Skip to content
Verdiktum

Since 1980, the average S&P 500 intra-ear drawd down is 14.1%. And in 34 of thos...

G

📅 02.02.2026 · It Started: Trump Just ‘Broke’ The Federal Reserve – Go... · 👁️ 1

"Since 1980, the average S&P 500 intra-ear drawd down is 14.1%. And in 34 of those 45 years, the S&P 500 has finished with positive returns."
Factual claim 💰 Economy AI assessment confidence: 100% Source on YouTube

Predictions closed

Source (proof)

Plays from the quoted moment

Verification

Analysis generated with AI Pro
Available in the Pro plan Full AI analysis, sources, counterarguments Unlock Pro
🤖
AI-generated analysis: This result is an assessment by a language model, not an expert opinion or a legally binding verdict. Verify sources before making any decisions. Model: gemini-2.5-flash

For informational purposes only. Not investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Full disclaimer

AI is analyzing your argument…

Community Arguments (AI Feedback)

Log in to use this feature

Login

Transcript excerpt

Oryginał w języku Angielskim Open on YouTube

Like, take a look at this. Even in years where the market finished higher, we saw 10 to sometimes 20% declines. In addition to that, Charlie Mer famously said that if you can't handle these types of swings, you deserve the mediocre results that you're going to get. Now, to take this a step further, since 1980, the average S&P 500 intra-ear drawd down is 14.1%. And in 34 of those 45 years, the S&P 500 has finished with positive returns. Separate from that, actually closing the year down is surprisingly uncommon throughout history. Like, if you go all the way back to 1950, you could see that only two years closed the year down more than 25% and only 3 years closed the year down between 15 to 25%. the rest of the time barely lost anything or more commonly ended up making you a lot

Comments

No comments yet. Be the first!

Sign in to leave a comment.

Related claims by Graham Stephan