Comparic Rynki 16.05.2026

✓ True

"In January 2024, they signed an agreement with Somaliland. Ethiopia gets 20 km of coastline for 50 years, and in return, the prospect of Somaliland's recognition by Addis Ababa. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

✅ Factual claim Politics

Comparic Rynki 13.05.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"In such a world, a Polish investor has two long-term tools. IKE with a limit of PLN 28,260 for 2026 and IKZE with a limit of PLN 11,304. These are accounts that provide a real tax shield, regardless of whether the bubble bursts next week or in two years, it is definitely worth investing. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 11.05.2026

~ Partially

"Analysts estimate that if Ormus remains closed, they will reach 5 dollars in June, and June is the beginning of the American holiday season, a time when no politician wants high prices at gas stations. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 10.05.2026

✓ Occurred

"Smaller workshops are starting to delay payments. A cascading risk of insolvency across the entire SME sector. And this is not a 2008 scenario. This is slowly starting to become a plan for 2026. Hopefully not. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

⚠️ Warning Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 09.05.2026

~ Partially

"I am looking very seriously, well, I am actually investing in the nuclear sector and ETFs, which could be a hot sector for the next 5, perhaps even 10 years. That is why the demand for atomic energy will actually grow, and companies that invent new solutions, perhaps another technological revolution, that will be something that can really be played and grow in the coming years. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2036

Comparic Rynki 08.05.2026

✗ Negated

"It may turn out that today the country that will care most about the American economy, about the stability of the American system, or about the stability of the dollar system in general, will be China. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 08.05.2026

✓ Occurred

"If you go to court, I guarantee one instance, a second instance, cassation. It will really take years. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

⚠️ Warning Economy Long timeframe

Comparic Rynki 08.05.2026

✓ Occurred

"Many things simply do not exist or will not exist. The war in the Gulf also makes it difficult to obtain many raw materials, for example Helium. There will be a huge, but really huge problem with this. But you know how markets work. On the principle that if it grows, you have to buy. FOMO, or fear of missing out, is at play, right? That is, the fear of not getting on a train that is leaving. And this kind of chasing causes enormous price increases within a month, and then at some point, a realization comes. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

⚠️ Warning Economy Medium timeframe

Comparic Rynki 05.05.2026

✓ True

"CISA, the American cybersecurity agency, received a proposed budget cut of 707 million dollars for fiscal year 2027. So, just when the defense of critical infrastructure becomes an extreme sport, its budget shrinks. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

✅ Factual claim Politics

Albert Rokicki 05.05.2026

◔ Pending

"All the time my scenario, my game is based on the unchanging, unchanging assumption that information about signing an enterprise agreement even for 6 million dollars will be released, which will make this company profitable overnight, it may become profitable because of it. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 03.05.2026

~ Partially

"Well, the response is laying off people, limiting production, gritting its teeth. Cersanit is doing the same. Similarly, Ceramika Paradyż, where 140 people are planned to be laid off in 2026. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Albert Rokicki 30.04.2026

✗ Failed

"It is a fact that from tomorrow it will be in the prestigious SWIG 80 index, and there is an ETF for it, and it will have, I think, a 6% share, it seems to me. Small, small, small, or a small few percent, but always. And ETF funds will have to buy, whether it's PZU or Beta ETF, they will have to get acquainted with this company for their portfolio, invite it. And this will be such demand from passive investors, and the more we are, the more you are, because I, WTF, do not invest in individual companies, but if someone passively, I also fully support the ETF on SBIG 80, if Poles buy, they will also automatically increase the valuation. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Albert Rokicki 30.04.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"In the case of Amazon, I believe Anthropic will strongly boost its results when it goes public with a cosmic valuation close to a trillion, analogous more or less to OpenAI, in which Microsoft has invested. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Technology 2026

Comparic Rynki 30.04.2026

✓ Occurred

"Fuel inflation is returning, and with it the risk that the NBP will have trouble with further easing. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

⚠️ Warning Economy 2026

Albert Rokicki 30.04.2026

◔ Pending

"He's not messing around here before the elections. I think they will hit Meta hard. It will be a show-off and it will be about 12 billion, because last year they had 200 billion in revenue, it seems. So 12, that will be 12 billion of 60 profit. So 20% of annual profit. Meta is not walking away. This is just one, one court case. There are still many such individual ones, you know. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Politics 2026

Albert Rokicki 30.04.2026

~ Partially

"I put forward a bold thesis here. maybe Nvidia will go down and they will meet halfway, but I would see it this way, that now Intel will take Nvidia's pie. Listen, that this is that unexpected, ridiculed competitor, but he will be here in cooperation with Elon Musk. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Technology Long timeframe

Comparic Rynki 29.04.2026

◔ Pending

"If the Emirates indeed start pumping at full capacity to their target of 5 million barrels per day, it means more oil on the market, which theoretically leads to lower prices. However, everything depends on when Ormus opens, because today even the Emirates have problems with exports. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 27.04.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"One guy from a studio apartment mobilized capital in 9 days that many WIG 20 companies work a year for. Poles can do it if they want, and the fundraiser is still going. Auctions will also be added. And probably more will be collected than this year's Great Orchestra of Christmas Charity. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Society 2026

Comparic Rynki 27.04.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"If the truce breaks, oil will go up again, and we have only just started to breathe a little after the inflationary nightmare. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 27.04.2026

◔ Pending

"And the risk I see is that, who knows, maybe today we are on the verge of a new lost decade for the USA. It happened once, it can happen again. We cannot rule that out. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

⚠️ Warning Economy Long timeframe