Claims
54 claims · 01.01.1150 – 11.06.2026
Content language
"The Federal Reserve faces a tragic choice. Either allow a great recession, or print its way out of debt and sacrifice the value of the dollar. In both scenarios, gold wins and that's why they are buying. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Goldman Sachs raised forecasts. Prices averaged $110 in March and April with a risk of significantly higher. If Hormuz remains closed for 10 weeks, prices could beat the 2008 record of $147 per barrel. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Bloomberg models a scenario in which oil reaches $170 per barrel, and then we have full stagflation in the Eurozone, which is the worst thing that can actually happen in the economy. Inflation up by 2 percentage points, GDP down by 1.2. And the Revolutionary Guard openly threatens that the price will reach $200. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Well, if they reach 150, because I'm counting on 150 million revenues in 2027, then 150 x 16 = 2400, 2.4 billion in 2027. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"assuming, you know, putting forward such a daring thesis, that whoever was behind this story that happened in Poland with this object, wanted to send us a message that would direct us to the Rendlesham story, which would mean that something that caused this incident near Poznań is also behind the Rendlesham story, that it might be the same, the same group of alien beings. You understand, that if the object is so similar, it means that, for example, they simply have such objects. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Other
"an important matter is also related to the fact that this stone glowed with a delicate light for half a year, which is confirmed by the family in whose home this stone was; the matter is all the more interesting because if it turns out that this stone is connected to an extraterrestrial object, a UFO-type object, it could be one of the most important ufological artifacts in the world "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Other
Ad
"I believe that this war will not end in such a way that there will be a bang and some peace. If there is even a temporary ceasefire, it will be temporary, because it will flare up again, it will flare up again. It will continue all the time and up to a certain point. So, if I return to the earlier question, if there is some natural disaster, only then will it end, right? That is, something external that will suddenly make their dispute and their war lose significance, and at that moment it will end. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Armed conflicts
"I believe that this war will not end in such a way that there will be a bang and some peace. If there is even a temporary ceasefire, it will be temporary, because it will flare up again, it will flare up again. It will be all the time and up to a certain point. Well, if I go back to the previous question, that there will be some natural disaster, only then will it end, right? That is, something external that will suddenly make their dispute and their war lose significance, and at that moment it will end. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Armed conflicts
"Third scenario: selling facts after buying rumors and at least a short-term downward correction. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"It may turn out that today the country that will care most about the American economy, about the stability of the American system, or about the stability of the dollar system in general, will be China. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"All the time my scenario, my game is based on the unchanging, unchanging assumption that information about signing an enterprise agreement even for 6 million dollars will be released, which will make this company profitable overnight, it may become profitable because of it. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"If the Emirates indeed start pumping at full capacity to their target of 5 million barrels per day, it means more oil on the market, which theoretically leads to lower prices. However, everything depends on when Ormus opens, because today even the Emirates have problems with exports. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"If the truce breaks, oil will go up again, and we have only just started to breathe a little after the inflationary nightmare. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"As long as this war continues, as long as oil prices are high, the prospect of 100% rate cuts in the States will move further away. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Wydaje mi się, yyy, i to jest taki mój troszeczkę scenariusz bazowy, który będzie oddziaływał na wiele walut, ale w późniejszym okresie, że banki yyy będą próbowały przetrzymać tę sytuację, że jednak wyjdą z założenia, że skok cen ropy gazu przełoży się na inflację, ale to nie będzie przełożenie trwałe, że nie będzie efektów drugiej rundy i zdecydują się przeczekać ten okres "
🌐 original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
Ad
"And then from November, in my baseline scenario, a return to strong growth. It will already be known who won. Most likely the Democrats, only the question is whether they will only take over the House of Representatives, which is almost certain and is fully priced in, because there is an 85% chance of that on Polymarket, or whether they will also take over the Senate. There is 52% right now on Polymarket, on such a forbidden betting platform in Poland, where you can place bets with real money. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Politics
"there will be such a hype for these space companies and unfortunately, unfortunately I would prefer it to succeed, yes, but I'm afraid there will be huge disappointment after the debut, there will be distribution, there will be drops in SpaceX that will drag the entire industry down. So until June we can nicely play, for example, Kreotech Scanway, these Polish entities, but I think from July, somewhere from the holidays, there will be a dump in the space sector. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Technology
"In my base scenario, it will just touch, just touch the downward trend line average, and I expect a destructive, panic-driven fifth wave down, meaning one, two, three, four, and now a final fifth wave even to 45, to 40,000 dollars. That is my base scenario. However, I also cannot rule out that this is the end of this Mini Bear Market and Bitcoin will return to an upward trend or will want to make a double top at 120,000. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"And SWIG 80 is not good. Unfortunately, it broke 45, and here one can eventually count on the previous lows to defend, meaning the lows from November and December 2025, which are levels around 28,650. If that falls, then there is a high risk of SWIG 80 collapsing, meaning the smallest companies. For now, there is no panic, because these lows should defend themselves. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"If 23,000 points fall, then the index will most likely go to 20,400 and possibly 18,800 as a panic low after the introduction of Trump's tariffs. So it doesn't look good for the German index, but for now, it must be admitted, one cannot panic. Here, this barrier needs to be lowered. Now, the natural and, I would even say, very strong resistance, I would be surprised if it fell, is 23,000 points, because it is also the peak before the tariff dump. "
translated
PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy