Comparic Rynki 04.05.2026

◔ Pending

"Smartphones, laptops, consoles, TVs, home appliances will go up by 10-20, in some places 30%. Stock levels of Polish networks will be sufficient until the end of the first half of the year. Real increase: end of July, August, autumn. The cheapest models will suffer the most. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Krzysztof Jackowski 07.06.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"Between June 11 and June 16, things might get very heated in the Middle East. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Armed conflicts 2026

Krzysztof Jackowski 02.06.2026

✗ Failed

"These troops will emerge as I then associated it, troops will emerge not from the Russian side, in the sense of the Russian Federation, not from the Belarusian side, but these troops will emerge from Kaliningrad. it will be as if they will emerge and will occupy a road, some crossing, let's say, a crossing between Russia and Belarus, it will happen more on the Lithuanian side. In my vision, I saw Polish troops standing in this area before the Polish-Lithuanian border, but not conducting any armed actions. At least for a longer period, they will not conduct any armed actions. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Armed conflicts 2026

Comparic Rynki 29.05.2026

◔ Pending

"64.5%. This will be our public debt to GDP in 2026. The treaty threshold is 60%. And we are exceeding it this year for the first time. According to European Commission forecasts, in 2027 the debt will reach over 68%. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 29.05.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"6.5% will be the public finance sector deficit in Poland in 2026 according to the latest European Commission forecast. The EU limit, the one written in the Maastricht Treaty, is 3%. We exceed it by more than double. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Albert Rokicki 27.05.2026

~ Partially

"SpaceX will practically immediately and automatically enter these key indexes, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 as well, I believe. Also, ETFs will not so much want to, but will have to buy these shares. So, such passive demand will appear immediately. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Krzysztof Jackowski 22.05.2026

~ Partially

"There is a plan to unexpectedly attack Iran and pacify it. The plan is for a sudden, precise attack to neutralize and eliminate the entire command, the entire government of Iran. But this may not succeed. Iran will retaliate, and then there will be a huge attack on Iran. Wars will ignite, and this will lead to a crisis, including a large food crisis. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Armed conflicts 2026

Krzysztof Jackowski 12.05.2026

◔ Pending

"then this threat will subside and the narrative about it will somewhat subside in late summer, early autumn, and then we can expect a large-scale pandemic. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Disasters 2026

Krzysztof Jackowski 12.05.2026

✗ Failed

"An Italian city or Italian cities come to mind. Suddenly, very disturbing information will appear. Perhaps I am wrong about the country, but in some Italian city in Italy, disease outbreaks will suddenly appear that will spread very quickly. We will learn in a short time, one, in two days, that there are outbreaks of some infections among people somewhere, and within a short time, say a week or two, it will grow so much that the government will decide on some measures, a rapidly spreading virus. It seems to me that it will start in Italy. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Disasters 2026

Comparic Rynki 12.05.2026

~ Partially

"SK H controls about 62% of the global HBM market. Samsung 17%, Micron 21%. Three players the entire market, and two of them are in Korea. And the scale of business according to Bank of America the HBM market in 2026 will reach over 54 billion dollars. This is an increase of nearly 60% year-on-year, and within two years 100 billion dollars. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 04.05.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"The increase in DRAM memory prices has already raised smartphone production costs, and this was even before the Strait of Hormuz. Counterpoint predicts an additional 10 to 15% in costs in the second quarter of 2026, which is now as you are watching this. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 04.05.2026

~ Partially

"Home appliances (washing machine, refrigerator, dryer), because it's not just a chip. It's also a kilo of plastic in the casing, a kilo of rubber in the seals, a kilo of aluminum in the drum. Everything three times more expensive. Itoro experts in Polish financial media are already saying directly: Smartphones, laptops, consoles, refrigerators, washing machines, everything will get more expensive in the coming months. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 04.05.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"Prices of final plastic products will increase in April and May by 50 to 60%. This is a real company that produces housings, fasteners and parts for hundreds of Western brands. And now its customers, i.e. Western home appliance and electronics brands, are receiving invoices increased by half. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 04.05.2026

~ Partially

"Stockpiles will last until May or June, and then new deliveries or lack thereof will be from new contracts at new, higher prices. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 04.05.2026

✗ Failed

"The global smartphone shipment forecast for 2026 will drop by 2%, and the average valuation will increase by almost 7%. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 04.05.2026

~ Partially

"ASUS announced price increases for new computers by 25 to 30%. McQuery, an Australian investment bank, forecasts consumer electronics price increases of 10 to 20% in 2026. Numura more conservatively forecasts 5%. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 01.05.2026

◔ Pending

"Food and meat processing companies from the Polish market are entering a long period of margin pressure. On the other hand, German car manufacturers and their Polish supply chain have new fuel. Who earns what will be visible after the reports for the second and third quarters of 2026. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 01.05.2026

◔ Pending

"Prawdopodobnie trzy rzeczy. Pierwsza, ceny skupu drobiu i wołowiny w Polsce. Jeśli spadają szybciej niż średnia unijna to znaczy, że importowy ścisk już działa. Druga. Statystyki celne za maj i czerwiec. jak szybko Brazylia i Argentyna wyklepią ten kontyngent. Jeśli w trzy miesiące, to znaczy, że przewidywania były ostrożne. A trzecia, czy rząd w końcu złoży tę skargę, to powie najwięcej o tym, jak poważnie traktujemy własne uchwały sejmowe. "

🌐 original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 29.04.2026

◔ Pending

"In short, no cuts this year. The Monetary Policy Council has its hands tied. Council members say this directly. In conditions of rising oil prices, we will not only not cut, but we may even raise. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 25.04.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"Regarding the biggest players such as, for example, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, Meta, these companies are expected to invest around $650 billion in artificial intelligence in 2026. Therefore, this is not a testing phase, but a phase of real implementation and scaling. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Technology 2026