are now at a stage where we are moving away from these chatbots and moving towards agents, meaning we don't want to ask a chatbot to simply tell us where we need to do something, where we can find something, but for it to do a specific thing. for example, book a given flight,... "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2026
"Nvidia must not only be a leader in hardware, but also set the pace and move with the times. Therefore, Nvidia, being aware that in 2026 the balance is shifting towards inference, towards the use of the entire AI factory infrastructure, also wants to go in the direction that AWS is going, but from a hardware perspective, i.e., offer its clients entire AI factories and simply develop in this area, knowing additionally that other companies, other technological giants like Google or Amazon, are constantly treading on their heels. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2026
"it will probably mean a paradigm shift for brands and marketing related to the functioning of the internet, that AI, AI-first, will primarily have contact with the customer, will be important here and will have increasing significance. So it will cease to be important for specific, even smaller companies, how important it is to be visible in Google, whether I am on the first page or the second, but it will be important simply how to be present in AI answers, i.e., when we talk, we instruct our agent, that this agent decides to choose product X related to a given company, and not Y. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
Medium timeframe
Ad
"As long as this war continues, as long as oil prices are high, the prospect of 100% rate cuts in the States will move further away. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"I am counting on the fact that in some foreseeable future, this conflict in the Middle East will at least calm down, be brought under control, and the situation on the oil market will stabilize. Perhaps we will not return to the levels we were used to at the turn of 2025 and 2026, $50 per barrel, but we will move away from $100 and this market will become somewhat more predictable, and this will already be a factor that may slightly weigh on the valuations of the American currency and support the zloty as a result. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
Medium timeframe
"It seems to me that this will be a politically calmer period in the United States, and the American economy will primarily benefit from it. So, in short, this also fits into my thesis that the strength of the American economy will cause the dollar to slowly, slowly regain strength and continue to systematically gain against a basket of currencies, "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"these midterm elections, of course, as the previous speaker said and you also said, will change the balance of power. Trump will be weaker, it will be harder for him to push his initiatives. I think the Democrats will take this opportunity and try to impeach him, although it is difficult to finalize it, but the very initiation of this procedure is ideal for the elections in another 2 years. especially presidential ones, and in fact, this internal turmoil in the USA will open the way for countries like China or Russia in terms of geopolitics, looking at the global situation, so the question is, for example, Taiwan in a year or two, we will see sooner. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026
"Wydaje mi się, yyy, i to jest taki mój troszeczkę scenariusz bazowy, który będzie oddziaływał na wiele walut, ale w późniejszym okresie, że banki yyy będą próbowały przetrzymać tę sytuację, że jednak wyjdą z założenia, że skok cen ropy gazu przełoży się na inflację, ale to nie będzie przełożenie trwałe, że nie będzie efektów drugiej rundy i zdecydują się przeczekać ten okres "
🌐 original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"And then from November, in my baseline scenario, a return to strong growth. It will already be known who won. Most likely the Democrats, only the question is whether they will only take over the House of Representatives, which is almost certain and is fully priced in, because there is an 85% chance of that on Polymarket, or whether they will also take over the Senate. There is 52% right now on Polymarket, on such a forbidden betting platform in Poland, where you can place bets with real money. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Politics
"Lockheed Martin, the American flagship, backlog, a record 194 billion dollars. Revenue forecast for 2026 is 77 to 80 billion. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"The management's forecast for 2026 assumes a sales increase of 40 to 45%. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"Issuance for 2025, a record 300 billion euros in bonds. France has to borrow more and more to service what it has already borrowed, a classic debt spiral. "
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PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Economy
Ad
"even those lost midterm elections, which it seems Donald Trump has already accepted, in the sense that he accepted the fact that it would not be possible to win the midterm elections, will essentially cause greater paralysis than we have observed so far. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
2026
"In 2026, German farms may employ only 80% of that number. Calculate it, that means 65,000 fewer people, 65,000 pairs of hands that simply won't appear. Plus another regulation, which is the icing on this bitter cake. At least 10% of each crew must be German citizens. "
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PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Economy
"Poland spends 4.7% of GDP on defense in 2025, which is 187 billion zlotys, or about 45 billion dollars. The target for 2026 is 5%. The Minister of Defense stated this directly in March 2025 at a meeting of EU defense ministers. "
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PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Economy
"But I repeat now for the second time, that only in this information did they consolidate Braugman for the first time for two months, for November and December, so this whole year will be surprisingly much better than the previous one, because there will be full consolidation starting from January. And here, well, I can't wait for the first quarter report, because the dynamics will be truly gigantic, right? Because if with only two months the dominant profit is up 50%, and EBITDA 53%, operationally 59, then it's clear that there's a lot organically, right? "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"Rheinmetall forecasts sales growth of 40 to 45% in 2026. Leonardo plans to double profits by 2030. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2030