Robert Bernatowicz 29.09.2024

? Unverifiable

"If it turns out that there was a chess tournament AND at that moment another city was disappearing, a chess tournament AND another woman was disappearing, then at that moment there may be such a situation that it will simply be a very important premise to put forward such a shocking [theory] and not some Zdzisław "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Other

Albert Rokicki 03.06.2026

~ Partially

"Second scenario: the effect is already discounted, a small upward movement. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 01.06.2026

◔ Pending

"However, in my opinion, this direction starts to make sense at the moment when we have this conflict somehow closed or suspended. Rather permanently. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 01.06.2026

◔ Pending

"Venezuela is the same. Many other places on the map of Africa, on the map of South America. If these changes are carried out to the end, it could be great news. And for us, a brilliant place to live. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Society

Comparic Rynki 28.05.2026

? Unverifiable

"If it doesn't start selling dog accessories, it will disappear from the market within five years. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 22.05.2026

✗ Negated

"Well, there's an incredible swing in moods. Usually, such a swing in moods precedes a stronger move in one direction. Well, that direction again depends on our favorite Ormuz and Mr. Trump. Therefore, I won't say anything new here. I believe that if things calm down there, then it will be an upward move. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 17.05.2026

✗ Negated

"And of course there are scenarios that say we will have a problem for three years, but we also have another factor that we haven't talked about yet, which could influence the lowering of oil prices, namely the war in Ukraine, where Putin has slowly started to hint that he might meet with Zelensky. Could this have any influence at all? This is a white swan that could emerge on the oil market. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Armed conflicts

Comparic Rynki 25.04.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"It may also turn out that infrastructure will win, as it has been so far. Nvidia became the company with the largest capitalization in the world precisely because infrastructure, this hardware, was essential for any other considerations. What else can become a century of considerations in which direction artificial intelligence could further develop? And here, of course, those who offer the greatest computational power, cloud, deployment tools such as Nvidia, AWS or Azure, I'm talking about Microsoft, they have the greatest chance of being the winner here. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Technology

Comparic Rynki 25.04.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"In the third scenario, agents can win, meaning the biggest change is caused not by the model itself, but by an AI agent that takes over real tasks. And indeed, we can easily imagine that this is enormous added value, that even if a model might not be perfect, it wouldn't give us ideal answers, but if it were able to take over some of our tasks, giving us more free time, then this is a path that could be very beneficial for companies like the aforementioned OpenAI, which cooperates very closely, is even dependent on Microsoft, Go "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Technology

Comparic Rynki 25.04.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"One possible scenario is that ecosystems win, meaning the strongest companies turn out to be those that already have a given user, already have a device, have a daily contact point, simply meet with that user every day. At this point, when the entire ecosystem wins, companies like Google, Microsoft, or Apple have the greatest chance of winning. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Technology

Comparic Rynki 24.04.2026

~ Partially

"If capital expenditures go up again, no one will believe Zuckerberg is controlling costs. If capex stabilizes, there could be a real rally. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 16.04.2026

~ Partially

"If Ford or GM, or perhaps both of these factories, actually get a large defense contract, their shares may soar. But this is a speculative, not an investment, scenario. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 13.04.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"If ormus doesn't open in the coming weeks, the effect will reach us too. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Albert Rokicki 11.04.2026

✗ Negated

"And here, this is one of those unfavorable factors that have contributed to this worse financial situation, but one can also play on the fact that there will be a new president of the United States who will completely eliminate these tariffs or significantly reduce them. So there are several pro-growth factors here. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Politics

Comparic Rynki 08.04.2026

✗ Negated

"If oil falls for longer, inflation will slow down, and the Fed may return to cutting rates, which in turn will support precious metals. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 05.04.2026

· Unverified

"bo jeśli ceny ropy i gazu dalej będą szaleć, to kolejnych obniżek możemy nie zobaczyć przez długi, długi czas. "

🌐 original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 30.03.2026

◔ Pending

"If Iran falls, Trump will taste victory and think he can do anything. And that means Venezuela, Cuba, then in a sense Russia, then China are currently playing for survival, not for victory. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Politics

Coin Bureau 18.03.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"If the original pioneers are abandoning ship, the entire digital gold thesis could be facing a catastrophic liquidity crisis. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Albert Rokicki 03.03.2026

? Unverifiable

"If oil significantly breaks above 80, are you planning a reduction? Yes, I would then consider a reduction if my proprietary indicator of probability of increases is currently in the neutral zone. If it enters the defensive zone, then it suggests reducing the portfolio to have cash for potential market opportunities. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Coin Bureau 06.01.2026

✗ Negated

"Uważa się, że Bitcoin jest w tyle za złotem o około 3 miesiące. Jeśli tak jest rzeczywiście, to ogromny rajd złota pod koniec 2025 roku powinien przełożyć się na ogromny rajd Bitcoina na początku 2026 roku. "

🌐 Scenario Economy