"And then from November, in my baseline scenario, a return to strong growth. It will already be known who won. Most likely the Democrats, only the question is whether they will only take over the House of Representatives, which is almost certain and is fully priced in, because there is an 85% chance of that on Polymarket, or whether they will also take over the Senate. There is 52% right now on Polymarket, on such a forbidden betting platform in Poland, where you can place bets with real money. "

"And, if Trump's position weakens, if Americans turn away from him because gasoline prices and inflation prove to be somewhat out of control, then the dollar may gain value with double strength, and then monetary policy and the direction of interest rates, whether it will be stabilization or some minimal further cuts, will be less significant, because other risk factors, and Trump is a risk factor after all, will disappear. "

"However, now it would have to be 138, and not just for a week, but for about three, three months, because that crude oil would have to stay above that barrier of 138 here, and 150 in the United States. There is a different economy, there is artificial intelligence, so I wouldn't be too worried about it. "

"If a CBDCfriendly administration wins in November 2028, they will be fully installed and empowered by the time the ban expires in December 2030. "

"And SWIG 80 is not good. Unfortunately, it broke 45, and here one can eventually count on the previous lows to defend, meaning the lows from November and December 2025, which are levels around 28,650. If that falls, then there is a high risk of SWIG 80 collapsing, meaning the smallest companies. For now, there is no panic, because these lows should defend themselves. "

"In my base scenario, it will just touch, just touch the downward trend line average, and I expect a destructive, panic-driven fifth wave down, meaning one, two, three, four, and now a final fifth wave even to 45, to 40,000 dollars. That is my base scenario. However, I also cannot rule out that this is the end of this Mini Bear Market and Bitcoin will return to an upward trend or will want to make a double top at 120,000. "

"If 23,000 points fall, then the index will most likely go to 20,400 and possibly 18,800 as a panic low after the introduction of Trump's tariffs. So it doesn't look good for the German index, but for now, it must be admitted, one cannot panic. Here, this barrier needs to be lowered. Now, the natural and, I would even say, very strong resistance, I would be surprised if it fell, is 23,000 points, because it is also the peak before the tariff dump. "

"The things that are dying is, unfortunately, our jobs. Uh and uh we're going to be taking a look at the jobs apocalypse. Is the jobs apocalypse coming because of AI? Many reports we want to dive into and take a look at it what it could mean for the rest of us and our future. Of course, or lack of a future, exactly. "