Claims
93 claims · 01.01.1150 – 11.06.2026
Content language
"However, if we are looking for some factor that could shake the dollar, it is the image of the USA. The image of the USA getting involved in a war in Iran, which starts losing in relations with China on every front. Yes. The question of Taiwan, for example, in a year, right? Maybe sooner. So if the world sees that the United States is not that power, then the idea that the dollar is a reserve currency, because of this, because of this, because of this, because of this, will slowly begin to waver. This will not happen immediately, of course, but it's a matter of 5, 10 years. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Politics
"The entire machine functions as long as Bitcoin keeps appreciating and the capital markets keep absorbing new share issuances. But if either condition fails, the consequences would extend far beyond a single company's balance sheet and threaten to destabilize the broader crypto market itself. "
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"And now everything depends on two things. On the outcome of these talks. If some agreement is signed. Well, then it will probably last until the elections, because then the circus will start again. I am deeply convinced that after November, it will all come back again. Uh, that, uh, first of all, that's the first condition for the bull market to last, and the second condition is the results that will be reported, I'm looking at the calendar, between April 22nd and 29th, by the Magnificent Seven companies and not only them. There's also IBM. I think IBM and Tesla are on the 22nd. Intel on the 23rd. Well, various ones. I think three Magnificent Seven companies report on the 29th. Nvidia only sometime at the end of May. Therefore, we are waiting, and depending on what we see there, actually what the management forecasts will be after the reports are published, then in conjunction with this de-escalation, we can see a bull market, a continuation of the bull market. If something slips, or there is no de-escalation, or worse, the forecasts are unsatisfactory, they will certainly be good, but maybe unsatisfactory, then we will return to a correctional arrangement. How it will be, I cannot decide at the moment, because I don't know what the companies will say and I definitely don't know what Mr. Trump will come up with in the meantime. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"If the conflict ends now, inflation will not be higher. It will stay at that level. If, however, it continues and oil prices actually rise to $140, $150 or so, I'm not aiming for quotability so I won't mention levels, then of course inflation will rise and may reach 4%. This is completely realistic. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"If the Strait of Hormuz remains closed for another month, then Brent will stay above $100 throughout 2026, and in a pessimistic scenario, $120 in Q3, $115 in Q4. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"If Ormus remains blocked for more than a month and Goldman's scenario materializes, then pressure on the Polish transport industry will return with full force. And when pressure returns to TSL, retail chain margins begin to fall, and then there's no need to explain it. We all see it on our receipts. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
Ad
"If the OECD's projections prove accurate, well, the Federal Reserve is sitting dangerously behind the curve and will be forced into emergency policy reversals and the broader market is already pricing in this exact scenario. "
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Furthermore, from low orbit, nuclear pulse engines are the most probable, relying on nuclear impulses simply pushing the ship, where small charges are ejected, they explode and push the ship. And then we will fly to Mars in, for example, 14 days. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Technology
"The Federal Reserve faces a tragic choice. Either allow a great recession, or print its way out of debt and sacrifice the value of the dollar. In both scenarios, gold wins and that's why they are buying. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"If these retirement plans allocate just 1% of their capital to Bitcoin, well, that represents roughly $139 billion in brand new automated buying pressure. To put that number into perspective, $139 billion is more than three times the cumulative net inflows of every single spot Bitcoin ETF launched in 2024 combined. So a capital injection of that magnitude would fundamentally rewrite the assets market cap. "
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Goldman Sachs raised forecasts. Prices averaged $110 in March and April with a risk of significantly higher. If Hormuz remains closed for 10 weeks, prices could beat the 2008 record of $147 per barrel. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Bloomberg models a scenario in which oil reaches $170 per barrel, and then we have full stagflation in the Eurozone, which is the worst thing that can actually happen in the economy. Inflation up by 2 percentage points, GDP down by 1.2. And the Revolutionary Guard openly threatens that the price will reach $200. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Every single order filled would force the price lower, meaning subsequent coins would sell at progressively worse prices. This is textbook slippage and it would trigger a cascading liquidation event across the derivatives market that would crash the price of Bitcoin by double digits in minutes. "
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Jeśli ten przepis zostanie przyjęty w obecnym brzmieniu w Senacie, skutecznie zniszczy ideę finansów bez zezwoleń w Stanach Zjednoczonych. Będziesz mieć dwie możliwości: korzystać z w pełni regulowanego interfejsu DeFi, w pełni zgodnego z KYC i należącego do korporacji, lub bezpośrednio korzystać z kodu inteligentnego kontraktu za pośrednictwem interfejsu wiersza poleceń, czego, bądźmy szczerzy, 99% użytkowników nigdy nie zrobi. "
🌐 Scenario
Technology
"Well, if they reach 150, because I'm counting on 150 million revenues in 2027, then 150 x 16 = 2400, 2.4 billion in 2027. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
Ad
"assuming, you know, putting forward such a daring thesis, that whoever was behind this story that happened in Poland with this object, wanted to send us a message that would direct us to the Rendlesham story, which would mean that something that caused this incident near Poznań is also behind the Rendlesham story, that it might be the same, the same group of alien beings. You understand, that if the object is so similar, it means that, for example, they simply have such objects. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Other
"an important matter is also related to the fact that this stone glowed with a delicate light for half a year, which is confirmed by the family in whose home this stone was; the matter is all the more interesting because if it turns out that this stone is connected to an extraterrestrial object, a UFO-type object, it could be one of the most important ufological artifacts in the world "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Other
"I believe that this war will not end in such a way that there will be a bang and some peace. If there is even a temporary ceasefire, it will be temporary, because it will flare up again, it will flare up again. It will be all the time and up to a certain point. Well, if I go back to the previous question, that there will be some natural disaster, only then will it end, right? That is, something external that will suddenly make their dispute and their war lose significance, and at that moment it will end. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Armed conflicts
"I believe that this war will not end in such a way that there will be a bang and some peace. If there is even a temporary ceasefire, it will be temporary, because it will flare up again, it will flare up again. It will continue all the time and up to a certain point. So, if I return to the earlier question, if there is some natural disaster, only then will it end, right? That is, something external that will suddenly make their dispute and their war lose significance, and at that moment it will end. "
translated
PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Armed conflicts
"Third scenario: selling facts after buying rumors and at least a short-term downward correction. "
translated
PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy