Claims
191 claims · 01.01.1150 – 11.06.2026
Content language
"In the Dutch system after 2028, the same start, the same 7%, but every year the tax office cuts 36% of the profit. This cuts real growth from 7% to about 4.5%. Sounds innocent, right? After a decade you lose over 17% of your final capital. After 20 years almost 30%. After 40 almost 57. Instead of 1.5 million you have about 646,000. Euro. The state erases over 850,000 EUR of potential wealth from your account. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2028
"Between June 11 and June 16, things might get very heated in the Middle East. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Armed conflicts
2026
"Let's consider a family commuting daily. 60 km a day. They consume about 1200 liters of fuel annually. We add ETS2 and it comes out to 400 zlotys more just for the tax itself. Plus an increase in prices of all goods, because professional transport will also obviously have to pay, because trucks will pay, because the entire supply chain pays, and then all of that lands in the price of bread, milk, shoes. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2028
"a typical Polish family can lose up to PLN 40,000 in 7 years. without a separate item in PIT, without a referendum, without a choice. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2033
"6.5% will be the public finance sector deficit in Poland in 2026 according to the latest European Commission forecast. The EU limit, the one written in the Maastricht Treaty, is 3%. We exceed it by more than double. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"The European Commission must see this in its models, which is why it forecasts a deficit of over 6% for next year instead of lowering it. Because in Brussels they understand what the Polish government communicatively does not want to say. Revenues will not catch up with our expenses at all. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2027
Ad
"The Korean army needs over 200,000 recruits annually to maintain the defense line at the 38th parallel. Meanwhile, forecasts say that by 2040, the number of 20-year-olds will drop to approximately 130,000. There is a shortage of over 70,000 soldiers annually. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Society
2040
"Prices of final plastic products will increase in April and May by 50 to 60%. This is a real company that produces housings, fasteners and parts for hundreds of Western brands. And now its customers, i.e. Western home appliance and electronics brands, are receiving invoices increased by half. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"The increase in DRAM memory prices has already raised smartphone production costs, and this was even before the Strait of Hormuz. Counterpoint predicts an additional 10 to 15% in costs in the second quarter of 2026, which is now as you are watching this. "
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PL · original
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Economy
2026
"Barry literally bought himself insurance against a major crash in the AI sector. Each of these options only starts to really make money when the underlying instrument falls below the strike. That is, when QQQ falls significantly below 550, when NVIDIA returns to around $115, when SOXX retreats to 330. In other words, Burry bets that although software in Etherani are cheap, the companies leading the AI rally, Nvidia, the entire semiconductor sector, the NASDAQ index as a whole, may fall sharply within a maximum of one year. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2027
"Regarding the biggest players such as, for example, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, Meta, these companies are expected to invest around $650 billion in artificial intelligence in 2026. Therefore, this is not a testing phase, but a phase of real implementation and scaling. "
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PL · original
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Technology
2026
"Firstly, the end of the Hungarian VETO on Ukraine. For the last 2 years, Orban was the main blocker of the 90 billion financial package for Kyiv and sanctions on Russia. Now the Hungarian, practically from the first day in office, will stand with the other 26 capitals. The European Council will again be able to vote unanimously. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Politics
Short timeframe
"However, we are probably heading towards such a transitional period where there will be different blocs, different currencies, which is what was discussed, that China, Russia, Iran are creating a separate settlement system to bypass sanctions. China will soon introduce CBDC, i.e., central bank digital currency, and in this technology, they already provide partners with cheap, fast settlement options. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
Medium timeframe
"The federal deficit in 2026 is projected to be another 1.9 trillion and grow to 3.1 trillion in 2036. "
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PL · original
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Economy
2026
"At the peak right now we have AI agents, which are small programs running and doing various things. This is in a very early phase of technological advancement on one hand, and user adoption on the other, so we can expect a lot in terms of delivering various solutions in this area within the next five years. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2031
Ad
"The federal deficit in 2026 is projected to be another 1.9 trillion and grow to 3.1 trillion in 2036. In this context, the pressure on the Fed to cut rates and make long-term debt is neither a coincidence nor a whim. It's mathematics. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"And imagine that soon, more or less almost at the same time as this company is spun off from Creotech Creotech Quantum, a quantum competitor in Finland will debut and will also have a dual listing in New York, in the United States, and note, at a valuation of 1.8 billion dollars. Although they have 35 million dollars in revenue. But Creotech Quantum has about 3 million in revenue, and plans to have 100 million zlotys in annual revenue, right? So 100 million zlotys annually, that would already be about 27 million dollars annually, not much less than this Finnish competitor. I wrote about this on Twitter, which is valued at 1.8 billion dollars, so even from such a proportion, this quantum company should be valued at 500, 600 million. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2026
"ZUS pension will be 30% of salary. Listen, today the replacement rate in Poland is 54%. This means that a retiree receives half of their last salary, which is already low, but in 20 years the replacement rate will drop to 30%. In 25 years it may be only 25%. This means that from a salary of 10000 PLN you will receive a pension of 2500 PLN. "
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PL · original
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Society
2051
"Suddenly I set a condition of strict trade with them, some Asian currency or other currencies like the dollar. it will be a blow to the dollar yyy in the sense that some Asian countries will not want to respect the dollar in trade, they will want to trade in another currency and this will cause a shock. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"Either some country will start a war, or Russia will start something unprecedented. Perhaps in the war in Ukraine. A new, much worse stage of the war will begin. I'm not saying it's only about Ukraine and Russia, but it will certainly be very tense, since Trump will want to convene some kind of world council, what kind of threat must there have been that flights would be suspended somewhere. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Armed conflicts
2025