Claims
11 claims · 01.01.1150 – 11.06.2026
Content language
"Optimistic scenario. Trump makes a deal with Iran. Ormus returns to normal. Jet fuel drops to $120 per barrel in summer. Bydgoszcz regains Frankfurt in the fourth quarter, and the pessimistic scenario: war escalates, Russia continues to scheme. European reserves fall below 23 days. physical shortages at airports, rationing, ban on short-haul flights, and with this scenario, a full recession in the aviation industry. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"If the Strait of Hormuz remains closed for another month, then Brent will stay above $100 throughout 2026, and in a pessimistic scenario, $120 in Q3, $115 in Q4. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"If the OECD's projections prove accurate, well, the Federal Reserve is sitting dangerously behind the curve and will be forced into emergency policy reversals and the broader market is already pricing in this exact scenario. "
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Goldman Sachs raised forecasts. Prices averaged $110 in March and April with a risk of significantly higher. If Hormuz remains closed for 10 weeks, prices could beat the 2008 record of $147 per barrel. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Bloomberg models a scenario in which oil reaches $170 per barrel, and then we have full stagflation in the Eurozone, which is the worst thing that can actually happen in the economy. Inflation up by 2 percentage points, GDP down by 1.2. And the Revolutionary Guard openly threatens that the price will reach $200. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"So if it reached 90 to 100, that would certainly mean no interest rate cuts this year. Perhaps we could forget about it until the end of the year, and discussions about rate hikes would even begin, and that would undoubtedly cause a further collapse on the stock market, a deepening of these declines, right? So from a regular pullback, we would enter a correction of over 10% up to 20%. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
Ad
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🌐 Scenario
Technology
"My baseline scenario is that we will touch 15, then go up in May, even until the end of May, perhaps even into June, with a final, perhaps euphoric, nice wave before a deeper, seasonal summer/autumn correction, as I would call it, because we have the midterm elections. Political tension will rise in the United States. In my opinion, there may be a political crisis in the United States. People will take to the streets. Squabbles over the budget, budgetary issues of financing government spending. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"there will be such a hype for these space companies and unfortunately, unfortunately I would prefer it to succeed, yes, but I'm afraid there will be huge disappointment after the debut, there will be distribution, there will be drops in SpaceX that will drag the entire industry down. So until June we can nicely play, for example, Kreotech Scanway, these Polish entities, but I think from July, somewhere from the holidays, there will be a dump in the space sector. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Technology
"Yes, and there might be a mini black swan in the United States, which paradoxically might help Europe and the Polish market, because capital will rotate even more, it will flee from America to Europe, to emerging markets, and to Poland. And we will benefit from this. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"And also an interesting fact, that Archer, I don't know if it will make it, but it has signed an exclusivity agreement for the transport of participants of the FIFA World Cup. Imagine that. But since we're talking about the second half of the year here, it might unfortunately not make it, right? Perhaps only some demonstration, test flights, but it won't be massive, right? "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Technology