Claims
26 claims · 01.01.1150 – 11.06.2026
Content language
"Interest next year will consume not 115 but 130, 140 billion zlotys. There will be nothing left to pay for benefits, defense, or investments without deep changes. "
translated
PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Annually, Japan could become insolvent at 2% rates. "
translated
PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Optimistic scenario. Trump makes a deal with Iran. Ormus returns to normal. Jet fuel drops to $120 per barrel in summer. Bydgoszcz regains Frankfurt in the fourth quarter, and the pessimistic scenario: war escalates, Russia continues to scheme. European reserves fall below 23 days. physical shortages at airports, rationing, ban on short-haul flights, and with this scenario, a full recession in the aviation industry. "
translated
PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"If the Strait of Hormuz remains closed for another month, then Brent will stay above $100 throughout 2026, and in a pessimistic scenario, $120 in Q3, $115 in Q4. "
translated
PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"If the OECD's projections prove accurate, well, the Federal Reserve is sitting dangerously behind the curve and will be forced into emergency policy reversals and the broader market is already pricing in this exact scenario. "
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Furthermore, from low orbit, nuclear pulse engines are the most probable, relying on nuclear impulses simply pushing the ship, where small charges are ejected, they explode and push the ship. And then we will fly to Mars in, for example, 14 days. "
translated
PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Technology
Ad
"The Federal Reserve faces a tragic choice. Either allow a great recession, or print its way out of debt and sacrifice the value of the dollar. In both scenarios, gold wins and that's why they are buying. "
translated
PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"If these retirement plans allocate just 1% of their capital to Bitcoin, well, that represents roughly $139 billion in brand new automated buying pressure. To put that number into perspective, $139 billion is more than three times the cumulative net inflows of every single spot Bitcoin ETF launched in 2024 combined. So a capital injection of that magnitude would fundamentally rewrite the assets market cap. "
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Goldman Sachs raised forecasts. Prices averaged $110 in March and April with a risk of significantly higher. If Hormuz remains closed for 10 weeks, prices could beat the 2008 record of $147 per barrel. "
translated
PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Bloomberg models a scenario in which oil reaches $170 per barrel, and then we have full stagflation in the Eurozone, which is the worst thing that can actually happen in the economy. Inflation up by 2 percentage points, GDP down by 1.2. And the Revolutionary Guard openly threatens that the price will reach $200. "
translated
PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Every single order filled would force the price lower, meaning subsequent coins would sell at progressively worse prices. This is textbook slippage and it would trigger a cascading liquidation event across the derivatives market that would crash the price of Bitcoin by double digits in minutes. "
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"So if it reached 90 to 100, that would certainly mean no interest rate cuts this year. Perhaps we could forget about it until the end of the year, and discussions about rate hikes would even begin, and that would undoubtedly cause a further collapse on the stock market, a deepening of these declines, right? So from a regular pullback, we would enter a correction of over 10% up to 20%. "
translated
PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Jeśli ten przepis zostanie przyjęty w obecnym brzmieniu w Senacie, skutecznie zniszczy ideę finansów bez zezwoleń w Stanach Zjednoczonych. Będziesz mieć dwie możliwości: korzystać z w pełni regulowanego interfejsu DeFi, w pełni zgodnego z KYC i należącego do korporacji, lub bezpośrednio korzystać z kodu inteligentnego kontraktu za pośrednictwem interfejsu wiersza poleceń, czego, bądźmy szczerzy, 99% użytkowników nigdy nie zrobi. "
🌐 Scenario
Technology
"A clean daily close below that, and the next demand zone sits between 74 and $75,000. "
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"MHP's condition for joining the ruling coalition in the 2028 elections is the adoption of a program of cooperation with Russia and China. Pay attention, because this is not a trifle. Without MHP, Erdogan does not have a majority. And MHP does not want ministerial portfolios for the party. It wants a change in the entire state's geopolitical doctrine. "
translated
PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Politics
Ad
"My baseline scenario is that we will touch 15, then go up in May, even until the end of May, perhaps even into June, with a final, perhaps euphoric, nice wave before a deeper, seasonal summer/autumn correction, as I would call it, because we have the midterm elections. Political tension will rise in the United States. In my opinion, there may be a political crisis in the United States. People will take to the streets. Squabbles over the budget, budgetary issues of financing government spending. "
translated
PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"When Volkswagen sneezes, Mercator, Boryszew and Syntos might catch a cold. "
translated
PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"there will be such a hype for these space companies and unfortunately, unfortunately I would prefer it to succeed, yes, but I'm afraid there will be huge disappointment after the debut, there will be distribution, there will be drops in SpaceX that will drag the entire industry down. So until June we can nicely play, for example, Kreotech Scanway, these Polish entities, but I think from July, somewhere from the holidays, there will be a dump in the space sector. "
translated
PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Technology
"It cannot be ruled out that the Shiller CAPE ratio will break its previous peak from 2000. It will continue to grow for many, many years. For example, I can imagine it reaching 60, 70, and only after X years, perhaps 10, or 15, will another crash occur. But no one can predict how high this indicator can go. Neither I, nor Warren Buffett. "
translated
PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Yes, and there might be a mini black swan in the United States, which paradoxically might help Europe and the Polish market, because capital will rotate even more, it will flee from America to Europe, to emerging markets, and to Poland. And we will benefit from this. "
translated
PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy